Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 7/28/24
At 1:40 PM ET, the Braves and Mets face off in an NL East matchup. This one is being played at Citi Field in New York, and the Mets are the slight favorite on the money line (-110). The money line odds for the Braves are currently at -108.
There doesn’t appear to be much of a chance of rain for Sunday’s game in New York, with the forecasted temperature being 84 degrees and sunny. David Peterson is starting for the Mets, and the Braves are giving the ball to Reynaldo Lopez. Both teams are 55-48 or better, and they are 2nd and 3rd in the NL East. BSSE has this one on TV, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
NEW YORK METS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -110
This game will be played at Citi Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, July 28th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS METS:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
The most recent game o of this Mets and Braves series came right down to the end, as the Mets rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 4-3 on the road. Heading into the game, the Braves were at +102 on the money line.
Atlanta got to Mets starter Tylor Megill, scoring four runs off him in just six innings of work. As for the Braves, they only had six hits in the game and struck out 11 times.
Spencer Schwellenbach pitched well for the Braves in this one, going seven innings and striking out 11 without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Will Smith closed things out.
Braves Records & Stats
With an overall record of 55-48, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 9.5 games. So far, they have gone 15-14 in divisional matchups. The Braves are looking to pick up a win today, as they have dropped seven of their last ten games.
At home, the Braves have gone 30-21 this season, and they are just above .500 at 25-27 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 50-38 this season, and they are 5-10 as the underdog. Atlanta has an overall series record of 17-13-3, and their two most recent series losses have come at home.
When the Braves are favored, they are 39-49 on the run line. They have covered the run line in five of their last six games as the underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.6, while they are -3.1 in losses.
The Braves have played in 64 games this season with an over/under line set at 8 runs, and they have gone over the total in 4 of those contests. Atlanta’s games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the year is 36-62.
Right-hander Reynaldo López gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 7-4 with an ERA of 2.12. So far, López has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 8.85 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .223 off López this season.
Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late, going 10/28 with four homers over his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .307 with 30 homers and 82 RBIs, which is 2nd in the league. Ozuna’s 30 homers is the best mark on the Braves roster. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 14 homers but has struggled with a batting average of just .227.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in walks and on-base percentage. Overall, they are batting .239, which is 12th in the MLB right now.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets host the Braves today with an overall record of 55-49, and they are 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 10 games. New York can also make up a half-game on the Braves with a win today, as they currently trail Atlanta by a half-game for 2nd place in the division. So far, they have gone 20-15 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Mets are 28-27 this year and 27-22 on the road. New York has won three straight games as the underdog, and their overall record as the underdog is 22-22. As the favorite, the Mets are 33-27 this year, and they are 16-12-6 in series this year. Looking at their overall record, the Mets are 6-4 over their last ten games.
When the Mets win, they win big, averaging a run differential of +3.4. But when they lose, it’s by an average of -3.3 runs. Their overall run line record is 50-54, with a scoring differential of +0.2 runs per game. They are 23-32 against the run line at home and 27-22 on the road. As the underdog, they are 27-17 vs. the run line, and they have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog.
The Mets are 55-46 O/U this season, and their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, they are 12-5 O/U. Overall, 53 of their games have had O/U lines set above 8 runs, which is 51.0% of their games. The Mets have had a total of 87 games with O/U lines set at 8 runs or lower, which is 83.7% of their games.
David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today and is facing the Braves at home. So far this season, he has made nine starts and has a record of 5-0 with an ERA of 3.14. Looking at his overall numbers, Peterson has a WHIP of 1.48 and has turned in four quality starts. In his 48 2/3 innings of work, he has a strikeouts-per-nine figure of 6.66 and has issued 4.25 walks per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Peterson picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. He allowed one homer in that outing.
Francisco Lindor has been on a bit of a power surge of late, as he has five homers in his last eight games, while also hitting .257 during that stretch. For the season, he is batting .254 with a team-high 62 RBIs. Lindor’s 22 homers are 10th in the league. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo are also near the top of the Mets’ home run list, with 20 and 16 homers, respectively.
Overall, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are 7th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .248, which is 8th in the league, and have the 6th best OPS in the MLB.