Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 7/12/24

Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Guardians on Friday, as they are on the road to take on the Rays in Tampa. The game is set to start at 6:50 PM ET from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg. APLTV will be televising this one, and the Guardians are the slight underdog on the money line (+116).

As for the Rays, they are 46-47 overall and are favored at -137 for Friday’s matchup. This game is being played in the AL, and the Guardians are on a two-game losing streak. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline +116

This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 6:50 ET on Friday, July 12th.

HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS RAYS:

• We have the Guardians winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Guardians Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Tigers, the Guardians closed out the series with a 10-1 loss. Cleveland was the +104 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Guardians, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Tigers scored two runs in the bottom of the first.

Spencer Howard got the start for the Guardians and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up four earned runs on seven hits. Bo Naylor had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Guardians scored their only run in thejson 3rd.

Cleveland is 57-35 overall, putting them 1st in the AL Central. They lead the Twins by 4.5 games for the top spot in the division. The Guardians dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Tigers. So far, they are 15-13 in divisional games.

At home, the Guardians have gone 30-11, and they are 27-24 on the road. Heading into today’s game, they have a day game record of 24-10. As the underdog, the Guardians have lost two straight on the road, and they are 13-14 as road underdogs this year. For the season, they are 20-8-2 in series.

When the Guardians are on the road, they have a run line record of 26-25, and their average run margin is +0.7. They have failed to cover the run line in their last five road games and are 4-9 in their last 13 games as the run line favorite.

The Cleveland Guardians are on the road against the Tampa Bay Rays today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The Guardians’ games have had an average of 8.8 runs scored this season, and their over/under record is 47-39 overall. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-7-2, and 50.0% of their games this season have had higher lines than 8 runs. Their games have gone over the total in their last three contests.

Cleveland is sending right-hander Carlos Carrasco to the mound today as he faces the Rays on the road. So far this season, Carrasco has made 16 starts and has a record of 3-6 with an ERA of 5.22. He has made four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. Carrasco has not taken the loss in any of his last three outings, finishing with a no-decision in each. His last win came on June 21st, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work.

Heading into the game, the Guardians are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, the Guardians are batting .245, which is 9th in the league. Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, as Ramirez’s 23 homers are 5th in the league, and Naylor’s 22 long balls are 6th.

Steven Kwan comes into the game with a three-game hitting streak and has gone 12/33 in his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .361, and his nine homers are 3rd on the team. Josh Naylor has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/27 in his last seven games.

Rays Records & Stats

Randy Arozarena and the Rays are coming off a big 5-4 win over the Yankees to close out their series. Arozarena went only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in two runs. The Rays really broke things open with a three-run 3rd inning but didnjson’t score again after that. Tampa Bay was the slight underdog at -102 going into the game.

Shane Baz got the start for the Rays, going 4 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He did struggle with his command, giving up three earned runs on six hits and issuing two walks. Kevin Kiermaier was excellent out of the bullpen, going 2/3 with a run scored and a stolen base.

The Rays are 46-47 overall, and they are 11 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they have gone just 12-18 in AL East matchups. Tampa Bay will be hosting the Guardians today, with the Rays’ overall record being 25-26 at home.

As the favorite, the Rays are 26-25 this season and 20-22 as the underdog. Tampa Bay’s two-game losing streak came as the favorite. They are 2-1 in the second half after taking two of three from the Yankees in their most recent series.

When the Rays win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.5 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs. Their overall run line record is 43-50, but they are 25-17 against the run line on the road, compared to 18-33 at home. They have lost against the run line in their last two games as the favorite.

The Tampa Bay Rays are playing at home today against the Cleveland Guardians. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around the Rays’ average combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. The Rays have a record of 45-43 on over/under bets this season, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 11-13-1. The majority of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, with 37 games at or above that number, making up 39.8% of their games.

Taj Bradley gets the start for the Rays today and comes in with a record of 3-4 and an ERA of 3.23. So far, he has made 11 starts, and opponents are batting .207 this season. Bradley has made four quality starts and is averaging 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Bradley has not taken a loss since June 13th.

Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays this season, leading the team with 15 home runs while batting .263. However, he has struggled of late, going 7/33 in his last 10 games. Paredes has gone deep three times in this stretch but has just eight RBIs. Yandy Diaz has been hot of late, as he is on a five-game hitting streak and is batting .272 for the season.

As a team, the Rays are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .236 and are just 18th in home runs.