Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/20/24
At 1:05 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Nationals face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. The Nationals are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -140 compared to the Diamondbacks at +119. The over/under line is at 9 runs.
MacKenzie Gore will be starting for the Nationals, while the Diamondbacks are going with Ryne Nelson. Arizona is currently 2nd in the NL West, with an overall record of 36-38, while the Nationals are 3rd in the NL East. MASN is carrying this one on TV.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline -140
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 1:05 ET on Thursday, June 20th.
HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS NATIONALS:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Diamondbacks to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Washington picked up a 3-1 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 6th inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the +147 underdogs.
Patrick Corbin got the start for the Nationals, going five innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued three walks. Derek Law got the win out of the bullpen, and Kyle Finnegan got the save. Brandon Pfaadt had a good outing for the Diamondbacks, giving up three earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work.
Jesse Winker was the difference for the Nationals, as he homered and scored three times. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. had a two-hit game for the Diamondbacks.
Diamondbacks Records & Stats
Arizona is 36-38 overall and is nine games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are in 2nd place in the division, and they are 15-12 in games against other NL West teams. As for their overall record, the Diamondbacks are 6-4 across their last 10 games and are coming off a win over the Nationals.
At home, the Diamondbacks have gone 19-18 this year, and they are just below .500 at 17-20 on the road. As the underdog, Arizona is 16-22 this year and 13-15 as the road underdog. They have won two straight games as the underdog overall.
The Diamondbacks have been a solid run line bet this season, going 35-39 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 19-18, compared to 16-21 at home. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 21-17, compared to 14-22 as the favorite. Their average run differential is +0.1 runs per game, and they have gone over the run line in two straight games as the underdog.
The Diamondbacks have had 59.5% of their games this season with an over/under line set at 9 runs or fewer, and they have gone 6-10-1 in those games. The O/U line for today’s game against the Nationals is set at 9 runs, which is right around their average line for the season. Arizona’s games have averaged 9.5 runs per game, and they have gone 36-36 on the over/under for the season. They are currently on a two-game under streak.
Ryne Nelson gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Nationals on the road. So far this season, he has made 11 starts and is coming off a game in which he allowed just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he picked up the win. Looking back over his last four starts, Nelson has gone 3-1 and has given up two earned runs or fewer in three of those outings. Nelson’s ERA for the season is 5.49, and his record is 4-5. Opposing batters are hitting .318 off Nelson this season.
Arizona has been one of the league’s top offenses this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have also been one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, as their 73 homers are 12th in the league. As a team, they are batting .252, which is 6th in the league.
Christian Walker has been on a nice run of late, going 12/45 in his last 10 games with four homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .255 with a team-high 16 homers and 49 RBIs. Ketel Marte is right behind him in the RBI department, with 42, and is batting .282 for the season.
Nationals Records & Stats
Washington is 36-37 overall and trails the Phillies by 12.5 games in the NL East. So far, they have gone 14-10 in divisional matchups. The Nationals have won three straight series and have an overall series record of 10-12-1 this year.
The Nationals have been playing well lately, going 8-2 across their last 10 games. At home, they are 17-18 compared to 19-19 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in seven games, going 6-4. As for their games as the underdog, the Nationals are 30-33 this year.
The Nationals have been a solid run line bet this season, going 45-28 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 25-13 against the run line. They have been an underdog in most games, going 39-24 against the run line in those contests. Their average run differential in games they have won is +3.3 runs per game.
The Nationals have been playing in games with an average run total of 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 32-38. When the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 2-5-1. Overall, 71.2% of their games have had lower lines than today’s 9-run total, and their games have gone under the total in each of their last four contests.
Washington is sending left-hander MacKenzie Gore to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with a 3.24 ERA. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.32, and opponents are batting .248 off him this year. In his 14 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 10.92 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Gore went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.
Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are averaging just 4 runs per game (23rd) and are dead last in the league in home runs. As a team, they are batting just .234, which is 14th in the league. However, they do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, including CJ Abrams and Lane Thomas. Abrams is hitting .261 for the season and is on an 11-game hitting streak. He has also gone 11/27 in his last seven games.
Lane Thomas has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 8/29 in his last eight games with three homers. Thomas is also 2nd on the team with seven homers. Joey Meneses and Eddie Rosario are the team’s leaders in RBIs, but both have struggled to hit for average, with Rosario batting just .184 this season.