Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 6/26/24
Wednesday’s matchup between the Mariners and Rays is set to get started at 12:10 PM ET from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL. The Mariners are 45-37 and are starting George Kirby, while the Rays are 40-40 and starting Ryan Pepiot. Seattle is 1st in the AL West, while the Rays are 4th in the AL East.
The money line odds have the Mariners at -117 compared to the Rays at -101, and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs. RSNW will be televising this game.
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline -101
This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 12:10 ET on Wednesday, June 26th.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS RAYS:
- We have the Rays winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Tampa Bay cruised to an easy 11-3 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their eleven runs. As for the Mariners, they scored their only three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Rays were at +109 on the money line.
Seattle got to Rays starter Zack Littell, who gave up two earned runs in just five innings of work. On the other side, Luis Castillo was tagged for four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work for the Mariners. He did finish the game with four strikeouts.
Taylor Walls and Richie Palacios each had two RBIs for the Rays’ offense. Walls, Yandy Diaz, and Ben Rortvedt each scored two runs while going 2/3 at the plate.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle is 45-37 overall this season, and they lead the AL West by 4.5 games over the Astros. The Mariners have dropped three straight games heading into today’s matchup at the Rays. These three losses have come after going 17-5 in divisional games this year.
So far, the Mariners have been really good at home, going 27-12 this year. On the road, Seattle is 18-25 and have dropped three straight on the road. As the favorite, the Mariners are 29-21 and 16-16 as the underdog. Seattle’s overall series record is 13-10-2, but they have dropped two straight series.
Seattle is 39-43 against the run line this season, including 18-25 on the road. The Mariners have been favored in 50 games and have gone 21-29 against the run line in those contests. They have an average run differential of +0.1 runs per game this season.
Seattle’s games have averaged 7.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 34-44. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-15. Overall, 41.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Rays. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with a 3.47 ERA. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is .99, and opponents are batting .221 off him this year. In his last outing, Kirby finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Kirby has made nine starts on the road and has a record of 1-4 with a 4.71 ERA.
Cal Raleigh has been a bright spot for the Mariners this season, as he leads the team with 13 home runs and is 13th in the league with 46 RBIs. However, he is batting just .202 for the season. Julio Rodriguez has been a solid all-around hitter for Seattle, as he is batting .254 and has seven homers, which is 5th in the lineup.
As a team, the Mariners are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They are also one of the worst teams in terms of batting average and on-base percentage. Over his last six games, Mitch Garver has gone just 3/20 and is batting just .176 for the season, but he does have 10 homers.
Rays Records & Stats
The Rays are at an even .500 on the season at 40-40, and they are 11.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Tampa Bay has won three straight games, and they are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall. In the AL East, they are 10-17 against other teams in the division.
At home, the Rays are 21-23 this year and 19-17 on the road. As the home underdog, the Rays are 6-9 this season, and they are 17-20 as the underdog overall. Tampa Bay has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 23-20 when favored this year.
The Rays have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 36-44 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 22-14. They have been an underdog in 37 games, going 21-16 on the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is 2.4, while it is -3.8 in losing games.
The Tampa Bay Rays have had a high-scoring season, with a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record is 41-36, and their games have averaged an O/U line of 8 runs per game. When the O/U line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over the total 14 times and under 9 times. Overall, 66.2% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 7.5 runs.
Ryan Pepiot gets the start for the Rays today and comes in with a record of 4-4 and an ERA of 4.61. Looking back at his last outing, Pepiot finished with a no-decision, going 3 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Opponents are batting .210 off the right-hander this season, and his WHIP is currently 1.13. Pepiot has made five appearances on the road and has a record of 3-1 with a 3.91 ERA. At home, his ERA is 6.14.
So far this season, the Rays offense is averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .237, and their collective slugging percentage of .367 is also near the bottom of the league. However, they have been good at putting the ball in play, as their team BABIP of .30 is 5th in the league.
Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays this season, as he is batting .275 with a team-high 12 home runs. Yandy Diaz has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 11/29 over his last six games with three homers. Diaz also has a current hitting streak of 18 games.