Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 6/23/24
San Diego heads into Sunday’s matchup vs. the Brewers looking to extend their four-game winning streak. They are 41-40 overall and 2nd in the NL West. Milwaukee, on the other hand, is 1st in the NL Central with a record of 44-33 but they have lost three straight.
The money line odds have the Padres at -136 compared to the Brewers at +115. Today’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and the forecasted temperature in San Diego is 71 degrees with a few clouds. First pitch from PETCO Park is set for 4:10 PM ET.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline +115
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 4:10 ET on Sunday, June 23rd.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS PADRES:
- We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
San Diego picked up a 6-4 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a four-run 4th inning and scored the game’s final two runs in the 7th. As for the Brewers, they scored four of their runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Padres were at +100 on the money line.
Randy Vásquez started for the Padres and picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and issued three walks. Robert Suarez got the save. Carlos Rodriguez only went four innings for the Brewers, giving up four runs on six hits.
At the plate, Jackson Merrill, Ha-Seong Kim, and Kyle Higashioka each homered for the Padres. Merrill went 3/3 with three RBIs and scored three times. Kim and Higashioka each drove in two. Brice Turang had a three-hit game for the Brewers, scoring four times.
Brewers Records & Stats
The Brewers are 44-33 overall this season, putting them five games ahead of the Cardinals for the NL Central lead. Milwaukee has dropped three straight games, and their losing streak is currently at three games. In the division, they have gone 18-9 this year.
So far, the Brewers have been good at home, going 22-12. On the road, they are 22-21 this season, and they have dropped three straight on the road. As the underdog, the Brewers’ losing streak is at four games, and they are 19-18 as the underdog overall. Milwaukee’s series record is 15-7-2 this year and have won four straight series overall.
The Brewers have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 24-19. They have a run line record of 39-38 overall. They have an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game this season. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 24-13, compared to 15-25 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5 runs per game, while it is -2.8 runs per game in losses.
The Milwaukee Brewers have seen their last three games go over the total, and their over/under record for the season is 41-33. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and the over/under line for today’s game against the San Diego Padres is set at 8.5 runs. This season, 15.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and their average over/under line is 8 runs per game.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Padres. Myers has made nine starts this season and has a record of 4-2 with a 3.25 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Myers has a WHIP of 1.13 and opponents are batting .210 this season. Myers has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.04 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, Myers went 6 1/3 innings, picking up the win and not allowing a run. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings.
William Contreras has been one of the Brewers’ top hitters this season, coming in with a batting average of .293 to go along with nine home runs and 49 RBIs, which is 11th best in the MLB. Willy Adames has been even better in terms of power, as his 13 homers are 12th best in the league, and he is also 7th in the league with 54 RBIs. However, he is batting just .247 this season.
Adames is currently on a four-game hitting streak, and Rhys Hoskins has gone deep in five straight games. Hoskins is batting just .223 for the season, but his 10 homers are 2nd on the team and 15th in the league. Over his last eight games, Brice Turang is batting .344 with two homers.
Padres Records & Stats
San Diego is hosting the Brewers today with an overall record of 41-40, and they have won four straight games, spanning across the series vs. the Phillies and into this series vs. the Brewers. In the NL West, they are eight games behind the Dodgers.
So far, the Padres are 14-15 in divisional games, and they have won six straight games at home as the favorite. Overall, they are 18-15 as the home favorite this season. As for their record on the road, they are 20-19 heading into today’s game. The Padres have been good as the favorite overall, putting together a record of 26-23.
The Padres have been a strong bet on the run line this season, going 42-39 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 27-12 against the run line. However, they have struggled at home, going just 15-27 vs. the run line. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 22-10 vs. the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while it is -3.3 in losing games.
San Diego has been a solid over team this season, with a 41-39 over/under record. The Padres have gone over in three straight games and have a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. Their games have averaged eight runs per game this season, and when the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have a 10-11 over/under record.
Michael King gets the start for the Padres today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t allow a run. In that June 18th start vs. the Phillies, he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up just one hit. King finished with a no-decision in the outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. King’s ERA for the season is 3.49, along with a record of 5-4. Opponents are batting .220 vs. King this season. So far, he has made six quality starts and is averaging 10.37 strikeouts per nine innings.
As a team, the Padres are averaging 4.5 runs per game (13th) and are the league’s top hitting team with a batting average of .261. They are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and slugging percentage. San Diego has been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game.
Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. have been two of the Padres’ top power hitters this season, as Cronenworth’s 12 homers is 2nd on the team and Tatis Jr. leads the club with 14 long balls. Tatis Jr. is also 4th on the team with 36 RBIs. Jackson Merrill has been on a tear of late, going 13/34 with seven homers over his last 10 games.