Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/28/24

First pitch for Friday’s Reds vs. Cardinals matchup is set for 8:15 PM ET from Busch Stadium in St. Louis. The Cardinals are the betting favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -127, while the Reds are at +108. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.

Cincinnati will be starting Frankie Montas, while the Cardinals are sending Andre Pallante to the mound. The Reds are 38-43 this season, and they are 4th in the NL Central, while the Cardinals are 41-39 and are 2nd in the division. MLBN will be televising Friday’s game.

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK

The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline -127

This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 8:15 ET on Friday, June 28th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS CARDINALS:

• We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Reds to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Cincinnati cruised to an easy 11-4 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 3rd inning, scoring nine of their eleven runs. As for the Cardinals, they scored their four runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +124 on the money line.

Andrew Abbott only went five innings for the Reds but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued six walks. On the other side, Miles Mikolas was tagged for nine runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work for the Cardinals.

Nolan Arenado did hit a home run for the Cardinals, going 1/3 with two RBIs. Dylan Carlson also had two hits and drove in a run. Cincinnati’s offense was led by Spencer Steer, who went 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 38-43 overall and trails the Brewers by 10 games in the NL Central. The Reds are 11-12 against other teams in the division and are looking to move up from 4th place in the division standings. So far, they have been good at home, going 20-23, and they are just above .500 at 18-20 on the road.

So far, the Reds have gone 20-16 as the favorite, but they have struggled as the underdog, going 18-27 this season. Cincinnati has dropped four straight series and has an overall series record of 8-16-2 this year.

The Reds are 43-38 against the run line this season, and they have been a better bet on the road than at home. Their run line record on the road is 25-13, and they have covered in two straight games. They have been a profitable bet as an underdog, going 27-18 against the run line in those games.

In 2021, the Cincinnati Reds have played 78 games with an over/under line set. In those games, the over has hit 43 times and the under has hit 35 times. The average over/under line in Reds games this season has been set at 9 runs, but today’s line is set at 8.5 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in six games and the under has hit in six games.

Cincinnati is sending Frankie Montas to the mound today vs. the Cardinals, and he comes in with a record of 3-5 and an ERA of 4.48. So far this year, Montas has made 14 starts, and he has pitched much better on the road, coming in with a 7.1 ERA compared to 5.92 at home. Montas’ WHIP for the season is 1.36, and he has made five quality starts. In his most recent outing, Montas gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Montas has not lost in his last three starts.

Elly De La Cruz has been on fire for the Reds over his last six games, going 13/28 with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .255 and is 11th in the league with 14 home runs. De La Cruz’s 36 RBIs is 3rd on the team. Spencer Steer is also coming off a strong stretch, going 8/25 with two homers and eight RBIs. Steer’s 51 RBIs is 11th in the league.

As a team, the Reds are 16th in scoring (4.3 runs per game) and have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting just .230 and are 13th in home runs. Currently, both Jake Fraley and Jonathan India are on hitting streaks for the Reds.

Cardinals Records & Stats

St. Louis is 41-39 overall and trails the Brewers by 6.5 games in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 9-10 against other teams in the division. So far, they have not been able to overtake the Brewers for the division lead.

At home, the Cardinals are 22-17 this season, and they are just below .500 at 19-22 on the road. St. Louis has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 14-11-1 this season.

When the Cardinals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.4 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.5 runs per game. Overall, they have a run line record of 41-39, and they are 23-16 against the run line at home.

Today’s over/under line for the St. Louis Cardinals game against the Cincinnati Reds is set at 8.5 runs. This season, the Cardinals have played 77 games, and their combined run average is also 8.5 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 35-42, and when the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 15-10. So far this season, 21.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, with 47.5% of their games having lower lines.

St. Louis is sending Andre Pallante to the mound today vs. the Reds, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Giants on June 20th, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs, and he had to work around three homers in that outing. Overall, Pallante has made five starts and 14 appearances. His ERA for the season is 5.24, along with a record of 3-3. Opponents are batting .273 off the right-hander this year. Per nine innings, Pallante has 7.16 strikeouts and 4.13 walks.

While the Cardinals offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, they do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late. Brendan Donovan and Alec Burleson have both been hot, with Donovan batting .429 and Burleson hitting .371 over their last nine games. During this stretch, both players have three homers. For the season, Donovan is batting .270, and Burleson is at .285.

Both Nolan Gorman and Alec Burleson have been good power sources for the Cardinals this season, with Gorman’s 16 homers leading the team and Burleson’s 12 long balls coming in as the 2nd most on the team. Gorman is batting just .191, but Burleson has been a key run producer, as his 36 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team.