Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/12/24

At 1:40 from Comerica Park in Detroit, we have an American League matchup between the Astros and Tigers. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Astros are 14-25, while the Tigers are above .500 at 20-19. Justin Verlander is starting for the Astros, and he is facing off against Jack Flaherty for the Tigers.

Currently, the over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the Astros are the slight favorite on the money line at -116. This game can be seen on MLBN.

HOUSTON ASTROS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -116

This game will be played at Comerica Park at 1:40 ET on Sunday, May 12th.

HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS TIGERS:

• We have the Astros winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Tigers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Detroit cruised to an easy 8-2 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had a huge 2nd inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Astros, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Tigers were favored at -158 on the money line.

Tarik Skubal started for the Tigers and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts and issued two walks. On the other side, Cristian Javier got the start for the Astros and took the loss, going just 1 1/3 innings and giving up seven earned runs.

Kerry Carpenter and Mark Canha each homered for the Tigers, while Jake Rogers scored three times and drove in two runs while going 2/4. Colt Keith also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.

Astros Records & Stats

With a record of 14-25, the Astros are 5th in the AL West, seven games behind the Rangers for the division lead. So far, they are 5-5 in divisional games. The Astros will be looking to pick up a win today, as they are just 7-13 on the road this season.

At home, the Astros have gone 7-12 this season. So far, they have really struggled in day games, going just 3-9. As the favorite, the Astros are 11-19 and 3-6 as the underdog. Houston’s overall series record is 4-7-1, and they have lost two straight series.

When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.6 runs per game. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.9 runs per game. Overall, they are 14-25 against the run line, including a 7-13 mark on the road.

When the Astros and Tigers met today, the over/under line was set at 7.5 runs, which was lower than the combined run average of 9.5 runs per game for these two teams. The over/under record for the Astros this season is 14-23, and their games have averaged a combined 9 runs per game. The over/under line for their games has averaged 9 runs per game, and their games have had an over/under line of 7.5 runs in just 4 of their 37 games this season.

Justin Verlander and the Astros are on the road to take on the Tigers. Verlander is still looking for his first win of the season, as he has a loss and two no-decisions. He is coming off a start against the Yankees in which he went 5 innings, giving up 7 runs on 8 hits and 3 homers.

Jeremy Peña has been swinging a hot bat for the Astros, hitting .400 over his last 10 games, including going 14/35 with a home run and five RBIs. Overall, he is batting .345 this season. Kyle Tucker has also been a key power bat for the Astros, as his 12 home runs are the best in the league right now. However, he is just 5/31 in his last nine games.

As a team, the Astros are 5th in home runs and have the league’s best strikeout rate. Overall, they are batting .257 (3rd) and averaging 4.3 runs per game. At home, they are averaging 4.8 runs per contest.

Tigers Records & Stats

Detroit is 20-19 overall this season and is 3.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 10-6 in divisional games. The Tigers will be hosting the Astros today with an overall home record of 9-10.

The Tigers are looking to bounce back today, as they have dropped seven of their last ten games. This season, they are 10-7 as the favorite and 10-12 as the underdog. Detroit has dropped two straight games as the underdog and their overall series record is 6-4-2 this year.

Despite a losing record on the run line at home, the Tigers have been a solid bet on the run line overall this season, going 19-20. They’ve been particularly good on the run line on the road, going 13-7. They’ve been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 15-7, compared to just 4-13 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.0, while it drops to -2.6 in losses.

Today’s over/under line of 7.5 runs for the Detroit Tigers’ game against the Houston Astros is slightly lower than their average combined run total of 7.9 runs per game. The Tigers’ over/under record for the season is 18-19, and when the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 7-6. Overall, 53.8% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Through seven starts, Jack Flaherty is still looking for his first win of the season, as he is 0-2 with an ERA of 3.86. Flaherty’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.05. In his last outing, he took the loss, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. One of those hits was a home run. Flaherty has made five quality starts this season and is averaging 12 strikeouts per nine innings. One of the right-hander’s best outings came on April 30th, where he went 6 2/3 innings and didn’t give up a run while striking out 14.

Andy Ibáñez has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Tigers, going 9/23 in his last eight games. During this stretch, he has two home runs and four RBIs. Matt Vierling is also on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 10/34 in his last nine games. Vierling has one home run and eight RBIs during this stretch. Riley Greene has three homers in his last 10 games but is batting just .244.

As a team, the Tigers are 20th in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. Detroit’s top power hitter so far has been Riley Greene, who is 4th in the league with nine homers.