Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 6/17/24

The Red Sox and Blue Jays are set to face off in an AL East matchup at 7:07 PM ET at Rogers Centre in Toronto. The Red Sox have won two straight and are 37-35 overall, while the Blue Jays are 35-36 and have Yusei Kikuchi on the mound vs. Nick Pivetta for Boston.

Toronto is at -132 on the money line compared to the Red Sox at +113, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs. SNET will be televising this one.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -132

This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Monday, June 17th.

HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS BLUE JAYS:

• We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston closed out their series vs. the Yankees with an impressive 9-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +123 on the money line. It was a big 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, as the Red Sox scored two runs in the inning and added another two in the 3rd.

Kutter Crawford put together a good start for the Red Sox, going six innings and giving up three runs on just three hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out nine Yankees batters. Boston’s offense was carried by Ceddanne Rafaela, who went 3/4 with two RBIs.

Boston is 3rd in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 12 games. Overall, the Red Sox are 37-35 as they play on the road today vs. the Blue Jays. They are 7-9 in AL East games this year and won two straight games heading into today.

The Red Sox won their series vs. the Yankees and are 6-4 across their last 10 games. As the road underdog, Boston is 11-13 this season, and they are 19-14 as the favorite. So far, they have gone 18-20 at home.

When betting the run line on the Red Sox, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road than at home. Boston is 20-14 against the run line on the road this season compared to 14-24 at Fenway Park. The Red Sox have an average run margin of 1.3 runs per game on the road, which is higher than their overall average run margin of 0.5 runs per game.

When the Red Sox are on the road, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs, but today’s line is 7.5 runs. Boston’s games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 32-35. In games where the line was set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit 6 times and the under has hit 9 times. The over has hit in 55 of the 72 games the Red Sox have played this season, and they are currently on a two-game over streak.

Through 9 starts, Nick Pivetta has a record of 3-4 and an ERA of 3.88. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.08. Pivetta’s last outing came on June 12th, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he gave up 4 earned runs in 4 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Pivetta’s ERA at home is 5.81 compared to 3.56 on the road. Opposing batters are hitting .211 this season off Pivetta. So far, he has turned in three quality starts.

The Red Sox offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better on the road, scoring an average of 4.9 runs per game. Boston has been a tough lineup to strike out, as their 9 strikeouts per game is the 28th best mark in the league. As a team, they are batting .252, which is 6th in the MLB.

Rafael Devers has been a big power threat for the Red Sox this season, as his 13 homers leads the team and is 10th best in the league. He is also 2nd on the team with 36 RBIs. Ceddanne Rafaela has gone 13/34 over his last nine games and is on a five-game hitting streak.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Guardians, closing out their series with a 7-6 win. After allowing two runs to the Guardians in the top of the 2nd, the Blue Jays responded with two runs of their own. Toronto went on to add another two runs in the 2nd inning, and Daulton Varsho’s homer in the 3rd put the Blue Jays up 5-2. The Guardians scored two runs in the 6th to tie things up, but the Blue Jays’s picked up the win with two runs in the bottom of the 6th.

José Berríos got the start for the Blue Jays, going six innings and giving up four earned runs on eight hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win. The Blue Jays’s offense was carried by Daulton Varsho, who went 2/5 with a homer and four RBIs.

Toronto is hosting the Red Sox today with an overall record of 35-36, which has them 4th in the AL East. Currently, they trail the Yankees by 13.5 games in the division. The Blue Jays have gone 9-10 in AL East matchups this year.

The Blue Jays have won two straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Guardians with a win. So far, they have been the favorite in 47 games, going 29-18 in those matchups. As for their time as the underdog, they are just 6-18 in those games. At home, the Blue Jays have gone 18-11 when favored. Their overall series record is 9-10-4 this year.

When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.1 runs per game. However, they lose by an average of -3.9 runs per game. Overall, they are 33-38 against the run line this season, and they are 12-22 at home. They are 21-16 on the road against the run line.

The Toronto Blue Jays have an over/under record of 30-39 this season, and their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over the total 11 times and under 8 times. Overall, 69.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. The Blue Jays are playing at home today against the Boston Red Sox, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs.

Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Red Sox at home. Kikuchi has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 4-5 with a 3.26 ERA. So far, he has turned in seven quality starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Brewers, he went five innings, picking up the win. Kikuchi has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 2-4 and 3.46 ERA compared to 2-1 with a 3.97 ERA on the road.

As a team, the Blue Jays are near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, including runs scored, home runs, and batting average. They are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. Toronto’s team batting average of .232 is 18th in the league. The Blue Jays do have two players with double-digit home runs, with Daulton Varsho leading the team with 11 homers, but he is batting just .220 for the season.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a consistent hitter for the Blue Jays this season, batting .284 overall and has gone 9/37 in his last 10 games. He has seven homers for the season. Daulton Varsho has gone 8/30 in his last 10 games and has one homer in that stretch. However, he is just 1/11 in his last five games. Davis Schneider has also struggled of late, going 3/28 in his last 10 games.