Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 5/13/24

At 7:10 PM from Fenway Park in Boston, we have an AL East matchup between the Rays and Red Sox. Heading into Monday’s game, the Red Sox are 21-19, while the Rays are just below .500 at 20-21. Tampa Bay is starting Zach Eflin, and he is facing off against Kutter Crawford for the Red Sox.

The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Red Sox are the slight favorite on the money line at -119. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by NESN.

BOSTON RED SOX VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -119

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Monday, May 13th.

HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS RED SOX:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Rays Records & Stats

The Rays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with a 10-6 loss. Tampa Bay was the +122 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Rays, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Yankees scored a run in the top of the first.

Tampa Bay started Tyler Alexander, and he took the loss, going seven innings and giving up six earned runs on seven hits. The Rays also issued three walks and hit a batter. Jose Siri had only one hit, but it was a home run, and Yandy Diaz had a good day at the plate, going 1/4 with a run scored and RBI.

The Rays open their series on the road vs. the Red Sox with a record of 20-21, which has them 4th in the AL East. Currently, they trail the Orioles by seven games in the division. So far, they have gone just 4-6 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Rays have gone 14-12 this year compared to 6-9 on the road. Tampa Bay has dropped two straight on the road and are 4-6 when favored in road games. As for their overall record as the favorite, the Rays are 14-15. Their series vs. the Yankees, the Rays lost two games to one, and they are 5-6-2 in series this year. Looking at their recent games, the Rays are 6-4 over their last 10.

As a road team, the Tampa Bay Rays have a run line record of 16-25, including a 6-9 mark on the road. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two road games and are just 7-5 as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.6, while it is -4.0 in losses.

The Rays have played 41 games this season, and 20 of them have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 23-18. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 7-9, and they have hit the over in their last two games.

Zach Eflin gets the start for the Rays today and comes in with a record of 2-4 and an ERA of 3.75. So far, he has made four quality starts and is averaging 7.31 strikeouts per nine innings. Eflin’s most recent outing was a good one, as he picked up the win after going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had taken the loss in three straight outings. One concerning trend for Eflin is that he has given up at least one homer in three straight starts. His ERA on the road is 4.94 compared to 3.06 at home.

Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot in the Rays lineup this season, as he is batting .300 and his eight homers are 6th in the league. Paredes has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/27 in his last eight games, including a home run. Randy Arozarena is 2nd on the team with seven homers but is batting just .158 for the season and has gone 6/29 in his last eight games.

As a team, the Rays are batting .244, which is 9th in the league, and they are averaging 4.1 runs per game. Tampa Bay’s home run total of 35 is 17th in the league. Overall, they are 20th in scoring and have been a better offensive team at home, where they are averaging 4.3 runs per contest.

Red Sox Records & Stats

The Red Sox’s most recent game was a 3-2 win over the Nationals to close out their series. Boston was the -138 favorite at home going into the game. It was a three-run 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Nationals could only score two runs, both of which came in the 4th.

Brayan Bello put together a good start for the Red Sox, going five innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Boston’s offense was carried by Garrett Cooper, who went 2/3 with a run scored and two RBIs.

Boston is hosting the Rays today with an overall record of 21-19, and they have won two straight games. The Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East, and they trail the Orioles by 5.5 games for the division lead. So far, they are 0-3 in divisional games.

As the underdog, the Red Sox are 10-13 this year, and they are 11-6 as the favorite. At home, they are 9-10 compared to 12-9 on the road. Boston won the final two games of their series vs. the Nationals, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

The Red Sox have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 20-20 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 13-8. However, they have struggled at home, going just 7-12 on the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 14-9 on the run line, compared to just 6-11 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.5, while it drops to -3.3 in their losses.

The Red Sox have gone under the total in five straight games, and they have gone under the total in seven of their last 10 games. The Red Sox have gone under the total in 18 of their 37 games this season, and their games have averaged 7.8 runs per game. The Red Sox have gone under the total in 14 of their 23 home games this season.

Kutter Crawford gets the start for the Red Sox today and comes in with a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 1.75. So far, he has made eight starts and has turned in five quality starts. Crawford’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08, and opponents are batting .205 off the right-hander this year. In his last outing, Crawford finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been especially tough at home, with an ERA of 1.77 compared to 1.61 on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road (4.5 RPG) than at home (4.1 RPG). As a team, they are batting .243, which is 10th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in terms of isolated power. Boston’s offense has done a good job of putting the ball in play, as they have the 3rd best BABIP in the league and are 28th in terms of strikeouts.

Ceddanne Rafaela has been one of the Red Sox’s top run producers this season, as he is 14th in the league with 22 RBIs. Rafaela has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 5/17 in his last five games. Tyler O’Neill has been the team’s top power threat so far, as he is 5th in the league with nine homers. However, O’Neill is hitting just .264 for the season and has gone just 2/19 in his last five games.