Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/28/24
Detroit comes into this one with the Pirates looking for a win, as they have a three-game winning streak and are 26-27 overall. Pittsburgh is 25-29 and they will be starting Jared Jones. The Tigers are the favorites on the money line, with the odds sitting at -152, while the money line odds for the Pirates are at +128.
BSDET will be televising this interleague matchup, and the over/under line is currently at 7 runs. Tuesday’s forecast in Detroit calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 70s.
DETROIT TIGERS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline -152
This game will be played at Comerica Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, May 28th.
HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS TIGERS:
- We have the Tigers winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Pirates Records & Stats
The Pirates will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with an 8-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 2nd inning before the Braves scored eight runs in the 3rd to put things out of reach. Pittsburgh was the +201 underdog at home going into the game.
Martin Perez was only able to last three innings, taking the loss. He gave up eight earned runs on jsonly four hits and issued three walks. The Pirates also wasted a big game from Connor Joe, who went 2/3 with a run scored.
Pittsburgh is 25-29 overall this season, and they are 6.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Pirates are 4th in the division and have gone 7-7 in divisional matchups this year. They will be on the road today to take on the Tigers, and they are 13-14 on the road compared to 12-15 at home.
As the road underdog, the Pirates have gone 11-10 this season, and they are 18-15 overall as the underdog. Pittsburgh has struggled as the favorite, going 7-14 this year. Their overall series record is 6-8-3, and they closed out their series vs. the Braves with two straight wins to take the series 2-1.
When the Pirates are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 17-10. They have covered the run line in four straight road games. They have been a better bet against the run line as the underdog, going 24-9. Their average run differential in their wins is +2.7, while their average run differential in their losses is -3.3.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have an over/under record of 27-26 this season, and the average over/under line in their games is set at 8 runs. Their games have had an average of 8.5 runs scored per game. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, the Pirates have a record of 3-2. In 88.9% of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 7 runs, with only 1.9% of their games having a line set lower than 7 runs.
Jared Jones will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Giants on May 22nd, he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back further, Jones has finished with a no-decision in three of his last four outings. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 3-4, along with an ERA of 3.05. Opposing batters are hitting .215 this year off Jones. The right-hander has a WHIP of .97. Out of his 10 starts, Jones has turned in seven quality starts.
Over his last nine games, Bryan Reynolds has gone 13/41 with two homers and eight RBIs. For the season, Reynolds is batting .263 with a team-high 28 RBIs. Reynolds is also tied for the team lead with seven homers, which is 11th best in the MLB. Andrew McCutchen has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 10/36 with two homers and six RBIs in his last nine games.
As a team, the Pirates are 23rd in scoring at 4 runs per game. They have been especially bad at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting just .228 and are near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. However, they do come into the game with a good walk rate and have the 12th best team BABIP in the MLB.
Tigers Records & Stats
The Tigers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays, closing out their series with a 14-11 win. After allowing three runs to the Blue Jays in the top of the 1st, the Tigers responded with four runs of their own. Detroit went on to add another four runs in the 2nd inning.
Casey Mize got the start for the Tigers, going 4 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He did struggle on the mound, giving up three earned runs on eight hits and issuing two walks. Matt Vierling was hot at the plate, going 4/6 with two homers and four RBIs.
Detroit is 26-27 overall and are 9.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Tigers are 10-9 against other AL Central teams this year. Detroit has won three straight games, and they took three of four in their most recent series vs. the Blue Jays.
At home, the Tigers are 13-14 this year and 13-13 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 25 games, going 13-12 in those matchups. As the underdog, the Tigers are 13-15 this season. Detroit’s overall series record is 8-7-2 heading into today’s matchup vs. the Pirates.
When betting the run line on the Detroit Tigers, it’s been a better proposition to take them on the road, where they are 15-11 against the run line. They have a run line record of 8-19 at home. They are 18-10 against the run line as an underdog, compared to 5-20 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while it is -3.2 in losing games.
The Detroit Tigers are 4-1 in games with an over/under line of 7 runs this season, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Pittsburgh Pirates is set at 7 runs. The Tigers have played in 47 games with over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, which accounts for 88.7% of their games this season. Overall, the Tigers’ games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 28-23.
Tarik Skubal gets the start for the Tigers today and will look to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss. Against the Royals, he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Skubal has been pitching well this season, as he has a record of 6-1 and an ERA of 2.25. Opponents are batting .186 off the left-hander this season. Skubal has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed a total of four home runs.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .236 and have the 15th ranked home run total in the league. Detroit’s team OPS of .684 is also 18th in the MLB.
Kerry Carpenter has been the Tigers’ top run producer this season, with 29 RBIs and eight homers, which is 2nd in the league. Carpenter is also batting .283 for the season. Over his last eight games, Carpenter has gone 7/19 with three homers and seven RBIs. Colt Keith has also been hot of late, going 11/23 with a homer and four RBIs.