New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 7/12/24
This article was published on Jul 12, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

From Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, we have the Orioles and Yankees facing off in an AL East matchup. The Yankees are 56-39, and they are starting Gerrit Cole, while the Orioles are starting Cade Povich. New York is 2nd in the AL East, while the Orioles are 1st despite being on a 3-game losing streak.
The money line odds have the Yankees at -129, while the Orioles are the slight home underdog at +109. Friday’s over/under line is sitting at 9 runs, and YES will be televising this game.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline +109
This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 7:05 ET on Friday, July 12th.
HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS ORIOLES:
- We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Orioles to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rays with a 5-4 loss. New York was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind early, as the Rays scored two runs in the first inning. The Yankees could only score one run in the 2nd inning and added another run in the 5th to tie things up. However, the Rays scored another three runs in the 5th to pick up the win.
Nestor Cortes got the start for the Yankees and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs on seven hits. The Yankees also wasted a big game from Juan Soto, who homered going 2/3.
The Yankees are 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Orioles. So far, they are 14-18 in AL East matchups. Overall, the Yankees are 56-39, and they are 3-7 over their last 10 games. Heading into today’s game, they are on the road where they are 31-20 this season.
As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 43-33 this year and 13-6 as the underdog. The team has dropped three straight games as the favorite, and their overall series record is 17-9-3, including losing three straight series.
When betting the run line for the Yankees, it’s been a profitable strategy when they’re the underdog, as they’ve gone 15-4 against the run line. They’ve been a little better on the road, going 29-22 against the run line, compared to 21-23 at home. Their average run differential is +1.0 runs per game, and they’ve been favored in 76 games, going 35-41 against the run line.
Today’s game between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles has an over/under line of 9 runs. The Yankees have an over/under record of 49-42 this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. The over/under line for their games this season has averaged 8 runs, and their games have gone over the line in just 2 of 11 games when the line has been set at 9 runs.
Gerrit Cole and the Yankees are on the road to take on the Orioles. Cole has started 3 games so far this season, and he has a win and a loss to his name. In his last start, he took a no-decision against the Red Sox, giving up 4 earned runs over 4 1/3 innings. In his first start of the year, he went 5 innings and struck out 6 vs. the Blue Jays.
So far this season, the Yankees have been one of the league’s most potent offenses, averaging 5 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Yankees are the league’s top home run hitting team and are also leading the league in team RBIs.
Heading into today’s game, Aaron Judge and Juan Soto are the league’s top two home run hitters, and both have been swinging the bat well in terms of batting average. Judge is hitting .304 for the season and has gone deep 32 times, while Soto is batting .297 and has 22 homers. Over his last 10 games, Ben Rice has five homers, but is hitting just .243.
Orioles Records & Stats
Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Cubs with a tough 8-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Orioles were the slight favorite at -135 on the money line. Things really got away from the Orioles in the 4th inning, as the Cubs scored three runs in the inning. Baltimore’s offense scored their only run in the 3rd.
Albert Suarez got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up four earned runs. The Orioles also issued three walks and hit a batter. Suarez took the loss and fell to 1-4 on the year.
Baltimore is hosting the Yankees today with an overall record of 57-36, which has them leading the AL East by 2 games over the Yankees. The Orioles head into today’s game having dropped three straight, and they closed out their series vs. the Cubs with three straight losses.
So far, the Orioles have been really good against other teams in the AL East, putting up a record of 19-7. At home, they are 29-20 this year and have gone 28-16 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 46-30 and 11-6 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 19-7-3, and they have won two straight series on the road.
The Orioles have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 51-42. They have been even better on the road, going 27-17. As the favorite, they are just 38-38 on the run line, but as the underdog, they are 13-4. Their average run differential is +0.9 runs per game, and their average run differential in wins is +3.8 runs per game.
When the Orioles play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. On the season, the combined run average in their games is 9.1. The over/under record for the Orioles this season is 47-36. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 8-9-3. The over has hit in just 3.2% of their games this season. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs. The under has hit in 75.3% of their games this season, and they have hit the under in each of their last two games.
Left-hander Cade Povich gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Yankees at home. Povich has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-3 with a 6.51 ERA. His WHIP for the season is 1.48. Povich’s only quality start came at home, where he is 1-1 with a 2.79 ERA. On the road, his ERA is 28.02. In his last outing, Povich gave up eight earned runs in one inning of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had won his previous start. So far, he has given up six homers and is averaging 4.23 walks per nine innings.
As a team, the Orioles are the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. Not only are they the league’s top home run hitting team, but they also have the top team slugging percentage and OPS in all of baseball. Heading into the game, they are also the top-scoring offense in the league.
Gunnar Henderson has been a key run producer for the Orioles this season, as his 61 RBIs are 8th in the league, and he is also 3rd in the league with 27 homers. Henderson has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 11/42 in his last 10 games. Jordan Westburg is also on a 9-game hitting streak, and he has two homers in his last 10 games.
