San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 6/17/24

At 8:05 PM ET, the Giants and Cubs face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Wrigley Field in Chicago, and the Giants are 4th in the NL West with a record of 35-37, while the Cubs are 5th in the NL Central at 34-38.

Chicago is favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -125 compared to the Giants at +104. Monday’s forecast in Chicago calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 90s. NBCS will be televising this one.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Francisco Giants Moneyline +104

This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 8:05 ET on Monday, June 17th.

HOW TO BET THE GIANTS VS CUBS:

• We have the Giants winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Giants to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under

Giants Records & Stats

Jorge Soler and the Giants’s offense is coming off a big game to close out their series vs. the Angels. San Francisco scored 13 runs on 16 hits and went on to win the game 13-6. The Giants were the heavy favorite at -167 going into the game.

Soler really got things going for the Giants, going 2/4 with a homer and four RBIs. The Giants scored nine runs in the 4th inning, and Soler had a big three-run homer in the inning. Austin Slater was also hot at the plate, going 2/2 with a homer and two RBIs.

San Francisco is on the road today, taking on the Cubs with an overall record of 35-37. The Giants are 8.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead, and they are in 4th place in the division. So far, they have gone 13-13 in divisional games.

At home, the Giants have gone 20-17 this year, and they are just under .500 at 15-20 on the road. As the favorite, the Giants are 21-17 this year and 14-20 as the underdog. San Francisco’s series record is 12-9-2 this year, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Angels.

When the Giants win, they do so by an average of 3.4 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.9 runs per game. Their overall run differential is -0.3 runs per game, and their run line record is 35-37. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road (19-16) than at home (16-21) and have been a better run line bet as the underdog (19-15) than as the favorite (16-22).

The San Francisco Giants are on the road today against the Chicago Cubs. The over/under line for this game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. The Giants’ over/under record for the season is 38-32, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs per game. This season, only 1.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, and their over/under record in those games is 1-1. Overall, 95.8% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9.5 runs.

Right-hander Jordan Hicks gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Cubs on the road. So far this season, he has made 14 starts and has a record of 4-3 to go along with a 3.01 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .219 this season, and Hicks has a total of three quality starts. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Per nine innings, Hicks is averaging 8.04 strikeouts and 3.01 walks.

So far this season, the Giants are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. San Francisco’s team batting average of .248 is 10th in the league, and they also have the 7th best on-base percentage in the MLB.

Thairo Estrada, Matt Chapman, Jorge Soler, and Michael Conforto all come into the game with eight home runs, which is 15th in the league. Estrada and Soler are batting just .239 and .224, respectively, but both have been swinging the bat well of late. Heliot Ramos is hitting .326 for the season and has gone 15/40 in his last nine games, with three homers and 11 RBIs.

Cubs Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Cardinals, the Cubs closed out the series with a 2-1 loss. Chicago was the slight favorite at -131 on the money line. Things started off well for the Cubs, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Cardinals scored twice in the top of the 2nd.

Chicago’s offense was quiet the rest of the way, and the Cubs couldn’t complete the comeback. Ian Happ scored the team’s only run in the 1st inning, going 2/3 with a double. Jameson Taillon took the loss, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on seven hits.

Chicago is 34-38 overall and trails the Brewers in the NL Central by 8.5 games. The Cubs are 5th in the division and are 9-17 against other NL Central teams. Today, they host the Giants with an overall home record of 19-15 compared to a road record of 15-23.

The Cubs are looking to get back on track, as they are just 3-7 over their last 10 games. So far, they have dropped three straight series and have an overall series record of 8-13-2. As the favorite, the Cubs are 17-16 this year and 12-11 when favored at home. They have gone 17-22 as the underdog.

When betting the run line on the Cubs this season, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road as they are 22-16 vs. the run line away from Wrigley. They are just 13-21 vs. the run line at home this season. They have been a run line underdog in 39 games and have covered in 26 of them. They are 9-24 vs. the run line as the favorite.

Chicago Cubs games have gone under the total in nine straight contests, and the under is 30-39 overall for the season. The average over/under line for Cubs games is 8 runs, but when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the over is 4-0. The combined run average in Cubs games is 8.5 runs per game, and only 5.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher.

Through 14 starts, Javier Assad has a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 2.81. He has made three quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a homer. Against the Rays on June 12th, Assad went 4 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, four hits, and two walks. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts. Assad’s ERA on the road is 3.71, compared to 1.79 at home.

So far this season, the Cubs offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 21st in the MLB. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. Overall, the Cubs are 17th in home runs and have a team batting average of just .226. However, they do have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league and are among the league leaders in walks.

Christopher Morel has really struggled at the plate this season, batting just .195, and he has gone 6/39 over his last 10 games. However, he is still the Cubs’ leader in home runs (13) and RBIs (40). Cody Bellinger has been a bit better, hitting .263 for the season and has gone 12/42 in his last 10 games. He is 2nd on the team with 9 homers.