Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 8/14/24

Wednesday’s matchup between the Pirates and Padres has a first pitch set for 4:10 PM ET from PETCO Park in San Diego. The forecast for today’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 70s. SN PT is carrying the game on TV.

The Padres are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -136 compared to the Pirates at +116. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and Pittsburgh will be looking to snap a nine-game losing streak with Mitch Keller on the mound. San Diego is 68-53 and 3rd in the NL West.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -136

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 4:10 ET on Wednesday, August 14th.

HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS PADRES:

• We have the Padres winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

San Diego cruised to a 3-0 win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 1st inning, scoring all three of their runs, and the Pirates could never get on the board. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -254 on the money line.

Michael King started for the Padres and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. Luis L. Ortiz only went five innings for the Pirates, giving up one earned run on three hits.

At the plate, David Peralta was the only player in the game to homer. He went 2/3 with an RBI and run scored. Manny Machado also had a two-hit game for the Padres.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh is 56-63 overall this year, and they are looking to snap a nine-game losing streak today on the road vs. the Padres. The Pirates are 11 games out of the NL Central lead, which is held by the Brewers. So far, they are 17-15 in divisional games.

At home, the Pirates are 27-31 this year, and they have gone 29-32 on the road. This season, the Pirates are just 24-21 as the favorite compared to 32-42 as the underdog. Pittsburgh has dropped three straight series and have an overall series record of 16-17-5 this year.

For the Pirates, their run line record is 67-52 this season, and they have been a good bet on the run line when they are the underdog, going 50-24. Their average run margin is -0.2 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in 37 of their 61 road games. They have been a poor bet on the run line when they are the favorite, going 17-28.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are on the road against the San Diego Padres today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Pirates have an over/under record of 56-62 this season, and their games have averaged exactly 8.5 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 24-17. In total, 20 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 16.8% of their games this season. Their current under streak is at 2 games.

Mitch Keller gets the start for the Pirates today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 10-6 with a 3.56 ERA. Keller’s WHIP for the season is 1.23, and he has turned in 12 quality starts. Keller’s last outing was a rough one, as he took the loss and gave up seven earned runs in four innings of work. Before that outing, he had gone three straight starts without giving up more than two earned runs. Keller has been much better at home this season, coming in with a 5-2 record and 2.83 ERA compared to 5-4 with a 5.06 ERA on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. Overall, they are batting just .235 as a team and have the 20th ranked home run total in the league. One thing they have done well is avoid strikeouts, as they are 24th in the league in strikeouts per game.

Bryan Reynolds and Bryan De La Cruz are the Pirates top power threats this season, with Reynolds leading the team with 19 homers and De La Cruz right behind him with 18. Reynolds also comes into the game with a team-high 69 RBIs and is batting .288. Oneil Cruz is also a threat at the plate, as he is batting .261 with 18 homers.

Padres Records & Stats

San Diego is 68-53 overall, and they are 3.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres have gone 19-18 in divisional matchups this year and have won two straight games overall. Their two most recent wins have come in this series vs. the Pirates.

At home, the Padres are 32-29 this season and have gone 36-24 on the road. San Diego has won four straight games at home, and they are 26-21 as the home favorite this year. As the favorite overall, the Padres are 42-31 and 26-22 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall series record is 24-13-3, and they have won seven straight series.

San Diego is 23-38 against the run line at home this season, but they are 40-20 on the road. The Padres are 33-15 against the run line as underdogs this season, and they have covered the run line in their last game as the favorite.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is a bit higher than the average line for Padres games this season, which has been set at 8 runs. The over/under record for San Diego games this season is 64-56, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the record is 16-14. The Padres have been trending towards the under recently, as they have hit the under in their last two games.

Left-hander Martín Pérez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Pirates at home. So far this season, he has made 18 starts and has a record of 2-5 with an ERA of 4.78. Looking back at his last outing, Pérez finished with a no-decision after going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. He did give up two homers in that outing. One of the positive takeaways for Pérez this year is that he has seven quality starts. His ERA at home is 4.70 compared to 6.43 on the road.

So far this season, the Padres are the top-hitting team in the league, batting a collective .265. They have also been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, coming into the game 11th in the league in homers. San Diego’s offense is averaging 4.7 runs per game, but they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, as his 19 homers leads the team. He is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 72. Profar comes into the game with a batting average of .295. Manny Machado is right behind him in the home run and RBI standings, with 18 homers and 70 RBIs. Over his last five games, Machado is 8/22.