Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 8/11/24
At 2:10 PM ET, the Guardians and Twins will face off in an AL Central matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis and has the Guardians as the favorites on the money line (-115). The Twins have an overall record of 65-51, while the Guardians are 68-49.David Festa will be on the mound for the Twins, while the Guardians are sending Tanner Bibee to the mound. On the money line, the odds have the Twins at -104 compared to the Guardians at -115. Sunday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and BSGL will be televising this one.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -115
This game will be played at Target Field at 2:10 ET on Sunday, August 11th.
HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS TWINS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Twins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Cleveland picked up a 2-1 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians offense only had two more hits than the Twins and struck out nine times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were at -105 on the money line.
Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Twins could only muster one more run in the 4th inning. As for the Guardians, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 6th, and both offenses went silent after that.
Gavin Williams started for the Guardians and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. Emmanuel Clase closed things out. Simeon Woods Richardson had a good outing for the Twins, taking the loss after going seven innings and giving up two earned runs.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is 68-49 overall this season, putting them in 1st place in the AL Central. They currently lead the Twins by 2.5 games heading into today’s matchup. The Guardians have gone 20-17 against other teams in the AL Central.
At home, the Guardians have been strong this year, going 35-20. They have also been good on the road, coming in with a 33-29 mark. Cleveland has gone 3-7 over their last ten games and are losing the series vs. the Twins 1-2.
The Guardians have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 57-60 overall. They are 32-30 on the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +0.6 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 25-19 on the run line.
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today against the Minnesota Twins, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. Their combined run average this season is also 8.5 runs per game. The Guardians have played 24 games this season with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 17-15. Overall, their over/under record for the season is 57-53.
Cleveland is sending right-hander Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 9-4 with a 3.48 ERA. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09, and he has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, Bibee picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on seven hits vs. the Tigers. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. The right-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with a 5-2 record and 3.1 ERA compared to 4-2 with a 4.47 ERA at home.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been one of the best 1-2 punches in the league this season, as Ramirez’s 96 RBIs are 2nd in the MLB, and Naylor’s 85 RBIs are 5th in the league. Naylor has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/37 in his last 10 games, with three homers and 11 RBIs. Ramirez has also been on fire, going 12/38 with three homers and nine RBIs in his last 10 games.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game, and they have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Overall, they are 12th in runs scored and have the league’s 11th ranked home run total. So far, they have been a good team at making contact, as they have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota is 65-51 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 2.5 games. The Twins have gone 26-15 against other teams in the AL Central. So far, they have been good at home, going 34-22, and they are just above .500 at 31-29 on the road.
As the favorite, the Twins have put together a record of 52-30 this season, and they are 13-21 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 22-12-2, and they are currently up 2-1 in the series vs. the Guardians.
Minnesota has a run line record of 57-59 this season, with an average run margin of +0.5 runs per game. The Twins have been a better bet on the road, going 32-28 against the run line, compared to 25-31 at home. They have been favored in 82 games, going 39-43 against the run line, and have been underdogs in 34 games, going 18-16 against the run line.
Minnesota has been a solid over team this season, with a 60-53 over/under record. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is right in line with their season average. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone 17-17 to the over. Overall, 70 of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs, with an average line of 8 runs per game.
David Festa will be making his second start of the season for the Twins, as he has been solid in his first three outings. He started his season with a loss vs. the Mets, but bounced back with a win vs. the Cubs, striking out 9 over 5 innings. He has yet to go more than 5 innings in a start.
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have been the Twins’ top power threats this season, as Santana has 15 homers (2nd on the team) and Jeffers has gone deep 17 times, which is the best mark on the team. However, both players are batting under .250 for the season, with Jeffers hitting just .228 and Santana at .245. Jeffers has also gone just 2/14 in his last four games, and Santana has gone 6/22 in his last six games.
Willi Castro comes into the game with a three-game hitting streak and is batting .260 for the season with eight homers. He is also 6th on the team with 41 RBIs. Matt Wallner has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 5/14 in his last four games with five RBIs.