Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 8/4/24

From Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have the Orioles and Guardians facing off in an AL matchup. First pitch for Sunday’s matchup is set for 1:40 PM ET. MASN will be televising this one, and the Orioles are favored on the money line (-140).

The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and today’s starting pitching matchup features Corbin Burnes for the Orioles and Gavin Williams for the Guardians. Baltimore is 1st in the AL East, while the Guardians are 1st in the AL Central.

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline +119

This game will be played at Progressive Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, August 4th.

HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS GUARDIANS:

• We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Baltimore rallied for four runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Orioles vs. Guardians series. The Orioles scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 8th, picking up a 7-4 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -117 on the money line.

Zach Eflin started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed one home run. Yennier Cano got the save. Joey Cantillo had a rough outing for the Guardians, taking the loss after going just four innings and giving up three earned runs.

At the plate, the Orioles were led by Gunnar Henderson, who went 3/5 with two runs scored. Henderson was the only player in the game to have more than two hits. Jose Ramirez hit a home run for the Guardians, going 1/4.

Orioles Records & Stats

Baltimore is currently tied with the Yankees for the AL East lead, and they lead the division with an overall record of 66-46. The Orioles are 23-10 against other teams in the AL East. So far, they have gone 34-25 at home and 32-21 on the road.

As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 54-36 this season, and they are 12-10 when coming into a game as the underdog. Baltimore has an overall series record of 22-10-3 this season.

Heading into today’s game vs. the Guardians, the Orioles are down 1-2 in the series. Over the last 10 games, they are 5-5.

When betting the Orioles on the run line, it’s been a better proposition to take them on the road, where they are 31-22 compared to 29-30 at home. They have a run differential of +0.9 on the road compared to +0.6 at home. As the favorite, they are 45-45 on the run line, while as the underdog, they are 15-7.

The Orioles are on the road against the Guardians with an over/under line of 8 runs. Their combined run average is 9.4, and their over/under record is 62-40. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 13-5-3. Overall, 58.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their current over streak is at 4 games.

Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 11-4 with a 2.47 ERA. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.04. In his last outing, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and got the win. Looking back over his last three outings, Burnes has given up just one earned run in each of those starts. He has made 18 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.31 strikeouts per nine innings.

As a team, the Orioles are the league’s top home run hitting team, and they are also 3rd in the majors in runs scored at 5.1 runs per game. Collectively, they are batting .255, which is the 5th best mark in the league. The Orioles also have the top slugging percentage in the league and are 2nd in OPS.

Anthony Santander has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 32 home runs are the 3rd most in the league. He is also 7th in the MLB with 75 RBIs. Over his last eight games, he has gone 10/31 with three homers. Colton Cowser has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/32 in his last eight games. He has two homers and six RBIs in that stretch.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland is currently 67-43 overall, putting them in 1st place in the AL Central. They hold a 5.5-game lead over the Twins for the division lead. The Guardians are 19-15 against other AL Central teams this year.

At home, the Guardians have gone 35-16 this season, and they are 32-27 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland is 48-23 this year, and they are 19-20 as the underdog. The Guardians have an overall series record of 22-10-3 this season.

When the Guardians are the favorite, they are 32-39 on the run line. In games where they are the underdog, they are 23-16. Their overall run line record is 55-55. Their average run differential is +0.8 runs per game. In wins, their average run differential is +3.4 runs per game, and in losses, it is -3.2 runs per game.

The Cleveland Guardians have had a combined run average of 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 53-51. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 8-9-2. Overall, 47.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs or higher, and their current over streak is at 3 games.

Gavin Williams will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that July 30th outing vs. the Tigers, he went five innings and gave up just two hits. Williams finished with eight strikeouts in the outing. Looking back at his last three outings, he has given up at least one homer in each. Williams’ ERA for the season is 3.72, along with a record of 1-3. Out of his six starts, he has one quality start. Williams’ ERA at home is 7.7 compared to 0.6 on the road.

The Guardians come into today’s game as one of the league’s top-scoring offenses, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, and are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams. Cleveland’s offense has done a good job of making contact this season, as they have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been two of the league’s top home run hitters this season, and both have been hot of late. Ramirez has gone deep five times in his last six games, while Naylor is batting .474 over his last five games and has also homered once during that stretch. Naylor also comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak.