Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 5/13/24

The Orioles will be looking to move to 27-13 this season, but they are up against a Blue Jays club that has José Berríos on the mound. This American League East matchup is set for 6:35 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore. The Orioles are the favorite at -168 on the money line.

As for the Blue Jays, they are 18-22 overall and are sending Corbin Burnes to the mound on Monday. The over/under line is at 8 runs, and you can catch this one on SNET.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -168

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 6:35 ET on Monday, May 13th.

HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS ORIOLES:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Blue Jays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Blue Jays Records & Stats

The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with a 5-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Twins scored three runs in the top of the 7th. Toronto was the +102 underdog at home going into the game.

Alek Manoah was excellent for the Blue Jays, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out six Twins batters. However, the Blue Jays couldn’t close things out, and Alek Manoah took the loss. Toronto’s offense scored their only run in the 2nd inning and had just two hits the rest of the game.

The Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Orioles. Overall, they are 18-22, putting them 8.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. Toronto is 5-5 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Blue Jays are at .500 with a record of 9-9. On the road, they are 9-13 this season. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 14-10 but just 4-12 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 4-7-2, and they lost three straight series at home before taking the series vs. the Phillies before their most recent series loss.

When the Blue Jays win, they do so by an average of 2.8 runs per game, but when they lose, it’s by an average of 4.5 runs per game. Toronto’s run line record is 17-23, with a -1.2 run differential per game. They are 10-12 against the run line on the road and 7-11 at home. As the favorite, the Blue Jays are 12-12 against the run line, while they are 5-11 as the underdog.

When the Blue Jays have played games with an over/under line of 8 runs this season, the over/under record is 5-5-1. The average combined run total in those games has been 8.5 runs. Overall, Toronto’s over/under record for the season is 17-22, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs.

José Berríos gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 8 starts this season and has a record of 4-3 with an ERA of 2.85. Berríos’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. The right-hander has turned in 6 quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up 8 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had not allowed more than 2 earned runs in a start. Berríos has given up at least 1 homer in three straight outings.

After a slow start to the season, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has really picked things up of late, going 10/20 in his last five games. For the season, he is batting .273 and leads the Blue Jays with 19 RBIs. Daulton Varsho has a team-high six homers but is batting just .215. Danny Jansen is also batting just .215 but has four homers and has gone 6/17 in his last five games.

As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a collective batting average of just .231. Toronto’s offense has been even worse at home, averaging only 3.6 runs per contest.

Orioles Records & Stats

Adley Rutschman had only one hit in the Orioles’ most recent game vs. the Diamondbacks, but it was a big one. He homered in the 2nd inning, driving in the Orioles’ only two runs of the game. Baltimore went on to lose 9-2. Heading into the game, the Orioles were the slight favorite at -128 on the money line.

Dean Kremer got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on four hits. Kremer also issued four walks and hit a batter. Baltimore’s bullpen didnjson’t fare any better, as the Orioles allowed another six runs in the 7th and 8th innings.

The Orioles come into today’s game vs. the Blue Jays with an overall record of 26-13, good for 1st place in the AL East. Currently, they hold a half-game lead over the Yankees for the division lead. So far, they have been great against other teams in the AL East, putting up a record of 6-1. Baltimore has gone 7-3 over their last 10 games and closed out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a win.

At home, the Orioles are 14-8 this season and have been really good on the road, going 12-5. As the favorite, Baltimore has gone 19-12 this year and are 7-1 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 9-3-1.

When betting the run line with the Orioles, it’s been profitable to take them at home, where they are 12-10 against the run line. Their average run margin at home is +1.0, compared to +1.6 on the road. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 7-1 against the run line, compared to 15-16 as the favorite.

When the Orioles play at home, the over has hit in 69.2% of their games this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is 20-16 on the season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. In their last 10 games, the over has hit in 6 of them, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 4-2-1. Their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs in 27 of their games this season, and the over has hit in 2 straight games.

Through eight starts, Corbin Burnes has a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 2.83. He has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 8.87 strikeouts per nine innings. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is an impressive .96. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up just one earned run in three straight starts. Burnes has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 2.56 compared to 3.44 on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are the league’s top home run hitting team and are also 3rd in the league in runs scored (5.1 per game). Not only are they the league’s best team in terms of isolated power, but they also have the top slugging percentage in the league. Baltimore’s team batting average of .246 is 8th in the league, and they have been pretty good at avoiding strikeouts this season.

Jordan Westburg and Adley Rutschman are both batting .304 this season, with Westburg leading the team with 27 RBIs. Westburg has also gone deep six times, which is 3rd on the team and 8th in the league. Gunnar Henderson has also been a big power threat for the Orioles, as his 12 homers is 2nd in the league and tops on the team. Anthony Santander has gone 7/22 in his last six games, including three homers.