St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 8/1/24

Thursday’s matchup between the Cardinals and Cubs has a first pitch set for 8:05 PM ET from Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL. The Cardinals are 56-52 and have won two straight, putting them 2nd in the NL Central. The Cubs are 52-58 and Shota Imanaga on the mound.
The money line odds have the Cardinals at -104 compared to the Cubs at -115, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs. Sonny Gray is starting for the Cardinals, while the Cubs are starting Imanaga. The game can be seen on MARQ.
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK
The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline -104
This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 8:05 ET on Thursday, August 1st.
HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS CUBS:
- We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cubs to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Cardinals Records & Stats
The Cardinals’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rangers, closing out their series with a 10-1 win. After allowing one run to the Rangers in the top of the first, the Cardinals responded with three runs of their own. St. Louis went on to add another seven runs in the 2nd inning!
Starting for the Cardinals was Michael McGreevy, who picked up the win while tossing seven innings of one-run ball. He also issued just one walk and struck out three. Tommy Pham went 3/4 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Cardinals really broke things open with a seven-run 2nd inning, and Brendan Donovan was the one who started things off with a three-run homer.
St. Louis is 56-52 overall, putting them five games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Cardinals are 16-16 against other teams in the NL Central. They have won two straight games and closed out their series vs. the Rangers with a win.
At home, the Cardinals are 29-25 this season, and they are an even 27-27 on the road. As the favorite, St. Louis has gone 29-26 and 27-26 as the underdog. So far, they are 10-7 as the road favorite. The Cardinals’ overall series record is 17-14-3 this year.
When betting on the Cardinals’ run line, it’s important to note that they have a run line record of 54-54 on the season. They are 27-27 against the run line both at home and on the road. As the favorite, they are just 19-36 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 35-18. Their average run margin on the season is -0.3 runs per game, with a scoring margin of -0.2 at home and -0.4 on the road.
The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road against the Chicago Cubs today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The Cardinals and their opponents have combined to average 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 52-53. The average over/under line for their games this season is exactly 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 7-11-1. Overall, 63 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 58.3% of their games this season. The over has hit in each of their last three games.
Sonny Gray gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Cubs on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 10-6 with a 3.79 ERA. Gray’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Gray has a total of eight quality starts this season and is averaging 11.12 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has 138 strikeouts, and his ERA on the road is 5.6 compared to 2.9 at home.
Paul Goldschmidt has been swinging a hot bat for the Cardinals, going 12/38 in his last 10 games with three homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .264 with a team-high 18 homers. Alec Burleson is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he has 18 homers and is batting .281.
St. Louis comes into the game averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Overall, the Cardinals are 10th in batting average and have the 17th slugging percentage in the MLB.
Cubs Records & Stats
The Cubs’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Reds, closing out their series with a 13-4 win. After scoring two runs in the 2nd inning, the Cubs added another four runs in the 3rd to really break things open. Chicago went on to add another five runs in the 6th inning.
Starting for the Cubs was Kyle Hendricks, who picked up the win. He went five innings, giving up three earned runs on four hits. Ian Happ was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
With a record of 52-58, the Cubs are 5th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 10 games. Chicago’s overall record is 14-25 against other teams in the NL Central. The Cubs lost the final two games of their series vs. the Reds after taking the first game.
At home, the Cubs are 27-25 this season and 25-33 on the road. As the underdog, the Cubs have won three straight, and they are 10-6 as the home underdog this year. Chicago’s overall series record is 12-19-3, and they are 23-27 as the favorite compared to 29-31 as the underdog.
When betting the run line, the Cubs have been a better play on the road this season, going 34-24 compared to 19-33 at home. They have been a solid bet as an underdog, going 40-20 against the run line, while they have struggled as the favorite, going 13-37. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, while it drops to -3.2 in losses.
The Chicago Cubs have an over/under record of 46-60 this season, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Cubs are 4-14-1 in those games. Overall, 51.8% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, while 30.9% have had lines set below 8 runs.
Shota Imanaga gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces off against the Cardinals. So far this season, he has made 19 starts and has a record of 8-2 with an ERA of 2.95. Imanaga’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.07. In his 19 appearances, he has turned in 12 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Imanaga finished with a no-decision after giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. He has not taken a loss in his last three outings. One concerning stat for Imanaga is that he has allowed a home run in three straight starts.
So far this season, the Cubs offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per game, compared to just 4.0 runs per game at home. As a team, the Cubs are batting just .234, which is 17th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs.
Over his last 10 games, Ian Happ has gone 8/39 at the plate with two home runs and six runs scored. For the season, he is batting just .235, but his 17 homers are the most on the team and 14th in the league. Seiya Suzuki has also gone deep twice in his last 10 games, while batting .308.