Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 8/3/24

Grant Holmes will start for the Braves on Saturday, and he is facing off against a Marlins team that is 40-70. Miami is starting Kyle Tyler, and they will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the Braves are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -248.

This NL East matchup has a start time of 7:20 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves will be looking to extend their four-game winning streak. The money line odds for a Marlins win are sitting at +203. BSFL will be televising this one.

MIAMI MARLINS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 9 Runs

This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Saturday, August 3rd.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS BRAVES:

• We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Braves to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

The most recent game o of this Braves vs Marlins series came right down to the end, as the Marlins rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 5-3 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -258 on the money line.

Spencer Schwellenbach pitched well for the Braves in this one, going seven innings and striking out 10 without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Joe Jiménez closed things out. Calvin Faucher took the loss for the Marlins out of the bullpen.

Atlanta’s offense was led by Orlando Arcia, who homered and went 2/3 at the plate. He scored three times and drove in two runs. As for the Marlins, Jonah Bride hit the game’s only other home run and drove in two runs.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is on the road today, playing the Braves, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they are 40-70 overall this season. In the NL East, they are in 5th place and trail the Phillies by 25.5 games. So far, they have gone just 9-23 against other teams in the NL East.

The Marlins have dropped two straight as the underdog, and they are 36-57 as the underdog overall this year. At home, the Marlins are 22-34 compared to 18-36 on the road. Miami’s overall series record is 10-20-4 this year.

The Marlins have a run line record of 51-59 this season, including a 26-28 mark on the road. They have failed to cover the run line in two straight games and are just 2-15 against the run line when favored.

The Miami Marlins are on the road against the Atlanta Braves today, where the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The Marlins have been involved in games with an average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and they have a 60-47 over/under record overall. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 3-10, and this is just the fifth time this season they have had an over/under line set at 9 runs. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and 83.6% of their games have had lower lines than 9 runs. Their current under streak is at 2 games.

Miami is sending right-hander Kyle Tyler to the mound today vs. the Braves. He has made five starts this season and has a record of 0-2 with an ERA of 4.74. Tyler’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.58. In his last outing, Tyler took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work vs. the Brewers. He has allowed at least one homer in three of his last four outings. Tyler has a walk rate of 4.38 per nine innings compared to just 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings.

So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.2 runs per contest. Miami’s offense is also near the bottom of the league in home runs and team on-base percentage. As a team, they are batting .237.

Over the past eight games, Jake Burger has been on fire for the Marlins, going 10/27 with four homers and six RBIs. This has moved him into the team lead in RBIs and home runs. Xavier Edwards has also been swinging a hot bat, going 13/30 in his last eight games. Josh Bell is currently on a seven-game hitting streak, while Jake Burger and Bryan De La Cruz have hit safely in four and five straight games, respectively.

Braves Records & Stats

Atlanta is currently five games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves will host the Marlins today with an overall record of 60-49, which includes an 18-14 mark in divisional games. Atlanta has won four straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 contests.

So far, the Braves have been good as the favorite, going 53-38, and they are 7-11 as the underdog this year. At home, the Braves have gone 32-21 compared to 28-28 on the road. Atlanta’s overall series record is 18-13-4, and they have dropped two straight series at home.

When betting the run line, the Braves have been a better bet on the road this season, going 28-28 compared to 23-30 at home. Overall, they are 51-58 against the run line, with an average run margin of 0.6 runs per game. They have been favored in 91 games this season, going 42-49 against the run line.

When the Braves are at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 39-65. When the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 8-13-3. This season, only 11.9% of their games have had lines set at 9 runs or higher, and their games have gone under the line in 66.1% of their games overall. Their games have gone under the line in each of their last two games.

Grant Holmes will be looking to build off his last outing, where he made one start and then finished the game out of the bullpen. Against the Brewers on July 29th, he went five innings, giving up one earned run, and finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he gave up three hits, issued three walks, and allowed one homer. Looking back at his last three outings, Holmes has finished with a no-decision in all of them. His ERA for the season is 2.54, along with a record of 0-0. Opponents are batting .190 this season off Holmes.

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .300 with 31 home runs and 85 RBIs. Ozuna’s 85 RBIs are 3rd in the league. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team in RBIs, but he has a batting average of just .225 for the season. Over his last five games, Olson has gone 3/17 with three homers.

As a team, the Braves are 6th in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. Overall, they are batting just .239 and are 23rd in strikeouts. The Braves have a few players on some solid hitting streaks, with Orlando Arcia leading the way at 12 games.