St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 8/13/24
At 6:40 PM ET, the Reds and Cardinals will square off in an NL Central matchup. This one is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, and the Reds are favored on the money line (-134). The money line odds for a Cardinals win are sitting at +114, and they are 2nd in the NL Central, with a record of 60-59. The Reds have won two straight and are 4th in the division at 58-61.
The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the forecast for Tuesday’s game in Cincinnati calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the mid-80s. Erick Fedde is starting for the Cardinals, while Hunter Greene goes for the Reds. BSOH is carrying this game on TV.
CINCINNATI REDS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -134
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, August 13th.
HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS REDS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Cincinnati cruised to a 6-1 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 3rd inning, scoring three of their six runs. As for the Cardinals, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Reds were the slight underdogs at +125.
Andrew Abbott pitched well for the Reds in this one, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Sonny Gray had a rough outing for the Cardinals, giving up six runs in five innings of work.
Spencer Steer was the difference for the Reds’ offense, as he homered twice, scored two runs, and finished with five RBIs. Elly De La Cruz also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is 60-59 overall and 7.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals have lost two straight games, and they are 17-20 against other teams in the NL Central. So far, they have been good at home, going 31-27, and they are just under .500 at 29-32 on the road.
As the road underdog, the Cardinals have gone 19-23 this season, and they are 31-30 when favored. St. Louis’ overall series record is 18-16-4, and they are losing their current series vs. the Reds. The Cardinals are 4-6 over their last ten games.
The Cardinals have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 58-61 overall. They have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 38-20. They have not been a good bet on the run line as the favorite, going just 20-41. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.6. They have a losing streak against the run line on the road, going 2-0 in their last two games.
When the St. Louis Cardinals are on the road, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. This season, the Cardinals’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 58-58. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 10-9-1. Only 6.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, with the majority of their games (76.5%) having lower lines.
Right-hander Erick Fedde gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 8-5 with a 3.28 ERA. Fedde’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.15, and opponents are batting .226 off him this year. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up just one earned run to the Rays. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Fedde has been much better at home, coming in with a 2.06 ERA compared to 4.71 on the road.
Heading into the game, the Cardinals are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 11th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .310 is 13th in the MLB. St. Louis has been led in home runs by Alec Burleson, who is 13th in the league with 20 homers, and Nolan Gorman, who has 19 homers this season.
Over his last six games, Nolan Arenado has gone 8/22, and Willson Contreras has also been swinging a hot bat, going 7/23 with two homers over that stretch. In terms of hitting streaks, Paul Goldschmidt comes into the game on a four-game streak, while Willson Contreras has a three-game streak going. Iván Herrera has the longest streak for the Cardinals this season, currently at five games.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 58-61 overall and 4th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 9.5 games. The Reds are 16-17 in divisional matchups this year and have won two straight games overall. Cincinnati took the series opener vs. the Cardinals, and they have an overall series record of 14-20-3 this year.
At home, the Reds are 29-31 compared to 29-30 on the road. As the favorite, the Reds have gone 30-26 this year and 28-35 as the underdog. So far, they are 19-21 as the favorite at home.
Despite their overall run line record being just 64-55, the Reds have been a solid bet on the run line on the road, going 37-22. They’ve also been a good bet as the underdog, going 39-24 on the run line. Their average run differential in wins is +3.8, while it’s -2.9 in losses.
The Cincinnati Reds have an over/under record of 54-61 this season, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 9 runs. When the line is set at 9 runs, the Reds have gone 4-18-3 to the under. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.5 runs, and their current under streak is at three games.
Hunter Greene has made 23 starts this season, and he is coming off a rough outing vs. the Marlins in which he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Before that, he had pitched well, going 11 innings without giving up an earned run. Greene’s ERA for the season is 2.90, along with a record of 8-4. Opponents are batting .180 this season vs. Greene. He has one complete game and 12 quality starts this year. Greene’s ERA at home is 3.90, compared to 2.29 on the road.
Elly De La Cruz has been the Reds’ best hitter this season, as he is batting .266 and has gone deep 21 times, which is 12th in the majors. He has also been hot of late, going 14/38 in his last nine games with three homers. Spencer Steer is also on a homer binge, as he has three homers in his last eight games and is 15th in the league with 74 RBIs.
Overall, the Reds are 14th in scoring at 4.5 runs per game, and they are also 10th in the league in home runs. As a team, they are batting just .230, which is 23rd in the league, and have the 16th best OPS in the league. Currently, Spencer Steer is on a five-game hitting streak.