San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 7/25/24
There appears to be a chance of light rain for Thursday’s Padres vs. Nationals game in Washington, D.C., as the forecasted temperature is 74 degrees. Dylan Cease will start for the Padres, while the Nationals are starting Patrick Corbin. The money line odds have the Padres at -185 compared to the Nationals at +155. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 12:05 PM ET, and MASN will be televising this NL matchup. The Padres are currently on a four-game winning streak and are 54-50, while the Nationals are 47-55 and have lost two straight. Washington is the 4th favorite in the NL East.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +155
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 12:05 ET on Thursday, July 25th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS NATIONALS:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
San Diego cruised to a 12-3 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their twelve runs. As for the Nationals, they scored their only three runs in the 1st. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -110.
Matt Waldron got the win for the Padres, going six innings and giving up just three earned runs. Mitchell Parker had a rough outing for the Nationals, taking the loss after going just three innings and giving up six earned runs.
Xander Bogaerts and Jackson Merrill each had four hits for the Padres’ offense. Bogaerts, Kyle Higashioka, and Jurickson Profar each homered for San Diego. Higashioka had three hits and three RBIs.
Padres Records & Stats
San Diego is on a four-game winning streak, and they are 54-50 overall this season. The Padres are 7.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West and are 2nd in the division. So far, they have gone 15-17 in divisional matchups.
As the road team today, the Padres are 28-22 on the road this year. They have been just below .500 at home, going 26-28. San Diego has won four straight games on the road and have an overall series record of 18-13-3 this year. They have also won three straight series on the road while dropping three straight series at home.
The Padres have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 54-50 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, where they are 35-15. Their average run margin on the road is +1.1 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in four straight road games. They have also been a good bet on the run line as an underdog, going 31-14.
The Padres are on the road against the Nationals today. Their combined run average is 8.8, and their over/under record for the season is 54-49. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the Padres have a record of 14-11. Overall, 16.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Nationals on the road. Cease has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 9-8 with a 3.76 ERA. In his 21 appearances, Cease has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 11.73 strikeouts per nine innings. Cease’s most recent outing was on July 20th, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He allowed just one hit in that outing. Before that, Cease had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
So far this season, the Padres have been the league’s best hitting team, with a team batting average of .262. They also lead the league in fewest strikeouts per game and are near the top of the league in home runs. Overall, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. San Diego has been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game.
Jurickson Profar has been a key power bat for the Padres this season, as his 16 home runs are the best mark on the team and 14th in the league. He also comes into the game with the 15th most RBIs in the league (62). However, Profar has gone just 8/43 in his last 10 games. Luis Arraez has been one of the Padres’ most consistent hitters, batting .311 for the season and is on a six-game hitting streak.
Nationals Records & Stats
Washington is 47-55 overall this season, and they are 4th in the NL East, 17 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Nationals are also 10.5 games behind the Mets for 3rd place in the division. So far, they have gone 16-15 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Nationals are 23-26 this year and 24-29 on the road. Washington has dropped two straight games, and this came after winning two straight series. So far, they have an overall series record of 13-17-2.
The Nationals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 57-45 overall. They are 27-22 against the run line at home and 30-23 on the road. They have been a profitable run line bet as the underdog, going 48-35. Their average run differential in wins is +3.3, while their average run differential in losses is -3.6.
The Washington Nationals are playing at home today against the San Diego Padres. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than their season average of 9 runs per game. The Nationals have played 31 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season, and their record in those games is 15-16.
Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces off against the Padres. This year, he has made 20 starts and has a record of 2-9 with a 5.35 ERA. Corbin’s WHIP for the season is 1.49, and opponents are batting .287 off him this year. In his last outing, Corbin picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Corbin has allowed a homer in each of his last three outings.
Washington’s offense comes into the game averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is only good for 20th in the league. They have been even worse in terms of home runs, as their 85 homers are the worst in the league. As a team, the Nationals are batting .239, which is 13th in the league, and have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league. Over his last seven games, Juan Yepez has gone 11/27 (.407) with two homers and six RBIs.
CJ Abrams has been the Nationals’ top power threat this season, as his 15 homers is the best on the team and 15th in the league. He is batting .262 for the season. Luis Garcia Jr. is right behind him with 11 homers and is batting .278 for the season. Abrams also leads the team with 49 RBIs, while Garcia Jr. has 45 RBIs.