Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 7/26/24

From Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, we have the Mariners and White Sox facing off. The Mariners are 53-51 and they have George Kirby on the mound on Friday. The White Sox are 27-78 and are starting Drew Thorpe. Seattle is 2nd in the AL West, while the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central.
Seattle is currently on a three-game losing streak and they are favored on the money line today at -161. The White Sox are the +136 underdog, and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs. NBCS will be televising this AL matchup.
CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Chicago White Sox Moneyline +136
This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field at 8:10 ET on Friday, July 26th.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS WHITE SOX:
- We have the White Sox winning by a score of 4.1 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the White Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 8.1 runs and like the over
Mariners Records & Stats
The Mariners will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Angels with a 2-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Angels scored two runs in the top of the 8th. Seattle was the -168 favorite at home going into the game.
Luis Castillo was excellent for the Mariners, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out seven Angels batters. However, the Mariners’s bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and Gregory Santos took the loss out of the bullpen. The Mariners also wasted a big game from Mitch Haniger, who homered in the 1st inning, going 1/3.
Seattle is on the road today, taking on the White Sox, having dropped three straight games, and they are 53-51 overall this season. The Mariners are in 2nd place in the AL West, one game behind the Astros for the division lead. Their record in the AL West is 19-13 this season.
At home, the Mariners have gone 31-23 compared to 22-28 on the road. This year, the Mariners are just one game below .500 as the underdog, going 19-19. As for their record as the favorite, it is 34-32, and they lost three straight games as the favorite.
Seattle is 22-28 on the run line on the road this season, and is currently on a three-game run line losing streak. They are 21-17 on the run line as an underdog this season, and are 45-59 overall on the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.2, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.1.
Seattle is on the road against the White Sox today, and the O/U line is set at 7.5 runs. The Mariners and their opponents have combined to average 7.4 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 42-57. When the O/U line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 12 of their 31 games. The under has hit in three straight games for Seattle.
Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today as he faces the White Sox on the road. Kirby has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 7-7 with an ERA of 3.20. Looking at his overall numbers, Kirby has a WHIP of .98 and has turned in 14 quality starts. In his 21 outings, he has only allowed 11 home runs and is averaging 8.88 strikeouts per nine innings. Kirby most recently pitched on July 20th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. He only issued one walk in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.
Cal Raleigh has driven in the most runs for the Mariners this season and is also 9th in the league in RBIs. However, he is batting just .210 this season and has struck out a lot. Mitch Garver is also near the top of the Mariners’ home run leaderboard but is batting only .168. Julio Rodriguez has been a bright spot, as he is hitting .263 for the season and has gone 7/21 in his last six games.
Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are 28th in runs per game and are batting just .216. As a team, they are also the league’s worst in terms of striking out. Overall, they are averaging 3.8 runs per game.
White Sox Records & Stats
The White Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 2-1 loss. Chicago was the +211 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the White Sox, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Rangers scored in the bottom of the third.
Chicago started Jonathan Cannon, and he took the loss, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on eight hits. The White Sox’s offense scored only one run on five hits and didn’t have a single home run.
With an overall record of 27-78, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central, 35.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. Chicago has dropped 11 straight games, heading into today’s matchup vs. the Mariners. This losing streak comes after losing the final three games of their series vs. the Twins.
At home, the White Sox are just 17-34 this season, and they are only slightly better on the road, going 10-44. So far, they have really struggled in day games, going 10-35 compared to 17-43 in night games. As the underdog, the White Sox are 22-75 this season, and they are 5-3 when favored. Chicago’s overall series record is 6-26-2, and they have lost six straight series.
The White Sox are 24-27 on the run line at home this season, and their average run margin is -1.4 runs per game. They have covered the run line in just five of their eight games as the favorite this season and are 42-55 on the run line as the underdog. Their average run margin in losing games is -3.6 runs per game.
The Chicago White Sox have an over/under record of 45-56 this season, with an average over/under line of 8 runs per game. Their combined run average this season is 8.1 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the White Sox have gone over the total in 9 out of 25 games. Overall, 64.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Through seven starts, Drew Thorpe has a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 3.03 for the White Sox. He has made five quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Royals on July 21st, Thorpe went six innings, giving up just three hits and two walks. He finished with five strikeouts in the outing. Overall, he has a BB/9 figure of 3.96 compared to 5.59 strikeouts per nine innings. Thorpe has been much better at home, with an ERA of 3.0 compared to 4.42 on the road.
Chicago’s offense has really struggled this season, as they are averaging just 3.1 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in most other offensive categories, including on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. The White Sox are also one of the league’s worst home run hitting teams, as they are 23rd in the league in homers.
Andrew Vaughn has been the team’s top run producer this season, with 44 RBIs, and he is also 3rd on the team with 11 homers. Vaughn is batting just .234 this season. Paul DeJong leads the team with 17 homers but is batting just .223. Luis Robert Jr. is 2nd on the team with 12 homers and is batting .222.