Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 7/24/24

The Orioles are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, and they are the favorites on the money line (-148) heading into Wednesday’s interleague matchup with the Marlins. Miami comes in with a record of 36-65 and they are 5th in the NL East. Edward Cabrera is starting for the Marlins, while the Orioles are going with Chayce McDermott.

Wednesday’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and MASN will be televising this interleague matchup. First pitch from loanDepot Park in Miami is set for 6:40 PM ET.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -148

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, July 24th.

HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS MARLINS:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Orioles to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Miami picked up a 6-3 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their three runs in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +147 on the money line.

Kyle Tyler only went 4 2/3 innings for the Marlins but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. A.J. Puk got the win out of the bullpen, and Tanner Scott got the save. Albert Suarez only went two innings for the Orioles, giving up six runs on eight hits.

Jesus Sanchez and Jazz Chisholm Jr. each homered for the Marlins, while Josh Bell went 2/4 with two RBIs. Ryan O’Hearn hit a two-run homer for the Orioles.

Orioles Records & Stats

The Orioles are 60-40 overall and lead the AL East by 1.5 games over the Yankees. Baltimore has dropped two straight games, and they trail the Marlins 1-0 in the series. So far, they have gone 20-9 against other teams in the AL East.

At home, the Orioles are 30-22 this year, and they have been really good on the road at 30-18. As the favorite, Baltimore is 48-32 this year, and they are 12-8 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Orioles are 21-8-3 and have won three straight series on the road. Their overall series record is 21-8-3.

The Orioles are 30-18 against the run line on the road this season, and their average run differential in those games is +1.2 runs per game. They are 55-45 overall against the run line this season, with an average run differential of +0.9 runs per game. They are 40-40 against the run line as the favorite and 15-5 as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +3.8 runs per game, compared to -3.5 runs per game in losses.

When the Baltimore Orioles are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Orioles have a combined run average of 9.0 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 51-39, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-13. In 26% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs.

For today’s game against the Marlins, the Orioles will rely on Chayce McDermott to set the tone. It’s his debut for the season and he’s looking to put together a strong start in his debut.

Anthony Santander has been on a tear for the Orioles, going 10/29 in his last seven games, with four homers and nine RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s top spot in RBIs and 2nd in home runs. Santander’s recent surge has his season average at .242. Gunnar Henderson has also been a big power threat for the Orioles, as his 28 homers are the best mark on the team and 3rd in the league. He is batting .287 for the season.

Overall, the Orioles lead the league in home runs and are 2nd in scoring, at 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .253 and have the league’s top slugging percentage. Not only do they have the top home run offense in the league, but the Orioles also have the best isolated power figure in the league.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 36-65 overall and trails the Phillies by 28 games in the NL East. Currently, they are in 5th place in the division and have gone just 9-21 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins picked up a win in the first game of this series vs. the Orioles.

At home, the Marlins are 21-33 this season and 15-32 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the favorite, going just 4-13. As the underdog, the Marlins are 32-52 this year. Miami’s overall series record is 8-21-3 this year.

When betting the run line on the Marlins, it’s best to take them as the underdog, as they are 44-40 against the run line in those games. They have a losing record against the run line at home, going 23-31, and are just 2-15 against the run line as the favorite. Miami’s average run differential is -1.5 runs per game, and they have gone over the run line in 46 of their 101 games this season.

When the Miami Marlins host the Baltimore Orioles, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Marlins have played to an over/under record of 54-45 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Marlins have gone over 18 times and under 16 times. The over has hit in two straight games for Miami.

Miami is starting Edward Cabrera today, and he comes into the game with a record of 1-3 and ERA of 7.36. So far, he has made eight starts and one of them was a quality start. Cabrera’s ERA at home is 5.54, compared to 14.1 on the road. In his last outing, he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up one earned run on five hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up seven earned runs in back-to-back starts. The right-hander has allowed at least one homer in four straight starts.

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.0 runs per contest. Miami’s offense is also last in the league in home runs and is near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. However, they do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, including Jake Burger, who is hitting .393 over his last seven games with three homers.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. is the Marlins’ top power threat, with 13 home runs this season, and he also leads the team with 47 RBIs. Bryan De La Cruz is right behind him in terms of RBIs, with 45, and has 17 homers, which is 13th in the league. However, De La Cruz is hitting just .239 for the season.