Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 8/4/24

At 1:35 PM ET from Nationals Park in Washington, DC, the Brewers and Nationals square off in an NL matchup. Milwaukee is currently 1st in the NL Central with a record of 62-48, while the Nationals are 4th in the NL East with a record of 50-61.

The over/under line for this game is at 9 runs, and the Brewers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -136 compared to the Nationals at +116. Sunday’s starting pitching matchup is Tobias Myers for the Brewers and Mitchell Parker for the Nationals. BSWI is carrying this game on TV.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +116

This game will be played at Nationals Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, August 4th.

HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS NATIONALS:

• We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Washington picked up a 6-4 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 1st inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Brewers, they scored their first run in the 5th and added three more in the 8th.

DJ Herz only went five innings for the Nationals but didn’t give up a run and finished with six strikeouts. He picked up a win in the game, while Kyle Finnegan got the save. Aaron Civale had a rough outing for the Brewers, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work.

Luis Garcia Jr. and Alex Call each had three hits and an RBI for the Nationals’ offense. Rhys Hoskins hit a home run for the Brewers, going 1/4 with three RBIs.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is currently 62-48 overall and leads the NL Central by 5.5 games over the Cardinals. The Brewers are 23-13 against other teams in the NL Central. They have been solid both at home (31-21) and on the road (31-27) this season.

The Brewers have dropped two straight series and are 19-13-3 in series this year. As the road favorite, Milwaukee has gone 11-12 this year. They are 36-26 when favored and 26-22 as the underdog. Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are 5-5 over their last 10.

When betting the run line on the Milwaukee Brewers, it’s important to note that they have a positive run differential on the season, scoring an average of 0.7 more runs per game than their opponents. Their run line record is 57-53, and they have been slightly better at covering the run line on the road (32-26) than at home (25-27). They have been a better bet as the underdog (32-16) than as the favorite (25-37).

Today’s over/under line is 9 runs for the Milwaukee Brewers’ road game against the Washington Nationals. The Brewers have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 60-45. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 5-5-2. The over has hit in three straight games for Milwaukee.

Tobias Myers gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 6-4 with an ERA of 3.10. Myers most recent outing came on July 28th, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he went four innings, giving up one earned run on three hits. Myers has turned in a quality start in five of his outings this year. The right-hander’s ERA on the road is 3.01, compared to 4.01 at home.

After a slow start to the season, Rhys Hoskins has come on strong of late, going 9/32 with four homers and nine RBIs over his last nine games. This has helped him take over the team lead in homers (19) and move into 3rd on the team in RBIs. Hoskins is also currently on a nine-game hitting streak. Willy Adames is also having a strong season for the Brewers, as his 71 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 9th in the league. He is also 2nd on the team with 17 homers.

As a team, the Brewers are 10th in scoring at 4.7 runs per game and have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and have the 2nd best on-base percentage in the league. Currently, the Brewers have three players with at least 12 homers and have the 2nd best team batting average in the league.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is 50-61 overall, putting them 4th in the NL East. They are 15.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone 16-15 against other teams in the NL East. The Nationals have dropped seven games behind the Mets for 3rd place in the division.

At home, the Nationals are 24-28 this season, and they are 26-33 on the road. Washington has really struggled as the underdog this year, going 40-52, compared to 10-9 as the favorite. The Nationals’ overall series record is 14-19-2.

Washington’s run line record is 63-48, with a -0.5 average run margin. They are 28-24 against the run line at home, with a -0.6 average run margin. As the underdog, they are 54-38 against the run line, compared to 9-10 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.4, while it’s -3.7 in losses.

The Washington Nationals are hosting the Milwaukee Brewers today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The Nationals have had an average combined run average of 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 56-51. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 10-9-2. Overall, 63.1% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs, and they are currently on a streak of five straight overs.

Washington is sending left-hander Mitchell Parker to the mound today vs. the Brewers. Parker has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 5-6 with an ERA of 4.31. So far, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 7.53 strikeouts per nine innings. Parker’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.21. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.

For the season, the Nationals are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. Their batting average of .242 is 13th in the MLB, and they are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. However, they have the fewest home runs in the league and are near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.

CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. are the Nationals’ top two home run hitters this season, and both have been swinging the bat well of late. Garcia Jr. has gone 10/24 in his last six games, and Abrams is batting .253 for the season but has gone just 5/30 in his last seven games. Alex Call has been hot of late, going 7/12 in his last five games.