New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 6/23/24

At 7:10 PM ET, the Mets and Cubs face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Wrigley Field in Chicago, and the Mets are favored on the money line (-105). The Cubs have a money line odds of -114, while the over/under line is at 8 runs.

Luis Severino will start for the Mets, while the Cubs are going with Javier Assad. New York is 4th in the NL East, and the Cubs are 4th in the NL Central. This game can be seen on ESPN.

NEW YORK METS VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -105

This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 7:10 ET on Sunday, June 23rd.

HOW TO BET THE METS VS CUBS:

• We have the Mets winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cubs to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Chicago cruised to an easy 8-1 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs had a huge 1st inning, scoring five of their eight runs. As for the Mets, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Cubs were the slight underdogs at +105.

Jameson Taillon pitched well for the Cubs in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts and picked up a win. Tylor Megill had a rough outing for the Mets, taking the loss.

At the plate, the Cubs were led by Christopher Morel, Pete Crow-Armstrong, and Seiya Suzuki, as they were the only three Cubs hitters to have more than one hit. Morel and Suzuki each drove in two runs.

Mets Records & Stats

With an overall record of 36-39, the Mets are 4th in the NL East, 13.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. New York will be on the road today, taking on the Cubs, and they are 1 game behind the Nationals for 3rd place in the division.

The Mets have gone 8-2 across their last ten games and are looking to bounce back after dropping their most recent game. So far, they are 18-23 at home and have gone 18-16 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 20-19 this year, and they are 16-20 when listed as the underdog.

When the Mets are on the road, they are a solid bet against the run line, going 20-14. Their average run margin in those games is +0.5 runs per game. They have been an underdog in 36 games, going 21-15 against the run line. Their average run margin in those games is +0.1 runs per game.

When the Mets play on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and their games have averaged 9.4 runs per contest. Overall, the over/under record for Mets games this season is 38-35, and when the line is set at 8 runs, the record is 8-4. The over/under line has been set at 8 runs for 63.3% of their games this season.

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Cubs on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 3.52. Opponents are batting .217 off Severino this season, and his WHIP is currently 1.20. In his 14 appearances, Severino has turned in six quality starts. The right-hander most recently faced the Rangers, where he finished with a no-decision, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that outing, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.

So far, the Mets are 9th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 9th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Brandon Nimmo and J.D. Martinez have been two of the Mets’ hottest hitters of late, with Nimmo going 13/30 in his last seven games with three homers and 10 RBIs. Martinez is also on a seven-game hitting streak, and he has three homers in this stretch. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo are the team’s top two home run hitters, with 16 and 10 homers, respectively.

Cubs Records & Stats

Chicago is 37-40 overall and 4th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by seven games. So far, they are just 9-17 against other teams in the NL Central. The Cubs will be at home today, where they are 22-17 compared to 15-23 on the road.

The Cubs have won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 18-22 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, Chicago is 19-18 this year. This season, the Cubs’ series record is 9-13-2.

When the Cubs win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.0. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.2. Their run line record as the favorite is just 10-27, but as the underdog, it’s 27-13. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog.

Chicago Cubs games have had an average combined run total of 8.6 this season, and their over/under record is 33-41. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 3-9. Overall, 49.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, and 35.1% have had lines set at under 8 runs. Today’s over/under line for their game against the New York Mets is set at 8 runs.

Right-hander Javier Assad gets the start for the Cubs today vs. the Mets and comes into the game with a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 2.75. So far this year, he has made 15 starts, and opponents are batting .223 off him. Assad has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 9.04 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in five innings of work vs. the Giants. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.

Chicago’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 18th in runs per game (4.2) and have the league’s 16th ranked batting average. The Cubs are also just 16th in home runs this season and have a collective slugging percentage of .371, which is 19th in the league. However, they do have a good team on-base percentage and are 5th in the league in walks.

Christopher Morel leads the Cubs with 14 homers this season, but he is batting just .202. Ian Happ and Cody Bellinger have also gone deep nine times this season. Morel is also the team’s top run producer, with 43 RBIs. Over his last six games, Happ is hitting .381 with two homers, as is Dansby Swanson. Swanson is just 4/20 in his last six games.