Chicago Cubs vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 8/13/24

Chicago and Cleveland are set to face off in an interleague matchup at 6:40 PM ET at Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH. The Guardians are the favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -129, while the Cubs are +109 on the money line. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Chicago comes in with a record of 59-61 and is starting Javier Assad, while the Guardians will have Matthew Boyd on the mound. Cleveland is currently on a three-game winning streak and is first in the AL Central, while the Cubs are 3rd in the NL Central. BSGL will be televising Tuesday’s game.

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -129

This game will be played at Progressive Field at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, August 13th.

HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS GUARDIANS:

• We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cubs to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Cleveland rallied for four runs in the 4th inning and added three more in the 5th, picking up a 9-8 win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 4th inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the Cubs, they scored four of their eight runs in the 7th.

Ben Lively got the start for Cleveland, going just 3 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out one. Nick Sandlin got the win out of the bullpen, and Emmanuel Clase got the save. Shota Imanaga only went five innings for the Cubs, giving up three earned runs on seven hits.

Jhonkensy Noel was the difference for the Guardians, as he homered twice, scored four times, and finished with four RBIs. Steven Kwan also had a two-hit game and scored twice for Cleveland’s offense.

Cubs Records & Stats

Chicago is two games below .500 at 59-61 as they take on the Guardians today. The Cubs are nine games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, and they are in 3rd place in the division. So far, they have gone just 17-26 in divisional games. The Cubs have won three straight series, and their overall series record is 15-20-3 this year.

At home, the Cubs are 32-27 this year, and they are 27-34 on the road. As the underdog, Chicago has gone 32-32 this year, and they have won two straight games as the underdog overall. The Cubs have been the favorite in 56 games, and they are 27-29 in those games.

The Cubs have been a good bet on the run line this season, with a 58-62 record. They have been especially good on the run line as the underdog, going 43-21. They have a run line win streak as the underdog, covering in two straight games.

The Chicago Cubs are on the road against the Cleveland Guardians today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Cubs have a combined run average of 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 53-63. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Cubs have a record of 15-13. So far this season, 34 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 28.3% of their games.

Chicago is sending right-hander Javier Assad to the mound today as he faces off against the Guardians. Assad has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 5-3 with an ERA of 3.24. So far, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 7.89 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Assad finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a home run. One area of concern for Assad is his walk rate, as he is averaging 4.12 walks per nine innings compared to 7.89 strikeouts.

For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. This is a team that has been pretty consistent, as they are averaging 4.4 runs per game on the road and 4.1 runs per game at home. As a team, they are batting .237, which is 18th in the league.

Chicago’s top power hitter this season has been Ian Happ, who is 13th in the league with 20 home runs. Happ has also driven in 67 runs, which is the best mark on the team. However, he is batting just .230 for the season. Isaac Paredes is 2nd on the team with 63 RBIs and has 18 homers, but he is also batting just .238. Nico Hoerner comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .256 for the season.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland is currently 70-49 overall and leads the AL Central by 3.5 games over the Twins. The Guardians have taken the first game of their series vs. the Cubs and have an overall series record of 22-11-5 this year. At home, the Guardians are 36-20 this year and 34-29 on the road.

The Guardians have won three straight games and are 48-25 as the favorite this year. As the home favorite, they have gone 31-14 this year. So far, they are 21-17 against other teams in the AL Central. Looking back, the Guardians have gone just 3-7 over their last ten games.

When it comes to run line betting, the Guardians have been a .500 team overall, but they have been better on the road, covering the run line in 33 of 63 games. They have also been better as an underdog, covering the run line in 27 of 46 games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while it is -3.2 in losing games.

The Cleveland Guardians are home today and are set to face the Chicago Cubs. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is just below their combined run average of 8.6 runs per game. The Guardians have a 58-53 over/under record on the season, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 17-15. Overall, 20.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

Matthew Boyd is coming off a season in which he made 15 starts and went 5-5. His ERA for the season was 5.45, and he finished the year with three quality starts. Boyd’s FIP for the season was 4.35, and he averaged 9.25 strikeouts per nine innings. His WHIP for the season was 1.32, and he finished the year with a batting average allowed of .245. Boyd’s slugging percentage allowed was .415, and he finished the year with an OPS allowed of .726. For the season, Boyd allowed a total of 11 home runs.

For the season, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 15th in the MLB, and are 11th in home runs. Cleveland is also one of the best teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts.

Jose Ramirez has been red hot of late, going 14/41 in his last 10 games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .282 and is 2nd in the league with 97 RBIs. Josh Naylor has also been swinging the bat well, going deep three times in his last 10 games, while batting .237.