Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 7/24/24
The Guardians come into this AL Central matchup vs. the Tigers, who are 4th in the division, with a record of 60-40, and they are the betting favorite at -150. The Tigers are 50-52 overall and they have Jack Flaherty on the mound. The Guardians will start Tanner Bibee.
Wednesday’s forecast in Cleveland calls for light rain and temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. BSDET will be televising this one, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs. First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 6:40 PM ET.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -150
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, July 24th.
HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Tigers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Cleveland picked up a 5-4 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 6th and another three in the 7th. As for the Tigers, they scored two runs in the 4th and added two more in the 7th.
Xzavion Curry got the start for the Guardians, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out one. He did not factor in the decision, as Cade Smith got the win out of the bullpen. Emmanuel Clase got the save. Tyler Holton only went 1 2/3 innings for the Tigers, giving up zero earned runs on one hit.
Jose Ramirez and Jhonkensy Noel each homered for the Guardians, while Steven Kwan scored three times and drove in a run while going 2/3. Wenceel Perez had a two-run homer for the Tigers.
Tigers Records & Stats
Detroit is 50-52 overall this season, and they are 11 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 17-14 in divisional games. The Tigers will be on the road today, and they are 26-28 on the road compared to 24-24 at home.
The Tigers have won four straight series, and their overall series record is 14-13-4 this year. As the underdog, Detroit is 28-32 this year, and they are 19-23 as the road underdog. Detroit has dropped two straight games as the underdog, and they are 22-20 when favored this year. Looking at their most recent games, the Tigers are 7-3 over their last 10.
When betting the run line on the Detroit Tigers this season, it’s been a good idea to take them on the road. They are 31-23 against the run line away from home, including a current streak of eight wins. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 39-21 against the run line, while they are just 12-30 when favored.
The Detroit Tigers are on the road today against the Cleveland Guardians, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Tigers have had a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 56-43. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 16-10. Overall, 63.7% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and their current over streak is at five games.
Jack Flaherty gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces off against the Guardians on the road. So far this season, he has made 17 starts and has a record of 7-5 to go along with an ERA of 3.13. Flaherty’s WHIP for the season is currently .96. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. Looking back further, he has turned in a quality start in 10 of his outings this year. Flaherty’s ERA on the road is 2.88 compared to 3.52 at home.
The Tigers offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game this season, which is 15th in the league. They have been about the same on the road and at home, averaging 4.3 and 4.4 runs per game, respectively. As a team, the Tigers are batting just .234, which is 19th in the MLB, and their on-base percentage of .299 is also near the bottom of the league.
Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ top power hitter this season, as his 17 homers is 1st on the team and 13th in the league. Greene is also batting .268 for the season. Matt Vierling has gone 11/34 in his last eight games, but he has not gone deep during this stretch. Justyn-Henry Malloy and Colt Keith have both gone deep twice in their last eight and nine games, respectively.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is 60-40 overall this season, and they lead the AL Central by five games over the Twins. The Guardians will host the Tigers today, and they are 16-14 in divisional games this year. The Guardians are looking to bounce back, as they have lost seven of their last ten games.
So far, the Guardians have been good at home, going 32-14 compared to 28-26 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland has gone 44-22 this year and 29-12 as the favorite at home. The Guardians’ overall series record is 19-10-2, but they have dropped three straight series.
When the Guardians win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.4 runs per game. They are 49-51 on the run line this season, including 22-24 at home. Their overall run differential is +0.8 runs per game, and they are 27-27 on the run line on the road. As the favorite, they are 29-37 on the run line, while they are 20-14 as the underdog.
The Cleveland Guardians are playing host to the Detroit Tigers today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Guardians games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 49-45. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, Cleveland’s record is 15-15. Overall, 64.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.
Cleveland will be sending Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Tigers. The right-hander has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 8-4. Bibee’s ERA for the season is 3.58, along with a WHIP of 1.11. In his 20 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 10.25 strikeouts per nine innings. Bibee’s last outing came vs. the Padres, where he picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. One of those losses came vs. the Tigers, where he gave up three homers and four earned runs.
Jose Ramirez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/21 in his last five games, including one home run and five RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in homers (24) and RBIs (82). Josh Naylor is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 71 runs batted in is 5th in the MLB. Naylor has 22 homers this season.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are 12th in home runs and have the 12th best team batting average in the league. Cleveland is also one of the best teams in the league at not striking out.