Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 6/20/24
Thursday’s matchup between the Mariners and Guardians is set to get started at 1:10 PM ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland. The Guardians are the slight favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -109, while the Mariners are at -110. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
MLBN will be televising Thursday’s game, and the Mariners will be looking for a win to keep pace with the Astros in the AL West. Seattle is currently 44-32, while the Guardians are 45-26 and are in first place in the AL Central.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -109
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 1:10 ET on Thursday, June 20th.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Cleveland cruised to an easy 8-0 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 5th inning, scoring three of their eight runs. As for the Mariners, they had their best chance to score in the 6th, but could only push across one run.
Tanner Bibee started for the Guardians and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 12 strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Bryan Woo got the start for the Mariners and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work.
Josh Naylor was the offensive star for Cleveland, going 3/4 with two homers and four RBIs. Both Steven Kwan and Jose Ramirez each drove in two for the Guardians’ offense.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle is 44-32 overall and leads the AL West by nine games over the Astros. So far, they have been great against other teams in the AL West, going 17-5. The Mariners have been playing well lately, having gone 8-2 across their last ten games.
At home, the Mariners have been strong at 27-12 this season. They are just under .500 on the road, coming in with a record of 17-20. As the road favorite, the Mariners are 7-8 this year, and they are 28-18 as the favorite overall.
Seattle has a run line record of 37-39 this season, with a run line record of 21-18 at home. The Mariners have an average run margin of 0.2 runs per game this season. Their run line record as the favorite is 20-26, and they have covered the run line in two straight games. Their average run margin in winning games is 2.9 runs per game.
The Mariners are on the road against the Cleveland Guardians today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. Seattle’s games have averaged 7.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 30-43 overall. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the Mariners have gone 5-10-1 in those games. So far this season, 56.6% of their games have had over/under lines set below 8 runs.
Seattle is sending right-hander Luis Castillo to the mound today vs. the Guardians. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with a 3.33 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Castillo has a WHIP of 1.14 and has turned in 10 quality starts. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs vs. the Rangers. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .229 off Castillo this season.
Heading into today’s game, the Mariners are 25th in the league in runs per game at 3.9. This is a result of being near the bottom of the league in batting average and having the most strikeouts in the league. However, they are one of the better home run hitting teams in the league and have been a patient team at the plate, as they are 7th in the league in walks.
Julio Rodriguez has been swinging a good bat for the Mariners of late, going 10/40 in his last 10 games with two homers. Overall, he is batting .264 with seven homers, which is 3rd on the team. Cal Raleigh has a team-high 12 homers but is batting just .203 for the season.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is 45-26 overall this season, putting them in 1st place in the AL Central. So far, they have a 5.5-game lead on the Twins for the division lead. The Guardians are 11-6 against other teams in the AL Central. They are also 22-9 at home this season.
The Guardians have dropped two straight games as the underdog, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall. This season, they are 31-15 when favored and 14-11 as the underdog overall. Cleveland’s overall series record is 15-6-2 this year.
When the Guardians win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per victory. That’s helped them to a run line record of 40-31 overall, including a 23-17 mark on the road. They’ve been a good bet as an underdog, going 18-7 against the run line in those games.
The Cleveland Guardians are home today against the Seattle Mariners with an O/U line of 8 runs. The Guardians’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 34-32. When the O/U line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 7-7-2. So far this season, 42.3% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8 runs. The over has hit in their last three games.
Cleveland is starting left-hander Logan Allen vs. the Mariners today. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 7-3 with a 5.30 ERA. Allen’s WHIP for the season is 1.49, and opponents are batting .280 off him this season. In his 14 starts, Allen has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 7.36 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Allen got the win vs. the Blue Jays, going five innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.
As a team, the Guardians are 5th in the MLB in runs scored this season, averaging 5 runs per game. This has been the case both at home and on the road. They are also one of the best teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts and have a good team on-base percentage of .319. So far, they have been one of the league’s best power-hitting teams, as they are 10th in home runs and have the league’s top two RBI leaders in José Ramirez and Josh Naylor.
Josh Naylor has been hot of late, going 10/26 in his last seven games with three homers. Steven Kwan has also been swinging a hot bat, going 16/30 in his last seven games. Kwan also has the team’s longest active hitting streak at 13 games.