Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 8/3/24
At 8:40 PM ET, the Rockies and Padres face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Padres are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -224. The money line odds for a Rockies win are at +185, and Colorado is currently on a three-game winning streak. The over/under line is at 8 runs.
Saturday’s forecast in San Diego calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 80s. Martín Pérez will start for the Padres, while the Rockies are sending Tanner Gordon to the mound.
COLORADO ROCKIES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8 Runs
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 8:40 ET on Saturday, August 3rd.
HOW TO BET THE ROCKIES VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rockies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Colorado picked up a 5-2 road win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Rockies had a huge 6th inning, scoring three of their five runs. As for the Padres, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Rockies were at +156 on the money line.
Austin Gomber started for the Rockies and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. On the other side, Randy Vásquez only went five innings for the Padres, giving up one earned run on three hits.
At the plate, Brendan Rodgers and Kris Bryant each had two RBIs for the Rockies. Rodgers, Charlie Blackmon, and Trevor Story each scored two runs for Colorado’s offense.
Rockies Records & Stats
Colorado is on the road today, taking on the Padres with an overall record of 41-70, which is good for 5th place in the NL West. Currently, they trail the Giants by 22.5 games for 4th place in the division and are 22.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead.
The Rockies have won three straight games, and they are 7-24-3 in series this year. At home, the Rockies are 24-29 and 17-41 on the road. As the road underdog, the Rockies are 17-41 this year.
Colorado has been a solid bet against the run line this season, posting a 56-55 record. They’ve been especially strong on the road, going 27-31 against the run line. They’ve covered the run line in each of their last three road games and have been a profitable underdog play, going 56-55 against the run line when getting points.
The Rockies are on the road against the Padres today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Rockies games this season is 10.1 runs, and their over/under record is 57-52. The average over/under line for Rockies games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 7-6-1. Overall, 70.3% of Rockies games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Tanner Gordon will be making his 4th start of the season for the Rockies, and he has yet to pick up a win. He has gone 6 innings in each of his first two starts, but has taken the loss in both. His last start was a 6-4 loss to the Giants, where he gave up 4 earned runs and struck out 5.
Michael Toglia has struggled this season for the Rockies, batting just .210, but he does lead the team with 19 home runs. Toglia has also gone deep twice in his last five games. Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle are the Rockies’ top two hitters this season, with Tovar batting .285 and Doyle at .269. Both players have 18 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 15th in the league.
As a team, the Rockies are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. At home, they are scoring 4.9 runs per contest. Colorado comes into the game with the league’s 12th best home run total and are batting a collective .243.
Padres Records & Stats
San Diego is 59-52 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL West. They are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Padres trail the Rockies by a half-game for the 2nd Wild Card spot in the National League. So far, they have gone just 17-18 in divisional games.
The Padres have won four straight series, and their overall series record is 21-12-3, which includes a road series winning streak of five straight. At home, they are 22-21 as the favorite and 31-23 on the road. San Diego has been the favorite in 63 of their games, and they are 33-30 in those matchups. They are 26-22 as the underdog.
When the Padres win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.5 runs per game. Overall, they have a run line record of 59-52, and they have been a better bet on the road, going 38-16 against the run line away from Petco Park.
The Padres are at home today against the Rockies, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Padres games this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 59-51. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 8-10-1. Overall, 41.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs.
Martín Pérez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces off against the Rockies at home. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 2-5 with an ERA of 5.21. So far, Pérez has turned in five quality starts, and opponents are batting .304 this season. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run against the Cardinals. Before that, he had given up at least five earned runs in three straight starts. Looking at his numbers, he has an ERA of 6.98 on the road compared to 5.06 at home.
Heading into today’s game, the Padres are the top-hitting team in the league, averaging 4.6 runs per game, and are also the league’s top home run hitting team. San Diego’s offense has been especially good at avoiding strikeouts, as they have the league’s 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league. One area they have struggled is in drawing walks, as they are currently 21st in the league in that category.
Jurickson Profar has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 18 homers are the best mark on the team and 15th best in the league. He is also 11th in the league with 70 RBIs. Over his last seven games, Manny Machado has gone 10/30 with four homers and is currently on a five-game hitting streak.