Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 7/26/24
Both the Braves and Mets will be looking to pick up a win on Friday, as they are facing off in an NL East matchup. However, the forecast doesn’t look great in New York, as there figures to be broken clouds and temperatures in the mid-80s. SNY has this one on TV.
Charlie Morton is starting for the Braves, and they are the +116 underdog on the money line. The Mets are sending Kodai Senga to the mound. They are -136 at home and will be looking to extend their four-game winning streak.
NEW YORK METS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -136
This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Friday, July 26th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS METS:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Braves to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
New York picked up a 3-2 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had just three hits in the game but took advantage of some poor pitching from the Braves, as they issued 12 walks and gave up two homers. Heading into the game, the Mets were at -102 on the money line.
Luis Severino got the start for the Mets, going just five innings while giving up two hits and two earned runs. Phil Maton got the win out of the bullpen, and Edwin Diaz got the save. Chris Sale put together a good outing for the Braves, going 7 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on two hits.
Offensively, the Mets were led by Francisco Lindor and Jeff McNeil, as they were the only two Mets hitters to have more than one hit. Lindor, Austin Riley, and Matt Olson each homered for their respective teams.
Braves Records & Stats
Atlanta is on the road today vs. the Mets, and they are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, which includes dropping the first game of this series vs. the Mets. Currently, the Braves are 9.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. This season, the Braves have gone 14-13 in divisional games.
As the favorite, the Braves are 50-38 this season and 4-9 as the underdog. When playing at home, they are 30-21 compared to 24-26 on the road. Atlanta’s overall record is 54-47 heading into today’s game, and they have dropped seven of their last ten games. The Braves’ overall series record is 17-13-3, and they have lost two straight series.
When the Braves win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.1 runs. Their overall run line record is 45-56, and they are 24-26 against the run line on the road.
The Braves are on the road today against the Mets. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Braves games this season is 7.9 runs per game. Overall, the Braves have an over/under record of 35-61 this season. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Braves have a record of 4-8-1. So far this season, 64 of the Braves’ games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs, which accounts for 63.4% of their games. Only 24 of their games have had over/under lines set at less than 8 runs, which accounts for 23.8% of their games.
Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 5-5 with an ERA of 3.92. Morton’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. In his last outing, Morton finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had gone four straight starts without giving up a homer, but he has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings. Morton has made eight starts on the road and has a record of 2-2 with a 4.56 ERA.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 28 homers are 3rd in the MLB and leads the Braves. Ozuna is also hitting .305 for the season and has been even better of late, going 14/36 in his last 10 games with four homers. Austin Riley and Matt Olson are also near the top of the Braves’ home run leaderboard, with 13 homers apiece.
Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. This is also the same number of runs they are averaging both at home and on the road. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 14th in the league, and have the 11th best slugging percentage in the league.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are on a four-game winning streak, and they are 54-48 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 10 games for the division lead. New York took the first game of this series vs. the Braves, and Atlanta is just a half-game ahead of the Mets in the NL East.
So far, the Mets have gone 19-14 in divisional games. They have been good on the road this year, going 27-22 compared to 27-26 at home. As the favorite, the Mets are 32-26 and 20-16 as the favorite at home. Looking at their overall record, the Mets have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games.
When the Mets win, they do so by an average of 3.4 runs, which is why they have a 49-53 run line record. They are 27-22 against the run line on the road, where they are outscoring opponents by 0.4 runs per game. At home, they are just 22-31 against the run line, with an average scoring margin of 0.1 runs per game.
When the Mets are at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season. The over/under record for Mets games this season is 54-45, and when the line is set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 12-4. Overall, 53 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 52.0% of their games.
Coming off a season in which he made 29 starts, Kodai Senga finished with a record of 12-7 and an ERA of 2.98. His WHIP for the season was 1.22, and he allowed a batting average of .201. Senga’s FIP for the season was 3.63, and he finished the year with 16 quality starts. For the season, Senga averaged 10.93 strikeouts per nine innings and 4.17 walks per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 2.6.
Francisco Lindor has been on a tear of late for the Mets, going 14/39 in his last 10 games with six homers and 14 RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .259 with 22 homers and 62 RBIs. Lindor’s 22 homers are the best mark on the team and 7th best in the league. Pete Alonso is also a power threat in the lineup, as he is 9th in the league with 20 homers and has driven in 53 runs.
As a team, the Mets are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in homers and have the 8th best on-base percentage in the league.