Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 7/25/24
Thursday’s interleague matchup between the Orioles and Marlins is set to get started at 12:10 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami, FL. Baltimore is currently on a three-game losing streak and their record of 60-41 has them in 1st place in the AL East. Miami has won two straight and is 5th in the NL East with an overall record of 37-65.
The money line odds have the Orioles at -268 compared to the Marlins at +219, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. BSFL is carrying this game on TV, and Corbin Burnes is starting for the Orioles, while the Marlins are going with Roddery Munoz.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs
This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 12:10 ET on Thursday, July 25th.
HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS MARLINS:
- We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Orioles to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Miami rallied for three runs in the 4th inning in the most recent game of this Marlins vs. Orioles series. The Marlins scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the 4th, picking up a 6-3 win. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +120 on the money line.
Edward Cabrera started for the Marlins, going just 5 1/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out six. He did not factor in the decision as Andrew Nardi got the win out of the bullpen. Tanner Scott got the save for the Marlins.
Chayce McDermott only went four innings for the Orioles, giving up three runs on five hits. He took the loss in the game. Jacob Webb got the win out of the bullpen.
Orioles Records & Stats
The Orioles are 60-41 overall this season, putting them 1.5 games ahead of the Yankees in the AL East. Baltimore has dropped three straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Marlins 0-2. So far, they have gone 20-9 against other AL East teams.
At home, the Orioles are 30-22 this season, and they have gone 30-19 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 48-33 this year and 12-8 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Orioles are 21-8-3 and have won three straight series on the road.
When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 30-19. They have a run line record of 55-46 overall. The average run differential in their games is +0.8 runs per game.
When the Baltimore Orioles play, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged a combined 9.0 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record in Orioles games is 52-39, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, the record is 16-13. Baltimore’s games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs in 26 of their contests this year, which is 25.7% of their games. Currently, the Orioles are on a two-game over streak.
Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 20 starts this year and has a record of 10-4 with a 2.38 ERA. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.04. In his last outing, he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work, coming away with the win. Looking back over his last four outings, Burnes has given up two earned runs in three of them. Burnes has been especially tough on the road, coming in with a record of 5-2 and a 2.86 ERA.
Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 1st in slugging percentage and isolated power. Overall, they are 3rd in the league in runs per game at 4.9. One of the reasons they have been so good offensively is that they have the 2nd best road offense in the league at 5.3 runs per game.
Anthony Santander has been on a tear of late, going 12/36 (.333) over his last nine games, with four homers and nine RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in RBIs (66) while batting .243 for the season. Santander is also on a 10-game hitting streak. Gunnar Henderson has also been a key power threat for the Orioles, as he is 3rd in the league with 28 homers.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is 37-65 overall and 27.0 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have gone just 9-21 in divisional games. The Marlins have won two straight games, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Marlins are 22-33 this season, and they are 15-32 on the road. This year, the Marlins are just 4-13 when favored and 33-52 as the underdog. Miami’s overall series record is 8-21-3 this year.
When looking at the Marlins’ run line record, they have been better on the road (23-24) than at home (24-31). They have covered the run line in two straight games overall and as an underdog. The Marlins have been a run line underdog in 85 games this season and have covered in 45 of them. Their average run differential in their wins is +2.6, while it is -3.7 in their losses.
The Miami Marlins are playing at home today against the Baltimore Orioles, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Marlins have had a combined run average of 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 55-45. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 18-16. So far this season, 16.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their current over streak is at 3 games.
Roddery Muñoz gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces off against the Orioles at home. So far this season, he has made 10 starts and 11 total appearances. Muñoz’s record for the season is 1-5, and he has an ERA of 5.14. Looking at his home/away splits, he is 0-3 on the road with a 5.07 ERA compared to 1-2 at home with a 6.06 ERA. Muñoz has made two quality starts this year and is coming off an outing where he gave up one earned run in five innings of work.
So far this season, the Marlins are the worst scoring team in the league, averaging just 3.5 runs per game. They have been even worse on the road, putting up only 3 runs per contest. Miami is also near the bottom of the league in terms of home runs and slugging percentage. As a team, they are batting .236, which is below the league average.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Chisholm Jr. leading the team with 49 RBIs and De La Cruz’s 17 homers being 13th in the league. De La Cruz is batting just .240 for the season, and Chisholm Jr. has a batting average of .251. Over his last seven games, Jake Burger has gone 7/27 with two homers, and Xavier Edwards has gone 9/21 in that stretch.