Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 6/26/24
Wednesday’s Reds vs. Pirates matchup has a first pitch set for 1:10 PM ET from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. The Reds are the slight favorite on the money line (-131), while the Pirates are sitting at +111. The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs.
BSOH is carrying this game on TV, and Graham Ashcraft will be on the mound for the Reds, while the Pirates are starting Luis L. Ortiz. In the NL Central, the Reds are 4th at 37-42, while the Pirates are 3rd with an overall record of 38-41.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline +111
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 1:10 ET on Wednesday, June 26th.
HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS REDS:
- We have the Pirates winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Pirates to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Pittsburgh cruised to a 9-5 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their nine runs. As for the Reds, they scored their first run in the 4th and added their final four runs in the 9th.
Mitch Keller got the win for the Pirates, going just 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Hunter Greene struggled on the mound for the Reds, giving up six runs in four innings of work.
At the plate, the Pirates were led by Bryan Reynolds and Jared Triolo, who each homered and scored twice. Reynolds, Nick Gonzales, and Rowdy Tellez each had two hits and two RBIs for Pittsburgh’s offense.
Pirates Records & Stats
Pittsburgh is 38-41 overall this season, putting them 3rd in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 8.5 games for the division lead. The Pirates are 11-11 in divisional matchups this year.
The Pirates have gone 19-20 at home compared to 19-21 on the road. As the underdog, Pittsburgh has posted a record of 23-23 this year, and they are 15-18 when favored. Their overall series record is 10-11-4, and they are 5-5 across their last 10 games overall.
When the Pirates win, they do so by an average of 3.0 runs per game. In losses, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs per game. Overall, they have a run differential of -0.4 runs per game this season. Their run line record is 42-37, including 23-17 on the road. As the underdog, they are 31-15 on the run line, while as the favorite, they are just 11-22.
The Pirates are on the road against the Reds today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. Their combined run average this season is 8.6, and their over/under record is 38-40. The average over/under line in their games this season is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 1-0. This is just the fourth time this season that the over/under line in a Pirates game has been set at 9.5 runs. Their over streak is currently at two games.
Right-hander Luis L. Ortiz is getting the start for the Pirates today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 21 appearances this season but has yet to make a start. Ortiz’s ERA is 3.45, and his record for the season is 3-2. The last time he pitched, Ortiz went 4 innings out of the bullpen and gave up 6 earned runs on 10 hits. He did not give up a homer in the outing. Before that, he had not given up a homer in three straight outings. Ortiz’s ERA at home is 4.0, compared to 3.68 on the road.
One of the Pirates’ biggest issues this season has been their lack of power, as they are just 17th in home runs and are near the bottom of the league in slugging percentage. As a team, they are batting just .228 and are averaging only 4.1 runs per game. The Pirates have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per contest.
Bryan Reynolds has been one of the Pirates’ few bright spots on offense this season, as he is batting .280 with a team-high 13 homers and 46 RBIs. Reynolds has also been hot of late, going 9/22 in his last six games with four homers. He also comes into the game on a 22-game hitting streak. Oneil Cruz has also provided some power, as he has 11 homers this season but is batting just .243.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati will host the Pirates today with an overall record of 37-42, which has them 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 9.5 games, and they are just a half-game behind the Pirates for 3rd place in the division. The Reds are 3-7 over their last 10 games and have dropped three straight series.
At home, the Reds are 20-22 this year compared to 17-20 on the road. As the favorite, Cincinnati has gone 20-15 this year and 17-27 as the underdog. The Reds’ overall series record is 8-15-2, and they have lost three straight series.
When betting the run line on the Cincinnati Reds, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road this season. They are 24-13 vs. the run line on the road, compared to 18-24 at home. They have a positive run differential on the road this season, averaging 0.5 more runs per game than their opponents. They have a run differential of +0.1 runs per game overall this season.
The Cincinnati Reds have an over/under record of 34-42 this season, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. When the O/U line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 13-7. The Reds have gone over the total in three straight games, and the combined run average in their games this season is 8.4 runs per game.
Cincinnati is sending Graham Ashcraft to the mound today vs. the Pirates. The right-hander has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 4-3 with an ERA of 5.05. Ashcraft’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.46. In his 12 starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 7.07 strikeouts per nine innings. Ashcraft most recently faced the Rockies, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had gone 1-0 in two straight starts.
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/29 in his last seven games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .253 with a team-high 14 homers. De La Cruz’s 35 RBIs are also 3rd best in the league. Jeimer Candelario also has 14 homers this season but has struggled of late, going just 5/27 in his last seven games.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the MLB. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting just .229 and are 20th in the league in on-base percentage. Cincinnati does have a collective isolated power of .148, which is right around the league average.