Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 8/20/24
Both the Brewers and Cardinals will send young pitchers to the mound on Tuesday, with Milwaukee starting Frankie Montas and the Cardinals going with Erick Fedde. Montas is starting for a Brewers team that is 72-52 and they are currently on a five-game winning streak, which has them first in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 61-63 overall and are 2nd in the NL Central.
St. Louis is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -126 compared to the Brewers at +107. Tuesday’s over/under line is at 8 runs, and the game can be seen on BSWI.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline +107
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 7:45 ET on Tuesday, August 20th.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Brewers Records & Stats
The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Guardians, closing out their series with a 2-0 win. After allowing three runs in the first inning of the series, the Brewers responded with a run of their own. Milwaukee went on to add another run in the 2nd inning and closed things out with a 2-0 win. Leading up to the game, the Brewers were the slight favorite at -124 on the money line.
Colin Rea put together a good start for the Brewers, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out five Guardians batters. Brice Turang was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored.
Milwaukee is on the road today to take on the Cardinals, and they lead the NL Central by 11 games. The Brewers are 72-52 overall and have won five straight games. Their five-game winning streak came at the end of their series vs. the Guardians.
At home, the Brewers are 38-24 this season, and they have gone 34-28 on the road. As the road underdog, the Brewers have put together a record of 23-15 this season. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 21-14-4 this year.
The Brewers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, with a record of 65-59. They have been especially good on the road, going 35-27 against the run line. They have covered the run line in their last three road games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 38-18 against the run line in those games.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is right on par with the Milwaukee Brewers’ combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. The Brewers have played to the over in 66 of their 117 games this season, with an average over/under line of 8 runs per game. When the line has been set at 8 runs, the Brewers have gone over 8 times, under 9 times, and pushed 3 times. Milwaukee’s games have had an over/under line set at 8 runs or higher in nearly 60% of their contests this season.
Milwaukee is sending Frankie Montas to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 5-8 and an ERA of 4.86. Montas has made 22 starts this year and has a WHIP of 1.46. Looking at his overall numbers, Montas has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 8.05 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Montas finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Montas has allowed a total of 16 home runs this year.
William Contreras has been a solid run producer for the Brewers this season, as his 71 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .190 over his last six games. During this stretch, he has three homers but has only four hits in 21 at-bats. Willy Adames comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and is the Brewers’ top home run hitter this season, with 22 long balls.
As a team, the Brewers are 9th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .253, which is the 8th best mark in the league. Milwaukee’s offense has done a good job of avoiding strikeouts this season and is 3rd in the league in walks.
Cardinals Records & Stats
The Cardinals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Dodgers with a 2-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Dodgers scored a run in the top of the 8th. St. Louis was the -113 favorite at home going into the game.
Sonny Gray had a rough outing, giving up seven hits and issuing three walks. He only lasted five innings, giving up just two runs, and took the loss. The Cardinals also wasted a big game from Lars Nootbaar, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 1/1.
St. Louis is 61-63 overall and trails the Brewers by 11 games in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 17-22 against other teams in the NL Central. The team is 3-7 across their last 10 games and dropped two of three in their most recent series vs. the Dodgers.
At home, the Cardinals are 32-29 this year and 29-34 on the road. So far, they have dropped four straight games as the favorite. As for their overall record as the favorite, the Cardinals are 31-32. They are 30-31 as the underdog this year. The Cardinals’ overall series record is 19-17-4, and they dropped two straight series before taking on the Brewers today.
When betting the run line, the Cardinals have been a better play as the underdog, going 40-21. St. Louis has been a run-line underdog in 61 of its 124 games. The Cardinals have been favored in 63 games and have gone just 20-43 on the run line in those contests.
St. Louis is at home today against Milwaukee, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Cardinals have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 60-61. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-11-1. So far this season, 60.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
St. Louis is sending Erick Fedde to the mound today, and he comes into the game with a record of 8-6 and an ERA of 3.40. Looking back at his last outing, Fedde took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work vs. the Reds. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .227 off Fedde this season, and he has made 10 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.85 strikeouts and 2.48 walks. At home, Fedde is 6-2 with a 2.06 ERA.
St. Louis comes into the game with a team batting average of .245, which is 12th in the league. However, they are just 24th in the league in runs per game at 4.1. The Cardinals have been a little better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are 19th in home runs and have a collective on-base percentage of just .309.
Alec Burleson has been a bright spot for the Cardinals this season, leading the team with 21 home runs and 70 RBIs, while batting .277. Brendan Donovan is also having a solid season, with a batting average of .270 and 54 RBIs. However, both Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Gorman are batting below .230 for the season.