St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 5/27/24
Light rain is in the forecast for Monday’s Reds vs. Cardinals game in Cincinnati, with the temperature sitting in the mid to upper 60s. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 4:10 PM ET. Nick Lodolo is starting for the Reds, and he is facing off against Lance Lynn and the Cardinals, who are 25-26 overall. St. Louis is on a five-game winning streak and is 3rd in the NL Central, while the Reds have won three straight and are 5th in the division.
The money line odds have the Reds as the slight favorite, with their line sitting at -135 compared to the Cardinals at +115. The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs, and BSOH is carrying this game on TV.
CINCINNATI REDS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -135
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 4:10 ET on Monday, May 27th.
HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS REDS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cardinals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under
Cardinals Records & Stats
Paul Goldschmidt had a big game for the Cardinals in their most recent win over the Cubs, going 2/4 with two homers and four RBIs. The Cardinals really needed a big game from Goldschmidt, as they only scored four runs on six hits. Goldschmidt got the Cardinals on the board with a two-run homer in the 3rd inning and added another two-run shot in the 5th.
Sonny Gray started for the Athletics, going five innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out eight Cardinals batters. However, the Athletics bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and St. Louis’s Ryan Helsley picked up the save.
St. Louis is currently 3rd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 4.5 games. Overall, the Cardinals are 25-26 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Reds. The Cardinals have won five straight games, and they are 3-6 in divisional games this year.
The Cardinals have won four straight series, and they are 9-8 in series matchups this year. As the road underdog, the Cardinals are 7-10 this season, and they are 12-14 on the road overall. St. Louis has been good at home, going 13-12 this season.
As an underdog, the Cardinals have been a solid bet on the run line, going 15-9. Their average run margin in losing games is -3.9, which is a full run worse than their overall run line record. They have been a better run line bet at home (13-12) than on the road (12-14).
The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road today against the Cincinnati Reds, with the over/under line set at 9.5 runs. The Cardinals and their opponents have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 24-25. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, the Cardinals have hit the over in their only game. This season, only 2.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher.
St. Louis is sending right-hander Lance Lynn to the mound today as he faces the Reds on the road. Lynn has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 2-2 with a 3.68 ERA. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last three outings, Lynn has given up at least two homers in each. So far, he has allowed a total of six homers and is averaging 3.51 walks per nine innings compared to 8.42 strikeouts.
St. Louis comes into the game with the worst scoring offense in the league, averaging just 3.9 runs per game. They have been slightly better at home, putting up 4.1 runs per contest. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .234, which is 14th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs.
Over his last seven games, Nolan Gorman has gone 8/21 with three homers and six RBIs. Paul Goldschmidt is also on a four-game hitting streak and comes into the game with six homers and 21 RBIs, but he is batting just .222 for the season. Willson Contreras is batting .280 and has also hit six home runs.
Reds Records & Stats
The Reds pulled off a big upset to close out their series vs. the Dodgers, picking up a 4-1 win. Cincinnati was the +177 underdog at home going into this matchup. It was a four-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Dodgers could only score one run, which came in the 9th.
Brent Suter only lasted two-thirds of an inning in his start for the Reds, but the Cincinnati offense picked up the slack, and the Reds’s bullpen was excellent. Nick Martini went 2/4 with two RBIs, and the Reds’s starter, Nick Martinez, got the win, going five innings and not giving up a run.
Cincinnati is hosting the Cardinals today with an overall record of 23-30, which has them 5th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 7.5 games in the division and are 1-2 in division games. The Reds have put together a three-game winning streak, and they closed out their series vs. the Dodgers with three straight wins.
So far, the Reds have gone 13-15 at home compared to 10-15 on the road. As the favorite, Cincinnati is an even 10-10 this year and 13-20 as the underdog. One thing to note is that the Reds have dropped six straight games when favored. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 5-11-1, and they are just .500 (5-5) over their last 10 games.
The Reds are 28-25 against the run line this season. They are 12-16 vs. the run line at home and 16-9 on the road. Cincinnati has covered the run line in three straight games, but they have failed to cover in six straight games when favored. The Reds are 9-11 vs. the run line when favored and 19-14 when they are the underdog.
The Cincinnati Reds are at home against the St. Louis Cardinals today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average in Reds games this season is 8.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 25-26. The average over/under line in Reds games is 9 runs, but when the line is set at 9.5 runs, the over has hit in 10 of 12 games. Only 3.8% of Reds games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher this season, and their under streak is at 2 games.
Cincinnati is sending left-hander Nick Lodolo to the mound today vs. the Cardinals. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with a 3.34 ERA. Lodolo’s WHIP for the season is currently .94. The last time he pitched, he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work and took the loss. Looking back over his last three starts, Lodolo has given up at least one homer in each outing. His strikeout numbers for the season are solid, coming in at 11.06 per nine innings. Lodolo has made two quality starts this year.
Elly De La Cruz comes into today’s game as the Reds’ top home run hitter, as his nine homers is good for 9th in the league. He is also 2nd on the team with 24 RBIs and has a batting average of .247. However, he has struggled of late, hitting just .205 over his last 10 games. Spencer Steer has also been struggling, as he is hitting just .230 for the season and has gone 5/29 in his last nine games.
Stuart Fairchild has been swinging a hot bat for the Reds, going 7/19 in his last nine games, including two home runs. As a team, the Reds are batting just .218, which is 20th in the league, and are averaging only 4.2 runs per game. This is also the 14th ranked home run hitting team in the MLB.