Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 7/28/24
First pitch for Sunday’s Twins vs. Tigers matchup is set for 1:40 PM ET from Comerica Park in Detroit. The forecast for Sunday’s game features temperatures in the low 80s and partly cloudy skies.
Minnesota is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -180 compared to the Tigers at +149. Sunday’s starting pitching matchup is Bailey Ober for the Twins and Alex Faedo for the Tigers. Minnesota is 2nd in the AL Central, while the Tigers are 4th.
DETROIT TIGERS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline +149
This game will be played at Comerica Park at 1:40 ET on Sunday, July 28th.
HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS TIGERS:
- We have the Tigers winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Tigers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Detroit cruised to a 7-2 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Twins, they scored their only two runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Tigers were the slight underdogs at -104.
Tarik Skubal pitched well for the Tigers in this one, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts and picked up a win. Joe Ryan got the start for the Twins, going six innings and giving up three earned runs.
Detroit’s offense was led by Colt Keith and Javier Baez, as they were the only two Tigers hitters to have more than one hit. Keith also hit the game’s only home run. On the other side, Royce Lewis went 2/4 with a homer for the Twins.
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota is 57-46 overall and is 4.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Twins are 20-14 against other teams in the AL Central. So far, they are 29-21 at home compared to 28-25 on the road.
As the favorite, the Twins have gone 45-27 this year and 22-10 as the road favorite. Minnesota’s overall series record is 20-11-1, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
When the Twins win, they win big, as their average run differential in victories is 3.6 runs. When they lose, they lose big, as their average run differential in losses is -3.5 runs. Their overall run line record is 49-54, including a 29-24 mark on the road. They have been favored in 72 games, going 32-40 against the run line, while they have been the underdog in 31 games, going 17-14.
Minnesota is on the road against Detroit today. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average of 9.3 runs per game. The Twins have hit the over in 53 of their 101 games this season, but when the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone under in 15 of 24 games. The over has hit in their last three games.
Right-hander Bailey Ober gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Tigers on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 9-5 with a 4.04 ERA. Opponents have a batting average of .223 this season off Ober, and his WHIP is currently 1.06. In his 19 starts, Ober has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 9.25 strikeouts per nine innings. Ober’s last outing came on July 22nd, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
Carlos Correa comes into the game as one of the league’s top hitters, with a batting average of .308, and he also leads the Twins with 47 RBIs. Correa’s 13 homers are the 2nd most on the team, behind Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers, who have each gone deep 14 times this season. Jeffers and Santana are also tied for the team lead in RBIs.
Minnesota’s offense has been good across the board this season, as they are 6th in runs per game, and have the 5th best team batting average in the league. They also have the 5th best slugging percentage in the MLB.
Tigers Records & Stats
Detroit is 52-54 overall and trail the Guardians by 11 games in the AL Central. So far, they are 19-16 in divisional games. The Tigers will be hosting the Twins today with an overall home record of 25-25, and they are 27-29 on the road this year.
As the home underdog, the Tigers have gone 10-10 this season, and they are 22-20 as the favorite. Detroit’s overall series record is 14-14-4, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games, including taking two of three from the Orioles in their most recent series.
Despite being .500 overall, the Tigers have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 54-52. They’ve been even better on the run line on the road, going 33-23, compared to 21-29 at home. They’ve been a good bet as an underdog, going 42-22, but have struggled as a favorite, going just 12-30.
The Detroit Tigers are at home against the Minnesota Twins today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Tigers games this season is 8.6, and their over/under record is 58-45. The average over/under line in their games is exactly 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 14-11-2. Overall, 35.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and 38.7% have had lower lines. The over has hit in each of their last two games.
Right-hander Alex Faedo is getting the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Twins at home. He has made 31 appearances this season and just one start. Faedo’s record is 5-1, and he has an ERA of 3.47. Looking back at his last outing, Faedo went 2 innings out of the bullpen and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight outings. Opponents are batting .225 off Faedo this season, and his WHIP is 1.24.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. Their team batting average of .233 is 17th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and OPS. Detroit’s top power hitter this season has been Riley Greene, who has 17 homers and is batting .264. Greene also leads the Tigers with 51 RBIs.
Over his last seven games, Javier Báez has three home runs but is just 5/26 overall. This comes after a strong start to his time with the Tigers. Colt Keith is on a seven-game hitting streak, and Báez, Bligh Madris, and Parker Meadows are all on three-game streaks.