St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 7/7/24

At 1:35 PM ET, the Cardinals and Nationals will face off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. The Nationals are the slight money line underdog (+105), while the Cardinals have odds of -123.

St. Louis will be starting Kyle Gibson, while the Nationals are sending DJ Herz to the mound. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Cardinals are 46-42, while the Nationals are 42-47. This puts the Cardinals second in the NL Central, while the the Nationals are fourth in the NL East. The over/under line is at 9 runs, and BSMW is carrying this one on TV.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +105

This game will be played at Nationals Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, July 7th.

HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS NATIONALS:

• We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Washington cruised to a 14-6 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 2nd inning, scoring five of their nine runs. As for the Cardinals, they scored four of their six runs in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Nationals were favored at -128 on the money line.

Mackenzie Gore got the start for the Nationals, going just 3 1/3 innings while giving up five runs and striking out five. He did not factor into the decision as Jacob Barnes got the win out of the bullpen. Lance Lynn had a rough outing for the Cardinals, giving up 10 earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work.

At the plate, the Nationals were led by Keibert Ruiz and James Wood, who each homered and combined for eight RBIs. Ruiz, CJ Abrams, Luis Garcia Jr., and Lane Thomas each scored three times for Washington’s offense.

Cardinals Records & Stats

St. Louis is 46-42 overall, putting them five games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Cardinals are 13-12 against other teams in the NL Central. They are on the road today and have an even 22-24 record away from home.

The Cardinals have won three straight games as the favorite, and they are 24-19 when favored this year. As the underdog, St. Louis is 22-23. Their overall series record is 15-11-2, and they are currently tied 1-1 in their series vs. the Nationals.

When the Cardinals are the favorite, they are just 16-27 against the run line, but when they are the underdog, they are 28-17. Their overall run line record is 44-44, and their average run differential is -0.5. They have a losing record against the run line on the road, going 20-26, but are 24-18 against the run line at home.

The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road against the Washington Nationals today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Cardinals games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 40-45. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, the Cardinals have gone 6-5-1 this season. The over has hit in two straight games for St. Louis.

Right-hander Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 6-3 with a 3.88 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .227 this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.24. In his 16 starts, Gibson has turned in eight quality starts. In his most recent outing, he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work but still picked up the win. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a 4-1 record and 3.37 ERA.

St. Louis comes into the game with the 24th ranked scoring offense in the league, averaging 4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, and have an on-base percentage of .309. The Cardinals have been pretty average in terms of power, as they are just 20th in home runs and have a collective ISO of .137.

Over his last six games, Masyn Winn has been hot for the Cardinals, going 11/27 (.407). For the season, Brendan Donovan is batting .265 and leads the team with 43 RBIs. Alec Burleson and Nolan Gorman are the team’s top power threats, with 13 and 17 homers, respectively.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is two games below .500 overall at 42-47 as they trail the Phillies by 16 games in the NL East. So far, they have gone 16-12 in divisional games. The Nationals are also 15.0 games out of the NL Wild Card race.

At home, the Nationals are 20-22 this year and 22-25 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 33-40 compared to 9-7 as the favorite. They are 11-15-2 in series this year and are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

Washington has been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 52-37 overall. They are 24-18 at home on the run line, and 28-19 on the road. They have covered the run line in four straight games at home, and in three straight as an underdog. They are 8-8 on the run line as a favorite, and 44-29 as an underdog.

The Washington Nationals have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 42-43. Their games have averaged eight runs per game, but when the line is set at 9 runs, they have gone 4-6-2. Overall, only 18% of their games have had lines set at 9 runs or more, and the over has hit in their last two games.

Washington is starting left-hander DJ Herz today vs. the Cardinals, and he has made six starts this season. Herz’s record for the year is 1-2, and his ERA is 4.67. In his six starts, he has turned in one quality start and is averaging 12.33 strikeouts per nine innings. Herz’s most recent outing came vs. the Mets, where he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run and 10 hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.

Washington’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 17th in the league at 4.2 runs per game. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.4 runs per game. The Nationals are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts, but they have been one of the worst home run hitting teams in the league.

CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. have been the Nationals’ top power threats this season, as Abrams’ 14 homers leads the team, while Garcia Jr. is 2nd with 10 homers. Garcia Jr. has been hot of late, going 14/33 in his last nine games with three homers. He also has 11 RBIs in that stretch. He also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.