San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 6/18/24
The Phillies are the heavy favorite for Tuesday’s matchup vs. the Padres, with their money line odds sitting at -156 compared to the Padres at +131. This one is getting started at 6:40 PM ET from Citizen Bank Park in Philadelphia. NSPPH will be televising this matchup.
The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Phillies will be looking to extend the Padres’ losing streak to five games. San Diego is 37-39 compared to the Phillies at 48-24.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -156
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, June 18th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Philadelphia cruised to a 9-2 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Padres, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -196 on the money line.
Cristopher Sanchez started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Randy Vazquez got the start for the Padres and took the loss, going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up six runs.
Philadelphia’s offense was led by Rafael Marchan, who went 4/4 with two RBIs. Kyle Schwarber also had a two-home run game for the Phillies. As for the Padres, Manny Machado went 2/4 with an RBI.
Padres Records & Stats
San Diego is 37-39 overall and trails the Dodgers by nine games in the NL West. The Padres have dropped four straight games, losing the series opener vs. the Phillies. In the NL West, they are in 4th place, a half-game behind the Diamondbacks for 3rd place and trail the Giants by a half-game for 2nd place.
At home, the Padres are 18-21 this season and have gone 19-18 on the road. As the underdog, the Padres are 13-16 this year and 24-23 when favored. San Diego’s road losing streak is at eight games, and their overall series record is 13-9-3.
San Diego has been a solid run line team on the road this season, going 25-12, but they have failed to cover in their last three road games. They have been favored in 47 games this season, going 19-28 against the run line. They have been a much better bet as an underdog, going 19-10 against the run line.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is slightly higher than the average line for San Diego games this season, which is set at 8 runs. The Padres have played in 13 games with higher lines than today’s, and their over/under record in those games is 8-9. Their combined run average for the season is 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 38-37. The over has hit in their last two games.
Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, he has made 14 starts and six of them have been quality starts. King’s ERA is 3.58, and he has a record of 5-4. Looking at his overall numbers, King has a WHIP of 1.23 and opponents are batting .215 off him this season. In his last outing, King finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a homer.
So far this season, the Padres are the top-hitting team in the MLB, with a team batting average of .259. They are also among the league leaders in home runs, and their team on-base percentage of .325 is 5th best in the league. San Diego’s offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. At home, they are averaging 4.1 runs per contest, and on the road, they are 8th in the league at 4.7 runs per game.
Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are both among the league leaders in RBIs, with 46 apiece. Profar is also 13th in the league with 10 home runs, while Cronenworth has also left the yard 10 times this season. Fernando Tatis Jr. is 10th in the league with 13 homers. Over his last eight games, Jackson Merrill is hitting .321 with four home runs.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is 48-24 overall this season, and they lead the NL East by eight games over the Braves. The Phillies have gone 12-6 against other teams in the NL East. At home, the Phillies are 28-10 this year and 20-14 on the road. This season, the Phillies have been really good in night games, putting up a record of 32-12.
So far, the Phillies have been the favorite in most of their games, and they are 42-18 in those matchups. As the home favorite, the Phillies have gone 27-8 this year. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 14-7-4, and they have dropped three straight series.
Philadelphia has been a solid run line bet this season, going 39-33 overall. The Phillies have been even better at home, going 21-17 against the run line in their own ballpark. Their average run margin is +1.4 runs per game. They have been a profitable run line bet as the favorite, going 33-27.
The Phillies have been playing in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 32-35, and they have hit the over in two straight games. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total in 5 of 13 games, and the percentage of their games with lines set at 8.5 runs is 18.1%. Overall, 63.9% of their games have had lower lines than 8.5 runs, with an average line of 8 runs per game.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Padres at home. Nola has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 8-3 with a 3.48 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.08 and has pitched one complete game shutout this year. In his last outing, Nola took the loss, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up eight earned runs on 11 hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with a 4.03 ERA compared to 4.84 on the road.
For the season, the Phillies are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. At home, they are even better, averaging 5.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .256 (3rd) and have the 6th most home runs in the league. Not only do they have a lot of home runs, but they are also doing a good job of getting on base, as they have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league.
Over his last five games, Kyle Schwarber has three home runs and is batting .400. Alec Bohm has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/18 in his last four games with a home run and eight RBIs. For the season, Bohm is batting .307 with seven homers. Bryce Harper is also a big power threat in the Phillies lineup, as he comes into the game with 15 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 8th in the MLB.