Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/11/24

At 3:10 PM ET, the Braves and Rockies square off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at Coors Field in Denver and has the Braves favored on the money line, with their line sitting at -177 compared to the Rockies at +148. The over/under line is at 10.5 runs.
Spencer Schwellenbach is starting for the Braves, and they are 2nd in the NL East with a record of 61-55. The Rockies are 5th in the NL West and are starting Kyle Freeland.
ATLANTA BRAVES VS COLORADO ROCKIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline -177
This game will be played at Coors Field at 3:10 ET on Sunday, August 11th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS ROCKIES:
- We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rockies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
The most recent game o of this Braves vs Rockies series came right down to the end, as the Rockies rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 11-8 on the road. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -200 on the money line.
Atlanta’s offense got off to a fast start in this one, scoring five runs in the 1st and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Rockies didn’t get on the board until the 3rd and scored their final run in the 5th. As for the late rally, the Rockies scored three runs in the 6th and added two more in the 7th.
Matt Olson and Jorge Soler each homered twice for the Braves, while Marcell Ozuna went 2/5 with a homer. Sam Hilliard hit the game’s other home run while going 3/4 with five RBIs.
Braves Records & Stats
Atlanta is 61-55 overall, putting them 2nd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 7.5 games. So far, they have gone 18-16 in divisional games. The Braves have gone 4-6 across their last 10 and are currently tied with the Rockies in their series.
On the road, the Braves are 29-29 this season compared to 32-26 at home. As the favorite, Atlanta is 54-44 this season, and they are 7-11 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall series record is 19-14-5 this year.
When the Braves are on the road, they have a run line record of 29-29, with an average run differential of 0.7 runs per game. Overall, their run line record is 52-64, with an average run differential of 0.3 runs per game. They have a run line record of 43-55 when they are the favorite, and 9-9 when they are the underdog.
The Atlanta Braves are on the road to face the Colorado Rockies today, and the over/under line is set at 10.5 runs. The combined run average in Braves games this season is 8.2 runs, and their over/under record is 44-67. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 10.5 runs, their over/under record is 2-1. This season, only 1 of their games has had an over/under line set higher than 10.5 runs, accounting for just 0.9% of their games. Their current over streak is at 5 games.
Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach is getting the start for the Braves today as he faces the Rockies on the road. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 4-5 with an ERA of 4.04. Schwellenbach’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.04, and opponents are batting .229 off him this year. In his last outing, Schwellenbach finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. His ERA at home is 4.24, compared to 4.61 on the road.
Marcell Ozuna has been swinging the bat well of late for the Braves, going 6/20 in his last five games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .300 and is 2nd in the league with 90 RBIs. Ozuna is also 1st on the team with 35 homers. Jorge Soler has also been hot, going 7/16 in his last four games, including two homers.
As a team, the Braves are 5th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. This is just 17th in the league and below their season-long average of 4.4 runs per game on the road. Overall, the Braves are batting .241, and their team on-base percentage is just 17th in the league.
Rockies Records & Stats
With a record of 43-75, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, 25.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL West teams, going 13-24 this year. Colorado has dropped two straight series and their overall series record is 8-26-3 this year.
At home, the Rockies are 26-32 compared to 17-43 on the road. So far, they have yet to win a game as the favorite this year. As for how they have fared as the underdog, they are 43-75. In day games, the Rockies are just 13-31 this year. Their overall record has them at an even 32 games below .500.
When the Rockies win, they do so by an average of 2.8 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 4.1 runs per game. Their run line record is 59-59, and they are 31-27 against the run line at home. Their overall run differential is -1.6 runs per game, while their road run differential is -2.3 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 59-59 against the run line, and as the favorite, they have yet to play a game.
The Rockies are at home against the Braves today, and the over/under line is set at 10.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 10.1 runs, and their over/under record is 60-56. When the over/under line is set at 10.5 runs, their record is 10-12. So far this season, 21.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 10.5 runs, and their over streak is at 2 games.
Kyle Freeland gets the start for the Rockies today and comes in with a record of 3-4 and an ERA of 5.65. Looking at his overall numbers, Freeland has made 12 starts, and opponents are batting .293 this year. In his 12 appearances, Freeland has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 7.77 strikeouts per nine innings. The left-hander’s last outing came against the Mets, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least six earned runs in three straight starts.
Colorado’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 18th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 12th in the league, and have the 12th best slugging percentage in the league.
Both of the Rockies’ top home run hitters, Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle, have been struggling of late, with Doyle batting just .189 over his last nine games and Tovar hitting .207. However, Tovar has gone deep 19 times this season, and Doyle has 20 homers. Brendan Rodgers has been hot of late, going 13/30 in his last eight games, and he is also on a five-game hitting streak.