Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 6/28/24

At 8:10 PM ET, the Cubs and Brewers face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are the heavy favorites on the money line (-136). The Cubs have a record of 38-44 and they are 5th in the NL Central, while the Brewers are 48-33.

Chicago will be looking for a win and end a losing streak, as they have dropped four in a row. Milwaukee is currently on a four-game winning streak. The over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and MARQ will be televising this one.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -136

This game will be played at American Family Field at 8:10 ET on Friday, June 28th.

HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS BREWERS:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cubs to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Cubs Records & Stats

Nico Hoerner and the Cubs are coming off a big game to close out their series vs. the Giants. Hoerner went 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Cubs really broke things open with a three-run 3rd inning. Going into the game, the Cubs were the slight underdog at -110.

Shota Imanaga started for the Cubs, going six innings and giving up three runs on five hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Chicago is 5th in the NL Central with a record of 38-44, putting them 10.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 9-17 in divisional games. The Cubs are on the road today, and they are 16-26 as the road underdog this season.

The Cubs have dropped two straight series, losing 3-1 to the Giants in their most recent series. Heading into today’s game, they are 4-6 across their last 10 games. As the underdog, the Cubs are 18-24 this year, and they are an even 20-20 when favored.

Chicago has been a better bet on the run line on the road this season, going 24-18. They have covered the run line in two straight road games. The Cubs have a run line record of 15-25 at home and are 39-43 overall. They have a run line record of 28-14 as an underdog and 11-29 as a favorite.

Chicago Cubs games have gone over the total 35 times and under 44 times this season. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Milwaukee Brewers is 8.5 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs this season, the Cubs’ games have gone over the total 9 times and under 7 times. Overall, 52.4% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and 28.0% have had higher lines.

Right-hander Jameson Taillon gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 4-3 with a 2.90 ERA. In his 12 appearances, Taillon has turned in six quality starts and is coming off a win vs. the Mets, where he went seven innings and gave up just one earned run. Before that outing, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Taillon’s ERA at home is 3.21, compared to 3.0 on the road.

For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .230 and have the 14th ranked home run total in the league. However, they are 5th in the league in drawing walks and have a collective OBP of .312.

Christopher Morel has been the Cubs’ top power threat this season, as his 15 home runs is 10th in the league. However, he is batting just .201. Ian Happ has also been a big power threat, as his 10 homers is 2nd on the team and 15th in the MLB. Happ has gone deep three times in his last 10 games while batting .257 over that stretch.

Brewers Records & Stats

The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rangers, closing out their series with a 6-5 win. After allowing one run to the Rangers in the top of the 2nd, the Brewers responded with four runs of their own. Milwaukee went on to add another two runs in the 3rd inning.

Dallas Keuchel had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on eight hits and issuing three walks. The Brewers’s bullpen was able to pick up the slack, though, as they didn’t allow a run over the final three innings. Milwaukee was the slight underdog at -101 going into the game.

Milwaukee is hosting the Cubs today with a record of 48-33, which has them leading the NL Central by 6.5 games over the Cardinals. The Brewers come in having won four straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Rangers with three straight wins. So far, they have gone 18-9 against other teams in the NL Central.

At home, the Brewers are 25-12 this year and have been good on the road, going 23-21. Milwaukee has won five straight at home, and they are 19-7 as the home favorite this year. As for their overall record as the favorite, the Brewers are 27-15 and 21-18 as the underdog.

When the Brewers win, they do so by an average of 3.4 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 2.8 runs per game. They are 43-38 on the run line this season, including 18-19 at home. As an underdog, they have been a strong bet on the run line, going 26-13, but as a favorite, they are just 17-25.

When the Milwaukee Brewers are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 44-34. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs, and they have gone over the line in 21 of 35 games when the line is set at 8.5 runs.

Milwaukee is sending right-hander Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Cubs. Rea has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 6-2 with a 3.62 ERA. In his 15 total appearances, he has pitched well, with opponents batting .235 this season. Rea’s last outing came vs. the Padres, where he finished with a no-decision, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up five earned runs. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. At home, Rea is 4-1 with a 2.78 ERA compared to 2-1 with a 4.53 ERA on the road.

William Contreras has been a big surprise for the Brewers this season, as he is batting .292 with nine homers, which is 3rd on the team. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are also near the top of the Brewers’ home run list, but both are batting under .240 for the season. Adames’ 13 homers are the most on the team, and Hoskins has 11.

Over his last eight games, Brice Turang is 11/35, and Jake Bauers has gone 5/13 in this stretch. Turang has also driven in seven runs in his last eight games. Rhys Hoskins has just one homer in his last seven games, but he does have eight RBIs in this stretch.