Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 7/26/24
The forecast looks good for Friday’s Twins vs. Tigers matchup, with the temperature sitting in the low 80s and clear skies in Detroit. First pitch from Comerica Park is set for 6:40 PM ET. BSN is carrying this one on TV.
Minnesota is currently 56-45 and 2nd in the AL Central, while the Tigers are 4th in the division with an overall record of 51-53. Detroit is the home underdog on the money line (+143), while the Twins are favored at -168. Friday’s over/under line is at 8 runs.
DETROIT TIGERS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline +143
This game will be played at Comerica Park at 6:40 ET on Friday, July 26th.
HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS TIGERS:
- We have the Tigers winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Tigers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Twins Records & Stats
The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Phillies, closing out their series with a 5-4 win. After allowing one run to the Phillies in the top of the first, the Twins responded with a run of their own and added three more in the 2nd inning. Minnesota was the +115 underdog at home going into the game.
Steven Okert got the start for the Twins, going only one-third of an inning. He was pulled early, as the Phillies scored another run in the 2nd to tie things up. Matt Wallner came off the bench to hit a homer for the Twins but went only 1/2.
Minnesota is 56-45 overall and trails the Guardians by 4.5 games in the AL Central. The Twins are 19-13 against other teams in the division. Today, they are on the road to take on the Tigers, and they are 27-24 on the road this year.
As the favorite, the Twins have gone 44-26 this year, and they are 21-9 as the favorite on the road. Minnesota closed out their series vs. the Phillies with a win and took the series 2-1. So far this year, they have an overall series record of 20-11-1.
Minnesota is 48-53 against the run line this season, including a 28-23 mark on the road. The Twins have covered the run line in two straight road games, but they are just 20-30 against the run line at home. Minnesota has an average run margin of +0.4 runs per game this season.
The Minnesota Twins are on the road today against the Detroit Tigers, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The Twins’ games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 51-48. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-15-2. In 38.6% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs.
Right-hander Pablo López gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Tigers on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 8-7 with an ERA of 4.87. Lopez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.15. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Lopez has a total of nine quality starts this season and is averaging 10.38 strikeouts per nine innings.
Heading into today’s game, the Twins are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they have been a good power-hitting team, as they are 8th in home runs and have the league’s 4th best ISO. As a team, they are batting .252, which is 7th in the league.
Carlos Correa has been the Twins’ top power threat this season, as he is 2nd on the team with 13 homers and is batting .308. He also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak. Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana are tied for the team lead with 47 RBIs and have also gone deep 14 times this season.
Tigers Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Guardians, the Tigers closed out the series with a 3-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +127 on the money line. Offensively, the Tigers scored their three runs on eight hits and only hit one home run.
Tyler Holton got the start for the Tigers but only went two innings. He didn’t give up a run, but the Tigers pulled him early. Easton Lucas got the win out of the bullpen and Shelby Miller picked up the save. Javier Baez was 1/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Detroit is 51-53 overall, and they are 4th in the AL Central, 11 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Tigers have an 18-15 record in AL Central matchups this year. At home, the Tigers are 24-24 this season and 27-29 on the road.
So far, the Tigers have gone 22-20 as the favorite and 29-33 as the underdog. They come into today’s game having won two straight at home, and their overall series record is 14-14-4. Detroit has gone 6-4 across their last ten games, which includes splitting their most recent series vs. the Guardians.
The Tigers have been a solid run line team this season, going 53-51 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 33-23 against the run line. They have also been a good bet as the underdog, going 41-21 against the run line in those games. The Tigers have been a good bet lately, covering the run line in 13 of their last 15 games as the underdog.
With an over/under line of 8 runs, the Detroit Tigers have played 38 of their games this season with higher lines, which accounts for 36.5% of their games. Their combined run average is 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record is 56-45 overall. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 14-11-2. The under has hit in their last two games.
Right-hander Keider Montero gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Twins at home. He has made 5 starts and 6 appearances this season, coming into the game with a record of 1-3 and an ERA of 5.97. Montero’s WHIP for the season is 1.39, and he has a batting average allowed of .268. The last time he pitched, Montero took the loss, giving up 5 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. He has given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Montero’s ERA at home is 6.92 compared to 5.64 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 18th in the MLB. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.4 runs per game. As a team, the Tigers are batting just .233, and their on-base percentage of .298 is also near the bottom of the league. Detroit’s team slugging percentage of .388 is 16th in the league.
Riley Greene has been a bright spot for the Tigers this season, as he is batting .264 with a team-high 17 homers and 51 RBIs. Justyn-Henry Malloy has gone 5/18 over his last six games, including two homers, and Wenceel Perez has two homers in his last eight games, but he is batting just .194 in that stretch.