Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 7/7/24

At 1:40 PM ET, the Tigers and Reds face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, and the Reds are looking to end a two-game losing streak. They are the slight money line underdog (+120), while the Tigers have a line of -141 and they are 4th in the AL Central.

BSDET will be televising Sunday’s Tigers-Reds matchup, and the forecast in Cincinnati calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 80s. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and Sunday’s starting pitching matchup features Tarik Skubal for the Tigers and Graham Ashcraft for the Reds.

CINCINNATI REDS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +120

This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 1:40 ET on Sunday, July 7th.

HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS REDS:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Detroit rallied for five runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Tigers vs. Reds series. The Tigers scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up five in the top of the 8th, picking up a 5-3 win. Heading into the game, the Tigers were at +138 on the money line.

Cincinnati wasted a good outing from Hunter Greene, as he gave up just two hits and no earned runs in seven innings of work for the Reds. Fernando Cruz took the loss. Shelby Miller got the win out of the bullpen for the Tigers as Alex Faedo went two innings, giving up one hit and no earned runs.

Offensively, the Tigers were led by Wenceel Perez and Parker Meadows, as they were the only two Tigers hitters to have more than one hit. Perez and Spencer Steer each homered for Detroit.

Tigers Records & Stats

Detroit is 41-48 overall, putting them 4th in the AL Central, 15 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Tigers have gone 13-12 against other teams in the AL Central. They have won two straight games, and they are up 2-0 in their series vs. the Reds.

At home, the Tigers are 19-22 this year, and they are 22-26 on the road. Detroit has dropped three straight games as the favorite, and they are 19-19 overall as the favorite. As the underdog, the Tigers are 22-29 this year. So far, they are 5-5 as the road favorite, and their overall series record is 10-14-4. Detroit’s last 10 games record is 4-6.

When it comes to betting the run line, the Tigers have been a better bet on the road (25-23) than at home (14-27). They have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 30-21 as an underdog. Detroit’s average run differential in games they have won is +3.7, while it is -3.6 in games they have lost.

The Detroit Tigers have an over/under record of 47-39 this season, and the average over/under line in their games is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, they have a record of 11-9-2. In 67 games this season, 33 have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, accounting for 37.1% of their games. On the other hand, 34 games have had lines set below 8 runs, making up 38.2% of their games.

Tarik Skubal gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Reds on the road. This year, he has made 17 starts and is coming off a game in which he finished with a no-decision. In that outing vs. the Twins, Skubal went six innings and gave up three earned runs. Looking back over his last four starts, Skubal has finished with a no-decision in three of them. His ERA for the season is 2.45, along with a record of 9-3. Skubal has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 3-3 and 3.43 compared to 6-0 with a 1.75 ERA at home.

Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. This is also the same mark they have put up at home and on the road. As a team, they are batting just .228 and have an on-base percentage of only .293. Detroit is also just 18th in home runs this season.

Over his last six games, Colt Keith has been on fire for the Tigers, going 8/25 with three homers and five RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s home run lead. Riley Greene has also been a big power threat this season, as his 17 homers is 10th in the league and is the top mark on the team. Greene is also batting .263 and has driven in a team-high 45 runs.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati will be looking to pick up a win today as they are 42-47 overall and trail the Brewers by 9.5 games in the NL Central. The Reds are in 4th place in the division and are just a half-game behind the Pirates for 3rd place in the division. The team is coming off back-to-back losses and has an overall record of 12-14 in divisional games this year.

The Reds have dropped two straight games, and as the underdog, they are 22-29 this year compared to 20-18 as the favorite. At home, the Reds have gone 20-25 and are an even 22-22 on the road. Cincinnati has dropped four straight home games and have an overall series record of 9-16-3 this year.

The Reds have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 48-41. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 30-14. They have struggled at home against the run line, going 18-27. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 32-19 against the run line. They have been a bad bet as the favorite, going 16-22 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +0.2 runs per game.

The Reds have played in 60 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which is 67.4% of their games this season. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game, and their O/U record is 38-47. When the line is set at 8 runs, their O/U record is 4-7.

Graham Ashcraft gets the start for the Reds today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Yankees, he went 5 innings and gave up 3 earned runs. Looking back over his last four outings, Ashcraft has finished with a no-decision in three of them. His ERA for the season is 5.45, along with a record of 5-4. Opposing batters are hitting .274 this season off Ashcraft, and his WHIP is 1.47. The right-hander has made 14 starts, three of which were quality starts.

Over the past nine games, Jonathan India has been swinging a hot bat for the Reds, going 12/35 (.343) with seven runs scored and four RBIs. Spencer Steer has also been a force in the lineup of late, hitting four homers in this stretch while going 9/32 overall. Steer is the team’s top run producer this season, with 57 RBIs.

Elly De La Cruz has been a consistent power threat for the Reds this season, as his 15 homers is 12th in the league. De La Cruz is batting .250 for the season, and his 39 RBIs is 3rd on the team. As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are 18th in home runs.