Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 7/12/24
The Reds head into Friday’s matchup vs. the Marlins looking to get back on track after losing three of their last four. However, they are heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -157 compared to the Marlins at +133. Today’s over/under line is 9.5 runs.
First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 7:10 PM ET, and this NL matchup will be televised on BSOH. Yonny Chirinos is starting for the Marlins, and he is facing off against Carson Spiers for the Reds.
CINCINNATI REDS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -157
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 7:10 ET on Friday, July 12th.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS REDS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under
Marlins Records & Stats
Bryan De La Cruz had a big game at the plate for the Marlins in their 6-3 loss to the Astros. He went 3/4 with a homer and a run scored. The Marlins really wasted his performance, as they were the +153 underdog on the money line. Miami scored a run to take the early lead but gave it all right back in the bottom of the first as the Astros scored two runs. Houston added another two runs in the 4th to put things out of reach, and the Marlins scored their final run in the 5th.
Roddery Muñoz got the start for the Marlins and took the loss. He only lasted 6 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on five hits. Muñoz also issued two walks and hit a batter. Bryan De La Cruz was effective out of the bullpen, going 3 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. The Marlins scored their final run in the 8th but couldn’t complete the comeback.
Miami is 32-61 overall and trails the Phillies by 29 games in the NL East. The Marlins have dropped three straight games, and they are 7-19 against other teams in the NL East. Miami lost the final three games of their series vs. the Astros.
At home, the Marlins are just 18-31 this season while going 14-30 on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 28-48 this season, and they have gone just 4-13 as the favorite. Heading into today’s game, the Marlins are 2-8 over their last 10.
When the Marlins are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 22-22. However, they have failed to cover the run line in their last two road games and are 2-15 against the run line as the favorite this season. The Marlins have been a much better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 39-37.
The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the Cincinnati Reds, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Marlins’ games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 49-42. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 1-3. Miami has played 89 games with over/under lines set below 9.5 runs, and their games have gone over the line in their last two games.
Yonny Chirinos is getting the start for the Marlins on the road against the Reds. Chirinos has been solid through his first 3 starts, but has yet to pick up a win. He has struck out 14 batters in 14 1/3 innings, but has given up 2 home runs in his last start, which was at home against the White Sox.
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 2.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .231, and their team on-base percentage of .281 is the worst in the league. Miami’s team ISO of .120 is also the worst in the MLB.
Bryan De La Cruz has been a bright spot for the Marlins this season, as he leads the team with 44 RBIs and is batting .247 with 16 homers. He is also on a three-game hitting streak. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is second on the team in RBIs (42) and has 12 homers but has hit just .214 over his last seven games.
Reds Records & Stats
The Reds’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rockies, closing out their series with an 8-1 win. After allowing one run to the Rockies in the top of the first, the Reds responded with three runs of their own. Cincinnati went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.
Hunter Greene put together a good start for the Reds, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only two walks and struck out 10 Rockies batters. Tyler Stephenson went 2/5 with two homers and five RBIs.
Cincinnati will host the Marlins with an overall record of 45-49, placing them 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by nine games in the division. The Reds are just 1/2 game behind the Pirates for 3rd place in the division and are 9.0 games out of the NL Wild Card.
The Reds have an overall series record of 10-17-3 this year, and they closed out their series vs. the Rockies with three straight wins. At home, the Reds are 23-27 this year compared to 22-22 on the road. So far, they have gone 23-19 as the favorite and 22-30 as the underdog.
When betting the run line, the Reds have been a better bet on the road (30-14) than at home (21-29). They have been a better bet as the underdog (32-20) than as the favorite (19-23). Their average run differential in winning games is +3.8, while it’s -2.8 in losing games.
When the Cincinnati Reds play at home, the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 41-49. When the line is set at 9.5 runs, their over/under record is 15-8. The over has hit in three straight games for the Reds.
Cincinnati is sending Carson Spiers to the mound today vs. the Marlins. The right-hander has made four starts and has a record of 2-2 with a 3.64 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Spiers has made nine appearances and has a WHIP of 1.26. Opposing batters are hitting .257 this season off Spiers. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One thing to watch for today is that Spiers has given up at least one homer in three straight outings.
Elly De La Cruz has been a nice surprise for the Reds this season, as he is batting .250 and leads the team with 15 homers. De La Cruz is also on a three-game hitting streak. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, with 14 homers apiece. Steer has gone 10/36 in his last 10 games, with four homers and eight RBIs.
Overall, the Reds offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .230 and are 24th in the league in strikeouts.