Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 7/22/24
At 8:05 PM ET, the Brewers and Cubs will face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is taking place at Wrigley Field in Chicago, and the Brewers are currently on a three-game winning streak. Milwaukee is 57-42 overall, while the Cubs are 48-53, and they are 4th in the division.
Milwaukee is the slight money line favorite for Monday’s game, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs. Tobias Myers is starting for the Brewers, while the Cubs are going with Javier Assad. BSWI is carrying this one on TV.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -114
This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 8:05 ET on Monday, July 22nd.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS CUBS:
- We have the Brewers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cubs to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Brewers Records & Stats
The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Twins, closing out their series with an 8-7 win. After allowing two runs to the Twins in the 2nd inning, the Brewers responded with a run of their own and added another three runs in the 3rd. Milwaukee went on to close out the 8-7 win, and as the +140 underdog on the money line going into the game.
Aaron Civale had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on four hits and issuing four walks. The Brewers’s bullpen was able to pick up the slack, though, and Milwaukee’s offense scored the final two runs of the game in the 9th to close things out. Eric Haase went 3/4 with two homers and three RBIs.
Milwaukee is on the road today to take on the Cubs with a record of 57-42, which has them leading the NL Central by five games over the Cardinals. The Brewers are heading into today’s game on a three-game winning streak, and they are 21-12 against other teams in the NL Central this year.
At home, the Brewers have gone 29-17 this year, and they have gone 28-25 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee is 33-21 this year and 24-21 as the underdog. The Brewers have won three straight games on the road, and they are 10-10 as the road favorite this year. So far, their overall series record is 18-10-3, and they have dropped two straight series at home.
The Brewers have been a profitable run line team this season, going 52-47 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 29-24. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and have an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game away from home.
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Chicago Cubs. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average. The Brewers have gone over the total in 54 of their 95 games this season, and they have hit the over in four straight games.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Cubs. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 6-3 with a 3.12 ERA. Myers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. In his 13 starts, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 7.75 strikeouts per nine innings. Myers most recently faced the Cubs on June 29th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. The right-hander is coming off a start in which he didn’t allow a run, going eight innings vs. the Pirates.
Over his last five games, Willy Adames has gone 9/21 with three runs and five RBIs. He also comes into the game with a five-game hitting streak. Adames has been the Brewers’ top power threat this season, as he is 12th in the league with 15 homers. Christian Yelich and William Contreras have also been solid at the plate, with Yelich batting .320 and Contreras at .284.
As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in team batting average and have the league’s 2nd on-base percentage. Milwaukee’s offense has been pretty consistent, as they are 11th in slugging, 8th in OPS, and have the league’s 2nd-best batting average on balls in play.
Cubs Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Diamondbacks, the Cubs closed out the series with a 2-1 win. Leading up to thethe game, they were the slight favorite at -128 on the money line. It was a good performance by the Cubs, as they got the win without hitting a home run.
Shota Imanaga put together a good start for the Cubs, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out 10 Diamondbacks batters. Chicago’s offense scored their only two runs in the 4th inning and Héctor Neris picked up the save.
With a record of 48-53, the Cubs are 4th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 10 games. So far this season, they have gone just 12-21 in divisional matchups. The Cubs will be at home today, hosting the Brewers and are 26-23 at home this season.
Chicago has gone 22-30 on the road this season and are 9-6 as the home underdog. They have been an even 23-23 when favored this year. The Cubs’ overall series record is 10-18-3, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Diamondbacks.
When betting the run line, the Cubs are 49-52 overall this season. They are 18-31 against the run line at home. The Cubs have a run line record of 31-21 on the road. As the favorite, they are 13-33 against the run line, while they are 36-19 as the underdog.
Chicago Cubs games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 43-54. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 3-13-1. Overall, 50.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 3 games.
Javier Assad is getting the start for the Cubs today and comes into the game with a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 3.27. So far, he has made 17 starts, and opponents are batting .245 this season. Assad has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 8.33 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a home run. The right-hander has given up at least one homer in four of his last five outings.
Over his last eight games, Nico Hoerner has been swinging a hot bat for the Cubs, going 12/34. However, he has yet to homer during that stretch. Hoerner is batting .258 for the season and is 7th on the team with four homers. Christopher Morel has also hit two homers over his last eight games, but he is batting just .202 for the season and has struck out 47 times in 2021.
As a team, the Cubs are 23rd in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. Their team batting average of .233 is also one of the worst marks in the league. Overall, they are 19th in home runs and have the 11th best on-base percentage in the league. Collectively, the Cubs are just 19th in slugging percentage and 18th in OPS.