Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 8/14/24

This article was published on Aug 14, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 8/14/24

Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Nationals and Orioles has a first pitch set for 6:35 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore. The Orioles are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -182 compared to the Nationals at +153. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

Dean Kremer will start for the Orioles, while the Nationals are sending DJ Herz to the mound. Washington is 55-65 this season, and they are 4th in the NL East, while the Orioles are 70-50 and 2nd in the AL East. MASN will be televising this game.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 9 Runs

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 6:35 ET on Wednesday, August 14th.

HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS ORIOLES:

  • We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 5
  • However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Nationals to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Thanks to a nine-run 6th inning for the Nationals’ offense, they cruised to a 9-3 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Nationals were at +162 on the money line.

The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Jake Irvin for the Nationals, and he went six innings while giving up two runs and picked up a win. Trevor Rogers got the start for the Orioles, going five innings and giving up five earned runs.

Washington’s offense was led by James Wood, who went 4/5 with three runs scored. Wood was the only Nationals hitter to have more than one hit. As a team, the Nationals had just two more hits than the Orioles and struck out 12 times.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is 55-65 overall this season, and they are 14.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Nationals are 4th in the division and have gone 16-15 in divisional games this year. The Nationals have taken the first game of their series with the Orioles, and their overall series record is 16-20-2 this year.

At home, the Nationals are 28-32 this year, and they have gone 27-33 on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 45-55 this year and 10-10 when favored. Washington has won three straight games as the underdog and are 6-4 in their last 10 overall.

Washington is 36-24 on the run line on the road this season, including covering in two straight games. They are 59-41 on the run line as an underdog this season, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.4.

Washington Nationals games have gone over the total in two straight games, and the over/under record for the season is 61-54. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Baltimore Orioles is set at 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Nationals have a record of 13-12-3.

Washington is sending DJ Herz to the mound today vs. the Orioles, and he comes in with a record of 2-4 and an ERA of 4.41. Herz has made 11 starts this year and has only turned in one quality start. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Herz has finished with a no-decision in three of them. The right-hander has allowed at least one homer in four straight outings. Opponents are batting .243 off Herz this season.

Washington’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game this season, which is 16th in the league. This is a bit misleading, as they are the worst home run hitting team in the league and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and isolated power. As a team, the Nationals are batting .244, which is 11th in the league.

Over his last five games, Alex Call has gone 9/24, and Luis Garcia Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat, going 6/17 with a homer and six RBIs. For the season, Garcia Jr. is hitting .291 with 14 homers, which is 2nd on the team. CJ Abrams has gone deep 17 times, which is the best mark on the team, and he is batting .254.

Orioles Records & Stats

With an overall record of 70-50, the Orioles are in 2nd place in the AL East, just a half-game behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Orioles have dropped two straight games, and this season, they have been good in the AL East, putting up a mark of 26-13. So far, they have been good both at home (34-26) and on the road (36-24).

Baltimore has been good as the favorite this season, going 58-39, and they are 12-11 as the underdog. The Orioles’ overall series record is 23-11-4, and they are 0-1 in this series vs. the Nationals. Looking at their overall performance, the Orioles have gone 5-5 over their last 10 games.

When betting the run line, the Orioles have been a better bet on the road than at home, going 36-24 on the run line away from Camden Yards compared to 29-31 at home. They have an average run margin of 0.7 runs per game this season, and they have covered the run line in 65 of their 120 games. They have been a favorite in 97 games, going 49-48 on the run line in those games, and they have been an underdog in 23 games, going 16-7 on the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.5 runs per game.

The Orioles are playing host to the Nationals today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 67-43. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 15-12-3. Only 5.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, with just 6 games having lines set at 9 runs.

Right-hander Dean Kremer is getting the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Nationals at home. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 4-9 with a 4.70 ERA. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.29. Looking at his overall numbers, Kremer has issued 3.84 walks per nine innings compared to 8.64 strikeouts. Kremer has turned in four quality starts this season, and he has a home ERA of 6.07 compared to 4.67 on the road. In his last outing, Kremer gave up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work.

As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also near the top of the league in terms of runs per game, averaging 5 runs per contest. This includes averaging 5.3 runs per game on the road. Overall, they are batting .256 as a team (4th) and have the league’s best slugging percentage and isolated power numbers.

Anthony Santander has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 36 homers are 3rd in the league. However, he has struggled of late, hitting just .182 over his last eight games. Gunnar Henderson comes into the game with a team-best batting average of .287 and has also hit 29 homers so far this season.