Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 6/18/24
Cleveland comes into this one looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they are 44-25 overall and 1st in the AL Central. Seattle is 1st in the AL West with a record of 43-31 and they are currently on a three-game winning streak. The money line odds have the Guardians at -117 compared to the Mariners at -102. First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 6:40 PM ET.
Triston McKenzie is slated to start for Cleveland, and he will be facing off against a Mariners lineup that will have Bryce Miller on the mound. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and this game will be televised on BSGL.
SEATTLE MARINERS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline -102
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, June 18th.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Mariners winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mariners to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Mariners Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Rangers, the Mariners closed out the series with a 5-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -146. Offensively, the Mariners only had six hits but scored five runs. Their big inning was the json4th, where they scored three runs. Seattle’s other two runs came in the 8th.
Logan Gilbert put together a good start for the Mariners, going eight innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out nine Rangers batters. Tyler Locklear hit a homer for the Mariners but went just 1/4.
Seattle is on the road today vs. the Guardians, and they lead the AL West by nine games over the Astros. The Mariners are 43-31 overall and have won three straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Rangers with three straight wins. So far, they have been really good vs. other teams in the AL West, going 17-5 this season.
At home, the Mariners have gone 27-12, and they are just under .500 on the road at 16-19. As the underdog, the Mariners have been good this year, going 15-13, which includes winning three straight as the underdog overall. Their overall series record is 13-8-2, and they have won two straight series.
Seattle’s run line record is 36-38, with an average run margin of 0.3 runs per game. They are 21-18 against the run line at home, where they have an average scoring margin of 0.9 runs per game. On the road, they are 15-20 vs. the run line, with an average scoring margin of -0.5 runs per game.
The Mariners have played to an Over/Under record of 28-43 this season, and their games have averaged 7.5 runs per contest. When the O/U line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone 5-2. Overall, only 12.2% of their games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs or higher, with the average line being set at 8 runs.
Right-hander Bryce Miller is getting the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with an ERA of 3.48. Miller’s WHIP for the season is currently .98. In his last outing, he went seven innings, giving up no earned runs, and finished with a no decision. Looking back further, Miller has finished with a no decision in three straight outings. Before that, he had picked up the win in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .189 off Miller this season.
Julio Rodríguez has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Mariners, going 7/27 (.259) over his last seven games. During this stretch, he has two home runs and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .268 with seven homers. Cal Raleigh has also been a big power threat for the Mariners, as he is 11th in the league with 12 homers and 14th in the league with 43 RBIs. However, he is batting just .206 for the season.
As a team, the Mariners are just 25th in the league in runs scored at 3.9 runs per game. They have been especially bad in the on-base percentage department (.300) and are also dead last in the league in strikeouts. Overall, they are batting just .221, which is 22nd in the MLB.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland closed out their series vs. the Blue Jays with a 7-6 loss. The Guardians were the +102 underdog on the money line going into this road game. Things started off well for the Guardians, as they got on the board with two runs in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Blue Jays scored twice in the bottom of the 2nd.
Ben Lively got the start for the Guardians and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits. Daniel Schneemann was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Cleveland is hosting the Mariners today with an overall record of 44-25, good for 1st place in the AL Central. The Guardians hold a 5.0 game lead over the Royals in the division and are 11-6 against other teams in the AL Central. They have dropped two straight games, and this came after losing the series to the Blue Jays 2-1.
At home, the Guardians are 21-8 this year, and they have gone 23-17 on the road. The Guardians have won two straight games as the favorite, and they are 30-14 when favored this year. As for their record as the home favorite, they are 18-7 this year. So far, their overall series record is 15-6-2.
When the Cleveland Guardians win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. Their run line record is 39-30, with a 16-13 mark at home. They are 18-7 against the run line as an underdog, but just 21-23 as the favorite.
The Cleveland Guardians are playing at home against the Seattle Mariners today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Guardians have played 64 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 32-32, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 5-10. So far this season, 20.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher, while 58.0% have had lines set at 8 runs or lower.
Triston McKenzie will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Reds. In that start, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up 2 earned runs, and coming away with the win. Looking back over his last four outings, McKenzie has finished with a no-decision in three straight starts. The right-hander has made 13 appearances this year and has a record of 3-3, along with an ERA of 4.10 and WHIP of 1.41. Opposing batters are hitting .220 off McKenzie this year, and his BB/9 figure is 5.03 compared to 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings.
Over the last six games, Steven Kwan has been on fire for the Guardians, going 14/25 (.560). He has also scored three runs and driven in three over that stretch. Kwan is currently on an 11-game hitting streak. Daniel Schneemann and Tyler Freeman have also been swinging the bat well, with both players going 4/13 in their last five and six games, respectively.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Ramirez’s 18 homers leading the team and Naylor’s 17 being the 2nd most on the team and 6th most in the league. Ramirez also has 62 RBIs, which is 2nd in the MLB. As a team, the Guardians are 5th in runs scored (4.9) and have been a good home and road scoring team.