Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 5/12/24

At 1:40 PM from loanDepot Park in Miami, we have an NL East matchup between the Phillies and Marlins. Philadelphia is sending Zack Wheeler to the mound vs. Braxton Garrett for the Marlins. The Phillies are 28-12 this season, and the Marlins are 10-31.

Philadelphia comes into this one as the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -239, and the over/under line is at 7 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by NSPPH.

MIAMI MARLINS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +196

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 1:40 ET on Sunday, May 12th.

HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS MARLINS:

• We have the Marlins winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Philadelphia cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -128 on the money line.

Taijuan Walker started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. On the other side, Jesus Luzardo got the start for the Marlins and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.

At the plate, the Phillies were led by Cristian Pache and Bryson Stott, who each had two hits and scored a run. Alec Bohm also had a two-hit game and drove in a run. For the Marlins, Otto Lopez went 2/3 with a home run.

Phillies Records & Stats

Philadelphia is 28-12 overall this season, and they lead the NL East by two games over the Braves. The Phillies have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Marlins, and they are 7-2-3 in series this year. Philadelphia has been really good on the road this year, putting together a record of 13-5.

The Phillies have been playing really well as of late, going 9-1 over their last 10 games. This season, they are 24-9 as the favorite and 4-3 as the underdog. So far, they have gone 5-3 in division games.

Philadelphia has been a strong bet against the run line this season, with a 21-19 record. They have been especially strong on the road, going 11-7 against the run line, and they have covered in two straight games. The Phillies have an average run margin of 1.6 runs per game this season, and they have been even better on the road, with a scoring margin of 1.8 runs per game.

Philadelphia’s over/under record is 19-19 this season, and the average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs. The over has hit in two straight games, and the combined run average in their games is 8.8. Today’s over/under line is set at 7 runs, and the over/under record when the line is set at 7 runs is 2-0-1. In their last 10 games, the over has hit 7 times.

Zack Wheeler has been excellent for the Phillies this season, as he comes into the game with a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 1.64. Wheeler has made a total of eight starts and has pitched at least six innings in six of them. In his most recent outing, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Wheeler has won each of his last four starts. So far, he has been slightly better on the road, with a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 1.89 compared to 2-2 with a 1.74 ERA at home.

Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 5.2 runs per game and batting a collective .263, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have also been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, as their 48 home runs is the 4th best mark in the league. The Phillies are also one of the league’s best teams in terms of on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.

Over the last eight games, Bryce Harper has been swinging a hot bat, going 10/28 with three homers and 11 RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in RBIs, as he is 2nd in the league in RBIs and 5th in homers. Alec Bohm is also swinging a hot bat, as he is hitting .343 for the season and has gone deep four times. He also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is hosting the Phillies today with an overall record of 10-31, putting them 18.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going just 1-11. The Marlins have dropped five straight games, and they are 2-8 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Marlins are just 5-17 this year, and they are only slightly better on the road at 5-14. So far, they have really struggled as the underdog, going 7-20. As for their record as the favorite, they are just 3-11 this year. Miami’s overall series record is 1-10-1, and they have lost two straight series.

The Marlins have been a poor run line team this season, going 11-30 overall and 4-18 at home. They have been an underdog in most games, going 10-17 against the run line in those contests. Their average run margin is -2.2 runs per game, and they have lost their last three run line bets at home.

The Miami Marlins have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.4 runs per game. Their over/under record is 24-17, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. In their last two games, the over has hit, with 11 and 10 runs scored, respectively. The over/under line for today’s game against the Philadelphia Phillies is set at 7 runs.

Coming off a season in which he made 30 starts and went 9-7, Braxton Garrett is set to take the mound for the Marlins against the Phillies. Last season, Garrett made two appearances against the Phillies, going 1-0 with an ERA of 1.54. Overall, Garrett made 31 appearances and finished with a WHIP of 1.15. His ERA for the season was 3.66, and he finished with 10 quality starts. In terms of strikeouts, Garrett averaged 8.79 per nine innings and finished with a K/BB ratio of 5.4.

Over his last six games, Bryan De La Cruz has gone 7/22 with two homers and three RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .270, which is 3rd best on the team. De La Cruz’s eight homers are the best mark on the team and 5th best in the league. Nick Gordon has also been swinging a hot bat, going 8/17 in his last five games, with two homers and four RBIs. This has improved his season average to just .221.

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They also have the league’s worst on-base percentage and are near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. Overall, they are just 16th in home runs and are batting a collective .226.