Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 7/22/24
Philadelphia heads into Monday’s interleague matchup vs. the Twins looking to extend their three-game winning streak. They are 63-36 this season and are 1st in the NL East. Minnesota, meanwhile, is 3rd in the AL Central and has a record of 54-44. They will be looking to end a three-game losing streak.
The money line odds have the Phillies at -133 compared to the Twins at +113. Today’s over/under line is sitting at 8 runs, and the game will be televised on NSPPH. First pitch from Target Field is set for 7:40 PM ET.
MINNESOTA TWINS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline +113
This game will be played at Target Field at 7:40 ET on Monday, July 22nd.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS TWINS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 7 to 6
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Twins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 13 runs and like the over
Phillies Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Pirates, the Phillies closed out the series with a 6-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -125 on the money line. It was a big second inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Pirates could only score two runs the rest of the 3rd.
Tyler Phillips put together a good start for the Phillies, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out three. Philadelphia’s offense was carried by Nick Castellanos, who went 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
Philadelphia heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Twins with a record of 63-36, putting them 8.5 games ahead of the Braves for the NL East lead. The Phillies lead the division with a record of 15-10. The team lost two of three games in their series vs. the Pirates.
At home, the Phillies have gone 37-16 this year, and they are 26-20 on the road. This season, the Phillies have been the favorite in 83 of their games, going 55-28 in those games. As the road favorite, the Phillies are 19-14 this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 19-10-5 but have dropped two straight series.
When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run differential of +3.8 runs per game. That’s helped them to a 51-48 run line record on the season. They’ve been a solid bet on the run line overall, but have been slightly better at home, where they are 27-26 against the run line. Their average run differential on the road is +0.6 runs per game, and they are 24-22 against the run line away from home.
Philadelphia Phillies games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 44-50. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Phillies are 15-11-1. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and 43.4% of their games have had lines set at over 8 runs. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 10-4 with a 2.76 ERA. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.04. In his 19 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Suárez took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 2.96 compared to 5-1 with a 3.03 ERA at home.
So far this season, the Phillies are the top-scoring team in the league at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are 3rd in the league at 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are also 6th in home runs and have the 3rd best team batting average in the league. Philadelphia also does a good job of avoiding strikeouts and are 4th in the league in walks.
Over the past 8 games, Trea Turner has been swinging a hot bat for the Phillies, going 10/32 with four homers and eight RBIs. Currently, Nick Castellanos and Bryce Harper are both on three-game hitting streaks. Harper has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 22 homers are 6th in the league, and he is also 9th in the league with 63 RBIs.
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 8-7 loss to the Brewers, Byron Buxton went 2/5 with two homers and three RBIs. The Twins also got a good start from Joe Ryan, going six innings and giving up just four runs on seven hits. However, they couldn’t close things out, and Griffin Jax took the loss out of the bullpen.
The Twins were the heavy favorite at home going into the game but fell behind early, as the Brewers scored two runs in the 2nd and added another two in the 3rd. Minnesota’s offense scored two runs in the 2nd to tie things up and added another two in the 5th to take the lead. However, the Twins couldn’t close things out, and their 8-7 loss was their 4th in their last five games.
Minnesota will be hosting the Phillies today with an overall record of 54-44, which has them five games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Twins dropped the final game of their series vs. the White Sox and have since lost the first two games of their series vs. the Brewers. So far, they are 19-13 in AL Central matchups.
At home, the Twins are 27-20 this season and 27-24 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins have gone 44-26 and 10-18 as the underdog. Minnesota has dropped two straight at home, and they are 4-3 as the home underdog this year. The Twins’ overall series record is 19-11-2, and they lost two straight series.
Minnesota has been a solid bet on the run line this season, with a 46-52 record. They have been especially good on the road, going 28-23 ATS. However, they have struggled at home, going 18-29 ATS. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 15-13 ATS, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.6 runs.
The Twins are playing at home today against the Phillies, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Twins games this season is 9.3 runs, and their over/under record is 49-47. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-14-2. This season, 38.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs. The over has hit in their last two games.
Minnesota is sending Bailey Ober to the mound today vs. the Phillies, and he comes into the game with a record of 8-5 and an ERA of 4.14. So far this year, he has made 18 starts, and opponents are batting .227 off the right-hander. Ober has turned in nine quality starts this year and is averaging 9.54 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he gave up three earned runs and took the loss in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Carlos Correa has been red hot for the Twins, as he is batting .308 for the season and is currently on a four-game hitting streak. Correa’s 47 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and he is also 2nd on the club with 13 homers. Minnesota’s top power threats are Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers, who both have 14 homers this season.
As a team, the Twins are 7th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game, and they are also one of the league’s top home run hitting clubs. Collectively, they are batting .253, which is the 6th best mark in the MLB. Minnesota’s team on-base percentage is 6th in the league at .323.