St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 5/28/24

Both the Cardinals and Reds will send a starting pitcher to the mound on Tuesday, with Kyle Gibson going for the Cardinals and Andrew Abbott for the Reds. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 6:40 PM ET. BSOH is carrying this game on TV.
The Reds are currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -124 compared to the Cardinals at +105. The over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and Cincinnati will be looking to extend their four-game win streak. The Cardinals are 3rd in the NL Central, while the Reds are 5th.
CINCINNATI REDS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -124
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, May 28th.
HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS REDS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cardinals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under
Cincinnati picked up a 3-1 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a two-run 2nd inning and added an insurance run in the 5th. As for the Cardinals, they scored their only run in the 1st. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -160 on the money line.
Nick Lodolo got the win for the Reds, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued five walks. As for the Cardinals, Lance Lynn got the start and took the loss, giving up one earned run in six innings of work.
Jeimer Candelario was the only Reds hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 1/3 with a home run. Paul Goldschmidt hit a homer for the Cardinals, going 1/4.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is 25-27 overall and is 5.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they have struggled against other NL Central teams, going 3-7. The Cardinals are on a two-game losing streak on the road, and they are 12-15 on the road this year.
As the road underdog, the Cardinals are 7-11 this season compared to 14-13 as the favorite overall. St. Louis has won four straight series, and their overall series record is 9-8 this year. The Cardinals have gone 7-3 across their past ten games, and they will be looking to bounce back after dropping the series opener vs. the Reds.
St. Louis has been a tough team to bet on the run line this season, as they have a 25-27 record. They have been a better bet at home, going 13-12, compared to 12-15 on the road. They have lost three straight run line bets on the road, and have been a better bet as an underdog, going 15-10.
St. Louis is on the road against Cincinnati today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 24-26 this season, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the over/under record is 1-1. Only 1.9% of their games have had lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, with 94.2% of their games having lower lines. The under has hit in their last two games.
Right-hander Kyle Gibson is starting for the Cardinals today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 3-2 with a 3.81 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .240 this season, and Gibson has turned in five quality starts. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had given up five earned runs in three straight starts. So, he will be looking to bounce back today.
St. Louis has struggled to put up runs this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. Their home run numbers are also towards the bottom of the league, and they are batting a combined .233. As a team, they are also 22nd in slugging percentage and 21st in OPS. However, they do have three players with at least 20 RBIs, including Brendan Donovan, who leads the team with 25 RBIs.
Paul Goldschmidt has been swinging the bat well of late, going 9/34 with three homers over his last eight games. He also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. Alec Burleson has also been hot of late, going 12/31 in his last eight games. For the season, Goldschmidt is batting just .222, and Burleson is at .258.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 24-30 overall and trail the Brewers by 7.5 games in the NL Central. The Reds have won four straight games, and they are 2-2 in divisional games this year. Cincinnati is looking to pick up a win at home, where they are 14-15 this year.
So far, the Reds have gone 10-15 on the road. As the underdog, Cincinnati is 13-20 this season compared to an 11-10 mark as the favorite. The Reds have won four straight games at home, and their overall series record is 5-11-1 this year.
The Reds have a run line record of 29-25 this season, including a 13-16 mark at home. They have gone 16-9 against the run line on the road, and their average run differential in winning games is +3.8.
The Cincinnati Reds have an over/under record of 25-27 this season, and their games have produced an average of 8.3 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 10-3, and they have had just two games this season with a higher line. In fact, 72.2% of their games have had lower lines than 9.5 runs, and their games have had an average line of 9 runs. The under has hit in their last three games.
Left-hander Andrew Abbott gets the start for the Reds today as he faces the Cardinals at home. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 2.68. Abbott’s WHIP for the season is 1.09, and he has turned in four quality starts. In his most recent outing, Abbott pitched seven scoreless innings, picking up the win in the process. Looking back over his last three outings, he has given up a total of three earned runs. Abbott has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 2.32 compared to 3.22 on the road.
Spencer Steer has been one of the Reds’ top power threats this season, as he is 3rd on the team with six home runs and is batting .231 overall. Steer has also gone deep twice in his last six games, while going 6/21 (.286) in that stretch. Elly De La Cruz has also been a nice surprise for the Reds this season, as he is batting .245 and is 9th in the league with nine homers.
As a team, the Reds are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS. Currently, the Reds have two hitters on a decent streak, with Jake Fraley having a three-game streak and Spencer Steer having a six-game streak.