St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 8/14/24
Both the Cardinals and Reds will be looking to pick up a win in tonight’s NL Central matchup, as the Reds are on a three-game winning streak and the Cardinals are 60-60 overall. However, the Reds are the slight money line favorite for this one, with their odds sitting at -106 compared to the Cardinals at -113. The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs.
First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 6:40 PM ET, and BSOH is carrying the game on TV. Kyle Gibson will start for the Cardinals, while the Reds are sending Emilio Pagan to the mound.
CINCINNATI REDS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -106
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, August 14th.
HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS REDS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Cincinnati picked up a 4-1 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a 2-1 lead going into the 6th inning and scored two insurance runs in the 7th. As for the Cardinals, they scored their only run in the 7th and had just four hits for the game.
Hunter Greene started for the Reds and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. On the other side, Erick Fedde got the start for the Cardinals and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work.
At the plate, Cincinnati was led by Jeimer Candelario and Ty France, as they were the only two Reds hitters to have more than one hit. Candelario and TJ Friedl each had two RBIs for the Reds’ offense.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is at an even 60-60 overall as they are 7.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Cardinals have dropped three straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Reds 0-2. So far, they have gone just 17-21 in divisional games.
As the road team today, the Cardinals are 29-33 this season. They have been slightly better at home, going 31-27. St. Louis has dropped three straight on the road, and they are 10-9 as the road favorite this year. So far, they have an overall record of 31-30 as the favorite.
St. Louis has been a solid run line bet overall this season, going 58-62. They have been a better bet on the road, going 30-32, but they have failed to cover the run line in their last three road games. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 38-21 on the run line.
Today’s over/under line of 9.5 runs is a rarity for the St. Louis Cardinals, as only 1.7% of their games this season have had higher lines. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 58-59 on the year, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per contest. Their games have gone under the total in 93.3% of their games this season, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.
The Cardinals are sending right-hander Kyle Gibson to the mound today vs. the Reds. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 7-4 with an ERA of 3.99. Gibson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.32. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work vs. the Rays. Before that outing, he had put together three straight quality starts. Gibson has a record of 5-1 on the road this season with a 3.53 ERA compared to 2-3 at home with a 4.83 ERA.
St. Louis has been looking for more production from their offense, as they are averaging just 4.1 runs per game (24th) and have been even worse on the road at 3.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 10th in the league, and have the 18th home run total in the league. Collectively, the Cardinals are near the bottom of the league in terms of OPS and isolated power.
Right fielder Alec Burleson has been a bright spot for the Cardinals this season, leading the team with 20 home runs and 67 RBIs, while also hitting .275. Nolan Arenado and Brendan Donovan have also been solid run producers, as they are tied for 2nd on the team in RBIs and have 12 and nine homers, respectively. Arenado has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/34 in his last nine games.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 59-61 overall and is 8.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. They are also a half-game behind the Cardinals for the second spot in the NL Central. The Reds have won three straight games, and these three wins have come by scoring 23 runs. So far, they are 17-17 in divisional games.
At home, the Reds are 30-31 this season compared to a 29-30 mark on the road. As the home underdog, the Reds have gone 10-10 this season, and they have won two straight as the underdog overall. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 14-20-3, and they are up 2-0 in this series vs. the Cardinals.
The Reds have been a solid run line team this season, going 65-55 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 37-22, compared to 28-33 at home. They have covered the run line in their last two games at home and are 3-0 as the underdog in their last three games.
The Cincinnati Reds are hosting the St. Louis Cardinals today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 54-62. The average over/under line for Reds games this season is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 18-9. So far this season, only 4.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher. The Reds have gone under the total in each of their last four games.
Right-hander Emilio Pagán is getting the start for the Reds today as he faces the Cardinals at home. He has made 23 appearances this season but has not made a start, so it will be interesting to see how he performs in this role. Pagán’s ERA for the season is 4.22, along with a record of 2-3. Looking at his ERA at home, it is 10.64 compared to 2.25 on the road. So far, he has allowed four homers and is averaging 10.97 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, he went one inning and gave up one earned run, finishing with a no-decision.
Heading into today’s game, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. This season, they are batting just .230, which is 21st in the MLB. However, they do have the league’s 8th best isolated power figure, and they are 9th in home runs. Cincinnati’s offense is led by Spencer Steer and Elly De La Cruz, who have 21 and 18 homers, respectively. Steer has been hot of late, going 9/19 in his last six games.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game on the road and 4.4 at home. They are also 9th in the league in home runs. Currently, Nick Martini and Spencer Steer are both on hitting streaks, with Martini’s streak sitting at three games and Steer’s at six.