Miami Marlins vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/13/24

At 6:40 PM ET, the Marlins and Tigers will square off in an interleague matchup. Monday night’s matchup is being played at Comerica Park in Detroit, where the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 80s. Miami comes in with a record of 11-31, while the Tigers are currently 20-20.

Monday night’s pitching matchup features Sixto Sanchez for the Marlins and Matt Manning for the Tigers. Detroit is the favorite at -169, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. You can catch this one on TV on BSDET.

DETROIT TIGERS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline -169

This game will be played at Comerica Park at 6:40 ET on Monday, May 13th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS TIGERS:

• We have the Tigers winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Marlins Records & Stats

The Marlins pulled off a big upset in their most recent game, closing out their series vs. the Phillies with a 7-6 win. Miami was the +174 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Phillies scored three times in the top of the first.

Miami started Braxton Garrett, and he took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up five earned runs on five hits. The Marlins’s offense was carried by Josh Bell, who went 1/3 with a homer and three RBIs.

Miami is just 11-31 overall this season, and they are 17.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 2-11. The Marlins dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Phillies.

At home, the Marlins are only 6-17 this year, and they are just 5-14 on the road. This season, they are 3-11 as the favorite compared to 8-20 as the underdog. Miami has dropped three straight games on the road, and they are just 1-11-1 in series this year.

When betting the Marlins on the run line, it’s been a losing proposition overall this season, as they are just 12-30. They have been slightly better on the road, going 7-12, but they have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three road games. Miami has been a run line underdog in 28 of their 31 games, and they are just 1-13 against the run line as the favorite.

The Miami Marlins are on a three-game over streak, and their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 25-17, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. When their line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 11 times and under 7 times. This season, 19.0% of their games have had a higher line than 8.5 runs.

Sixto Sánchez gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces the Tigers on the road. So far, he has made three starts and 10 appearances. Sánchez’s record for the season is 0-1, and his ERA is 7.50. Looking back at his last outing, he finished with a no-decision after giving up two earned runs in four innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Sánchez has allowed at least one home run in three of his last four trips to the mound.

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. This is also the worst mark in the National League. The team’s on-base percentage of .284 is also 22nd in the league, and they are near the bottom of the league in most power-hitting statistics.

Bryan De La Cruz and Jazz Chisholm Jr. are the team’s top home run hitters, with 8 and 5 homers, respectively. De La Cruz is batting .263 for the season and has two homers in his last five games. Chisholm Jr. has also gone deep in his last five games while going 6/19 in that stretch.

Tigers Records & Stats

The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Astros with a 9-3 loss. Detroit was actually the slight favorite at home going into the game but fell behind early, as the Astros scored two runs in the top of the first. Houston’s offense added another two runs in the 3rd and broke things open with a four-run 8th.

Jack Flaherty had a rough outing, giving up three earned runs on seven hits and issuing three walks. The Tigers also wasted a big game from Spencer Torkelson, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 1/4.

Detroit is at an even 20-20 overall as they get set to host the Marlins today. The Tigers are 4.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead, and they Tigers are 4th in the division. So far, they have gone 10-6 in divisional games.

The Tigers dropped two of three games in their series vs. the Astros. Currently, they have lost three straight series. As the favorite, the Tigers are 10-8 this year and 10-12 as the underdog. Detroit is just 9-11 at home compared to an 11-9 mark on the road. Looking at their overall record, the Tigers have gone just 3-7 over their last 10 games.

When the Tigers are the underdog, they are a solid bet to cover the run line, going 15-7 on the season. They are just 4-14 when favored, and their overall run line record is 19-21. They are 13-7 on the run line on the road, where they are outscoring opponents by 0.8 runs per game. At home, they are 6-14 on the run line, and their average run margin is -0.6 runs per game.

Despite a combined run average of 8.0 runs per game, the over/under line for today’s game between the Detroit Tigers and Miami Marlins is set at 8.5 runs. The Tigers have hit the over in two straight games and have a season over/under record of 19-19. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Tigers’ games have gone over the total in just two of seven contests. Overall, 72.5% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 8.5-run mark.

Matt Manning is getting the start for the Tigers today as they take on the Marlins. This will be Manning’s third start of the season, and he has yet to pick up a win, going 0-1 in his first two outings. He has gone 4 2/3 innings and 6 2/3 innings in his first two starts, giving up 4 runs in each outing.

Andy Ibanez has been red hot for the Tigers, going 8/18 over his last four games with two homers and four RBIs. This has helped him push his season average to .248. He is also on a four-game hitting streak. Kerry Carpenter has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 5/13 with two homers in his last three games.

As a team, the Tigers are 21st in scoring at 4 runs per game. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. So far, they are batting just .228 as a team and have the 16th home run total in the league.