Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 7/14/24
First pitch for Sunday’s Marlins vs. Reds matchup is set for 1:40 PM ET from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. The Reds are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -182, while the Marlins are at +153. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.
Miami comes into the game on a five-game losing streak and has an overall record of 32-63, which places them 5th in the NL East. Cincinnati is 47-49 and has won three straight, putting them 4th in the NL Central. Nick Lodolo is starting for the Reds, while the Marlins are sending Trevor Rogers to the mound. This game will be televised on BSFL.
MIAMI MARLINS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 9 Runs
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 1:40 ET on Sunday, July 14th.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS REDS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Cincinnati cruised to a 10-6 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 3rd inning, scoring six of their ten runs. As for the Marlins, they scored three of their six runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -151 on the money line.
Andrew Abbott only went 3 1/3 innings for the Reds but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued two walks. Sam Moll got the win out of the bullpen. Edward Cabrera had a rough outing for the Marlins, giving up seven earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work.
Rece Hinds and Santiago Espinal each homered for the Reds. Hinds, Jeimer Candelario, Elly De La Cruz, and Spencer Steer each had two RBIs. For the Marlins, Jake Burger went 4/5 with a home run and four RBIs.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is 5th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 30 games. Overall, the Marlins are 32-63 and have lost five straight games. So far, they are just 7-19 in divisional games.
At home, the Marlins are 18-31 and 14-32 on the road. Heading into today’s game, the Marlins have lost five straight as the underdog. They are 4-13 when favored this year. Miami’s overall series record is 8-20-2, and they are 2-8 over their last 10 games.
When the Marlins are on the road, they have a run line record of 22-24. Their average run differential in those games is -1.5. They have failed to cover the run line in four straight road games and are 2-15 against the run line as the favorite this season.
When the Miami Marlins play on the road, the over/under line is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8.6 runs per game. The Marlins have hit the over in 51 of their 93 games this season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. Their games have gone over the 9-run line in 10 of their 93 games this season, and the over has hit in their last four games.
Miami is sending left-hander Trevor Rogers to the mound today vs. the Reds. He has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 1-9 with a 4.82 ERA. Rogers’ WHIP for the season is 1.59, and opponents are batting .277 off him this year. In his 18 starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 7.53 strikeouts per nine innings. Rogers most recently faced the Astros, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had given up two earned runs in three straight starts.
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is the 3rd worst mark in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only three runs per contest. Miami’s offense has been led by Bryan De La Cruz, who is batting .245 overall and has a team-high 16 home runs. He also leads the Marlins with 44 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has 12 homers and is batting .251.
Over his last eight games, Jesús Sánchez is hitting .296 with three homers, and Xavier Edwards has gone 13/34 in his last nine games. Both players are currently on four-game hitting streaks. De La Cruz is also on a five-game streak.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 47-49 overall and trails the Brewers by seven games in the NL Central. The Reds have won three straight games, and they are 12-14 against other teams in the NL Central. Cincinnati has taken the first two games of this series vs. the Marlins and are 10-17-3 in series this year.
At home, the Reds are 25-27 this year compared to a 22-22 mark on the road. As the home favorite, the Reds are 18-18 this year and 22-30 as the underdog. Cincinnati’s overall record is 25-19 when favored.
The Reds have a run line record of 53-43 this season, and they’ve been a good bet on the run line on the road, going 30-14. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7 runs, while it’s -2.8 in losses. They’ve covered the run line in three straight games and are 3-0 ATS in their last three games as the favorite.
The Reds are at home today against the Marlins, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. Cincinnati’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 43-49. When the line has been set at 9 runs, the Reds have gone 2-15-3 to the over this season. The over has hit in five straight games for Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is sending left-hander Nick Lodolo to the mound today vs. the Marlins. Lodolo has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 8-3 with a 3.30 ERA. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts. Lodolo’s ERA at home is 4.48 compared to 2.31 on the road. He most recently faced the Rockies, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts.
Over the past six games, Rece Hinds has been on fire for the Reds, going 11/22 with seven runs scored and five homers. He also has 11 RBIs during this stretch. Hinds’ five homers in his last six games have helped him move into a tie for the team lead in homers with 16. Jeimer Candelario and Elly De La Cruz are also tied for the team lead in homers.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, and they are also 11th in the league in home runs. However, they are batting just .232, which is 19th in the MLB right now. Cincinnati’s team on-base percentage is just .306, and they are also near the bottom of the league in strikeouts.